New Romantics
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Something else I think is pertinent to the discussion is how long the couple has been together and how long they have spent together in person. If you've met once for 2 weeks and been together less than a year I don't think I would ever recommend the cr1! Nuance is important
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Totally! It seems that for some the most important thing is to get to the US asap and they disregard everything else! I'd rather wait 5 more months than get married online!!
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That's what I'm thinking! It seems they go by cases closed. What I don't know is whether the clock stops when an RFE is issued etc or not
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Do you include the pending, rfe etc in that? I was only looking at the completed column which is at 20%
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Same here! I think it'd be difficult emotionally but honestly I try to be really positive. Hoping for speedy NOA2's for everyone 💗
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Yep. Or when someone asks if they should file for k1 or cr1 and everyone is like "nooo cr1 is so much better!1!1" because it was 10.5 months and now suddenly jumped to 15! I feel for those that married just to file and now have to wait the same time with k1 anyway. Every person should decide for themselves what their best option would be
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To be fair, they have moved the goal posts by aiming for median so I think the new "normal" will be here faster. For this fiscal year all they have to do is reduce the median processing time to 9.1 months (25% better than last FY). I just can't math well enough to figure out when that will happen 🤣
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Do you think they will have eliminated some of the backlog and returned to normal by the time it's time to adjudicate Q1 2022 cases? (like ours)
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Just a reminder to everyone that sooner rather than later we will all be with our loved ones shopping at the local grocery store doing every day things and this will all feel like a rough dream. Keep what is important in sight and don't lose perspective. It will all be worth it in the end. The worse it feels now, the sweeter the reunion will be 🩷 stay strong everyone!!!
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Well what's interesting is that even for cases from August and September (and even earlier) there are people who still haven't responded to their RFE. I think some people just might take a long time to do on top of USCIS being slow. It is unfortunate though how they don't go in order.
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Well since there are only 377 cases until January reaches 65% completed, I'm curious to see whether they speed up February and January gets left behind as well soon. That would mean they start March soon after
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Right, but I thought it wouldn't matter because the median would just be out of 100 people the 50th. Wouldn't that have sped up enough that that number would now be lower? I don't get it 🤣😭 Maybe they haven't gotten to that point yet. Maybe the acceleration has touched something like the first 45% When are fees being increased?
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What's surprising to me is that it was 14.4 up until January, but it went up after they sped up. So bizarre 😂
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Curious to see what the median will be after March is done. That I think will give us lots of info
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Also, if I'm interpreting this right, the median this year needs to be 25% lower than 2022 (12.1) which means that at minimum, the median by the end of this fiscal year needs to be ~9.1. This is just how I understood this so feel free to correct me!
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Thank you! It's interesting because if that's the case then they must have not followed it the first year as we can see here https://egov.uscis.gov/processing-times/historic-pt
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Can anyone find the part they talk about the median in the 2023 report? I can only see it in the 2022 one
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I think this is the most accurate take. The 80% isn't as great of a stat as we think it is. It doesn't tell us much because we don't know how fast 65% or 75% or even 79% etc gets processed. Only 80%
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Got it. You explained this perfectly! This makes sense now There is a wiki page about this if anyone is interested https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USCIS_processing_times
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Could you explain this more, I may be too dumb to get it 😭
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Also we are assuming that all the fast cases are included in the 80%. But how do they decide which ones are actually in that 80%? Do we know? Is it really the fastest 80% or is it random?
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Can anyone calculate based on the spreadsheet how long it's taken them to process 80% in the last 6 months? I'd be curious to see if the result is different
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I wonder if it's because any given 6 month period before now was better overall than the one now (September-March)?
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https://egov.uscis.gov/processing-times/more-info
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You're right, my bad. In that case maybe it means that truly only 50% of cases get approved fast and the rest 30% goes much slower progressively? No clue at this point
