When_Will_It_End

So have we been able to determine with any more clarity the likelihood of being "left behind" the further into the month you are? Our NOA1 was literally the last day of the month because I thought at the time it would be benefit us more to be registered as being in an earlier month and did not even consider the possibility that waiting two days would have been actually more beneficial in the long run. I know someone here posted a chart where being in that last week increases the chances but it looks like even considering, a fair chunk of the back half of the month still gets picked up in the "first 50%" processed. Am I just being over paranoid or should I begin to prepare my fiancé for an even further delay.

I got that information from this link: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/immigration-title-42-migrant-centers-latin-america-deportations/ "Earlier this week, U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services said it would be reassigning nearly 480 employees to help the 1,000-member asylum officer corps conduct these "credible fear" interviews, which determine whether migrants are deported or allowed to seek asylum, according to an internal notice obtained by CBS News." That's good to hear, hopefully you are right. Understood, thanks anyway!

Also, reading through the posts there doesn't seem to be a consensus, but have we been able to determine to what degree the second half of a month filers are getting "punished" versus front half of the month? Is there an average difference in time to response for someone who is in the front 50% versus in the back 50% or the front 70% versus the back 30%? I guess another way of asking would be, if on average, should one expect an additional two-three weeks tacked on to their waiting time once USCIS moves onto another month or have people seen it be more like a week later for those being "ghosted?"

They just announced yesterday that they are reassigning 480 employees to the 1,000-member asylum processing team. Now I have no data on how large the K1 team is or what team these relocations are coming from but considering that number of employees represents almost a 50% growth of the already standing asylum team, a team that presumably would be comparatively well-funded/staffed, that seems like a large move in my opinion. Also, on the NVC graph posted a couple days ago, there must be some skewing going on in there somewhere because the State Dept./NVC's website says they are currently processing cases received from the USCIS from 10 days ago. While that does not provide a "processed" date, it would suggest that their backlog is much smaller than that graph implies, otherwise we would see a greater lead time like we do at USCIS. Furthermore, there is evidence to suggest, such as "USCIS Analysis" on YouTube's case, that time from NOA2 to Welcome Letter was 8 weeks back in the first week in March, presumably that gap is closing, a thesis that is supported by the fact that the date which the State Dept. is processing is getting closer and closer to the same day. Another question is whether those 480 could have come from the State Dept., but that's just speculation. @Obllak, I know you have already far and exceeded the call of duty, but if this NVC thing does become a concern, is there any chance you could start, when you have time, building a NVC version of your K1 sheet? I don't know if that's even possible and you seem much smarter on this stuff then me but just may be a valuable resource.