Cokes

The basic version is currently free, it's just slower than the paid version. Try it out~

Haha, realize a more general topic had already been posted. Admins can feel free to delete this thread~ I just thought the fact that it claimed that I-129f processing time is 5-7 months at this moment (Feb 18,2023) was kind of amusing, since ChatGPT is currently still limited to 2021 data. I admire ChatGPT's confidence in USCIS 🤣

LOL, I asked ChatGTP this question for fun. Although its answer is wrong, but I hope it's much more wiser than anyone else 🤣

Yah... We have considered the possibility of withdrawal, getting married in my home country and then file i-130. This seem to make the most sense for citizenship and cost. But then again our main priority is to be able to close the gap, since it's already been processed for 2 months, we're not sure if CR-1 approval date would be earlier than K1 if we were to withdraw our I-129f. Wish I have known this before we submitted our I-129f. Probably could have went with i-130 instead.

Omg that'd be super awesome. I code poorly but I could get my fiancé to help me on this, and perhaps we can try to build it.

I'm still trying to be really hopeful and optimistic about the possibility USCIS working towards 6 months cycle time goal for FY23, but the current status is just not looking great. Hope everything ends up working out for us Dec 2022 filers....

@mw & rg k1 Thanks a lot for the pointers, I've DM'ed you my email address for the case log history! Having the case log numbers would be super helpful to me as I'm trying to refine this prediction as much as I can! Tbh, I know no one can actually be able to predict USCIS, but I'd still like to know a bit more. It's really hard to just sit around and wait for USCIS' quarterly report 😢. My current prediction assumption is using 55.5k Backlog for September 2022 filers with a 3.5k new cases filed per month with a linear process rate increase based on linear regression of the past 4 months.

Thanks a lot @AndiB and @New Romantics, now I've got a better idea of how the backlog was estimated. I did a simple linear regression (y=21.727x+355.27, R^2=0.6707) of "holiday excluded process case/week" from September 2022 to January 2023 based on results of the google sheets below that many people refer to. This is a rather optimistic estimate based on the linear increase in case processed through the recent 4 months. Hopefully this is something to look forward to and hope we can all receive our NOA2s soon (fingers crossed). Google sheets ref: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/0/d/1sN2bo1xZhs8oVU6-QDUdBXBX2_ci8_QJ0wiz59Gp6H4/htmlview?fbclid=IwAR0jCyuMTAY_9YYgYelthZXTEs__xxMMH6vH4e2pwUHX44d5EUed296MJV8# (The linear regression results from sept 2022 to jan 2023)

Hello, I'm a new member (Dec 2022 Filer) that has been following various case processing threads/google docs for several weeks now. Really appreciate the daily scanning and result compilation many members are doing, I can't imagine waiting for months up to years without having the general knowledge of cases being processed each month. There's a lot of well analyzed results of opened cases by members such as @mw & rg k1 and discussions backed by many google sheets analysis in @AndiB and @Anna Hessler's thread. However, I've been having hard time finding information about our current backlog estimate. It seems like our current backlog estimate of various filers ranges from 38k ~ 55k and USCIS quarterly report does not seem to completely match with these numbers either. I'm wondering if anyone has data on monthly change in backlog in order to forecast the expected month NOA2? I hope to find out info such as the following: Total backlog for each month (Sept 2021 - Jan 2023) Backlog Delta each month = Backlog of pervious month + Total new filers this month - Number of cases closed per month (Accepted/Denied/Withdraw) Apologies in advance if my question does not make sense or had already been answered in other threads, I don't seem to be able to find a general consensus about the current backlog estimate.