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Captain Ewok

Timeline Images and Estimated Approval Algorithm Updates

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Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Singapore
Timeline

There have been a few updates made this evening that should help better estimate approvals and processing timelines. Thanks for the feedback from various members.

More details:

Graphs: Better rejection of bad data. Processing graphs now are calculated the same way the estimated processing times (for member timelines) are done. Members pointed out that this disconnect was confusing. The graphs used to mainly show "average" approval times however our prediction algorithms for estimated approvals is a bit more advanced and takes into consideration additional statistics to improve accuracy. Needless to say this update should result in graphs that more closely reflect reality (most people should be approved at or before the graph times indicate).

Estimated Approvals: Better rejection of bad data. More accurate approval estimates with smaller "min and max" dates.

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Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Ecuador
Timeline

You da Admiral, si man!

06-04-2007 = TSC stamps postal return-receipt for I-129f.

06-11-2007 = NOA1 date (unknown to me).

07-20-2007 = Phoned Immigration Officer; got WAC#; where's NOA1?

09-25-2007 = Touch (first-ever).

09-28-2007 = NOA1, 23 days after their 45-day promise to send it (grrrr).

10-20 & 11-14-2007 = Phoned ImmOffs; "still pending."

12-11-2007 = 180 days; file is "between workstations, may be early Jan."; touches 12/11 & 12/12.

12-18-2007 = Call; file is with Division 9 ofcr. (bckgrnd check); e-prompt to shake it; touch.

12-19-2007 = NOA2 by e-mail & web, dated 12-18-07 (187 days; 201 per VJ); in mail 12/24/07.

01-09-2008 = File from USCIS to NVC, 1-4-08; NVC creates file, 1/15/08; to consulate 1/16/08.

01-23-2008 = Consulate gets file; outdated Packet 4 mailed to fiancee 1/27/08; rec'd 3/3/08.

04-29-2008 = Fiancee's 4-min. consular interview, 8:30 a.m.; much evidence brought but not allowed to be presented (consul: "More proof! Second interview! Bring your fiance!").

05-05-2008 = Infuriating $12 call to non-English-speaking consulate appointment-setter.

05-06-2008 = Better $12 call to English-speaker; "joint" interview date 6/30/08 (my selection).

06-30-2008 = Stokes Interrogations w/Ecuadorian (not USC); "wait 2 weeks; we'll mail her."

07-2008 = Daily calls to DOS: "currently processing"; 8/05 = Phoned consulate, got Section Chief; wrote him.

08-07-08 = E-mail from consulate, promising to issue visa "as soon as we get her passport" (on 8/12, per DHL).

08-27-08 = Phoned consulate (they "couldn't find" our file); visa DHL'd 8/28; in hand 9/1; through POE on 10/9 with NO hassles(!).

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Country: Vietnam
Timeline

There have been a few updates made this evening that should help better estimate approvals and processing timelines. Thanks for the feedback from various members.

More details:

Graphs: Better rejection of bad data. Processing graphs now are calculated the same way the estimated processing times (for member timelines) are done. Members pointed out that this disconnect was confusing. The graphs used to mainly show "average" approval times however our prediction algorithms for estimated approvals is a bit more advanced and takes into consideration additional statistics to improve accuracy. Needless to say this update should result in graphs that more closely reflect reality (most people should be approved at or before the graph times indicate).

Estimated Approvals: Better rejection of bad data. More accurate approval estimates with smaller "min and max" dates.

Wow!blink.gif

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