FromMexico W/Love
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Everything posted by FromMexico W/Love
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Those few cases have really added up though haha
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Just jan-jul 2021 is 4k+ cases.
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Okay awesome! Yeah that makes sense. Like you're saying if someone received an RFE 8 months ago then it is almost like the case doesn't exist anymore. If those cases are truly "ghost cases" than that has a significant impact on our projected timelines ~1 month.
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I have no idea and no theories why. I wonder if Obllak has any theories or ideas into how to better calculate them into the data.
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I was just thinking of that this morning too, along with what I am calling the "ghost cases" that are listed in the backlog in front of us but it doesn't look like anything is happening with them or it looks like they are handling them so slowly that it skews the actual number of cases in front of us. Jan-July 2021 cases make up 4,320 cases and I don't know how to factor those into the equation because it doesn't make sense with how USCIS is handling them. If you don't include those cases it takes a month off processing time if you don't include them.
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Even then it would be a little off, VJ is a limited subsect of data. The numbers that are being pulled now is everything that the WAC is working on.
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This is excellent news! And I think that VJ's estimates are behind what we are seeing with the day-to-day data, so those would be more conservative estimates IMO.
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Very true welcome to America haha
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Getting over our skis on being "grateful" this is the US Government and non-classified information. They HAVE TO give us access and information.
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that is a little frustrating, but we are looking at 3,821 cases processed in February in what was an 18 business day month! To be honest, because of how obsessive we all are about the numbers, the daily average is more impactful imo (212 cases a day in February)!!!!
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Don't call it a come back!!!! We have a new single highest most cases processed in a day after the Ice-ageddon 2023.
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It snowed in SoCal!!! Good lord...
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I just googled where the USCIS California office is and it says Southern California... Chet Holifield Federal Building, 24000 Avila Rd, Laguna Niguel, CA 92677 https://www.google.com/search?q=uscis+california+service+center&rlz=1C1CHZN_enUS1035US1035&oq=usci&aqs=chrome.0.69i59l3j69i57j69i59j69i60l3.1664j0j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8
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I am superstitious as hell so I agree lol
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Yeah it is exciting, and massive for them! I was looking for the 2023 Q1 data, and found that. Nice little prize in the meantime hahah
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I found this document and it sheds some light as to why we are probably seeing a bump in productivity in processing. USCIS has ~1,400 more full time equivalent employees, and ~1,700 more overall employees in FY2023 compared to FY2022. https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/document/reports/U.S._Citizenship_and_Immigration_Services’_Budget_Overview_Document_for Fiscal_Year_2023.pdf
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That's cute and LOL at the intent to marry length, that is supposed to be like a short paragraph. But my finance did the same thing she wrote a novel, but I made her include the basic jargon at the front of the letter.
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Yeah I think the norm with all countries averaged together is like ~4/5 months from NOA2 until you have your K1 and plane ticket in hand.
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They do have more workers, but the backlog is just insane for all visa types, and that doesn't factor in the other work that the embassies do. Having worked at a few embassies personally, for visa processing purposes I would rather apply from a country with a smaller applicant pool, like Zimbabwe but I had to fall in love with a Mexican LOL. Visa types: F1, F3, F4, and IR5
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If they held it for high visa traffic countries (Mexico, China, India, Brazil) you would be waiting for MONTHS before it even getting to the embassy, and I'm not seeing that into what I've looked into for Mexico yet. For Mexico I'm seeing ~5/months of total wait from NOA2 to interview date. Side note and also sad note if you want to talk about crazy wait times, the wait time right now for an immigrant visa to the US from Mexico is 20 years. That means that people waiting to legally immigrate to the US from Mexico who are interviewing now applied in February of 2003.
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Yeah I'm not too worried about the next step yet, I just want my NOA2 lol
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Yes for the embassy to get it, I was thinking of until the interview is scheduled.
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I haven't looked at those numbers and trends too much, but from what I remember seeing its like ~4/months but it is embassy dependent though. Some can do 3 months some do 5.
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It's not me it's the numbers hahaha but I'm glad the numbers made you happy. They might hit 4,000 cases this month, but I think they will fall short in February.
