New Romantics

Should someone create a master thread of daily updates regardless of month? I feel like it would be less confusing

August was just posted. It's looking pretty likely that we might get a 800 week!

Yep, this is what I'm thinking too. I'm waiting for late spring/early summer to come so I can start thinking of things more in terms of months left and not "oof, I have a year left" and make myself feel a lil better lmao

I think I have about 47000 roughly in front of me and I'm a mid October 2022 filer. That's not including RFE etc. So in this scenario I think I would get my NOA2 in about 58 weeks? If I'm in the lucky few that are in the first wave. At worst I think it would be something like 70 weeks. Hoping for even better processing times ahead!

Actually now that I think about it, that wouldn't be the first wave because I was thinking about it in a scenario where they remove every single case before they get to October which won't happen. So first touch should be sooner than 67 weeks

Here's hoping they get to ~800 processed a week! 900 would be amazing and anything over 1000 would be a dream 😂

If they keep a steady 700 a week removed that should put the NOA2 for Oct filers at about 67 weeks from now roughly (in the first wave).

This looks pretty promising! Even though some days are missing and Friday hasn't happened yet it looks like we might get ~700 removed from backlog when it's all said and done. Thank you so much for compiling the data!!

Excited for this week's update since it will be a full week! Finger's crossed the trend keeps up!

Yes, that's true. Still impressive though!

735 with 4 days? Impressive. That averages out at ~184 a day. If it were a 5 day week the number would be 918 😮

This is pretty good considering Monday was a holiday. Thank you for the data!!

I was looking at the statistics that get posted in the progress threads and it seems like the trend in the last few months (since at least September) has been that the any given week hits its highest peak of cases processed about 63-64 weeks after NOA1. Just something to think about.

55k is for those that filed right after Q4 2022 ended, like me. Even that number has already shrunk because they have worked on probably ~8k cases give or take since then. So I probably have about ~47k in front of me. You on the other hand filed earlier which means you are further ahead in line. The backlog at the end of Q2 2022 (end of March 2022) was about 43k. Now subtract all the people whose cases have been closed (about 7k per quarter since then). It would be about 21k. So yeah, ~20k sounds about right. This is all according to how I have understood this process to work so far. Anyone reading this and who thinks I'm wrong can chip in obviously! I'm not very good at math but this immigration journey is definitely making me a math wizard all of a sudden 😂

No, because you probably only have about 20k people in front of you. That's a better number to divide by 600. They have already worked on a lot of cases since you filed. The most recent link still points to September 2022. It's the wrong one. It should have been Q2 2022.

Look up the data on their website for Jan 1 to March 31 2022. Whatever the backlog number is, should be how many are in front of you. I'm not 100% sure but I think that's how it works roughly. Edit: minus the ones that have already been worked on since then obviously.

That's only if you filed October 1. If you filed earlier you must look at older updates because all the cases that come after don't concern you.

Oh, I see. Do we know who keeps the original spreadsheet? Are they on the forum?

That was my thought as well. Anyone here know how to make one?

Anyone know why the spreadsheet hasn't been updating? 🧐

Another week starts today. Hoping for some good news!

This is the reason I'm sticking with the K1. May be rough but I feel like it's somehow more predictable

Are you basing this on their last update on their website? I saw that but was wondering if we have a current one. From my rough estimations it seems like the number should be about 8000-9000 lower now (about a quarter's worth + January) but was wondering if we have any updated numbers. I guess we will have to wait for their website to update.

Agreed. It's pretty sad. I think a lot of people are going with the spousal visa instead but I don't think the number of people wanting to get married has changed overall. I wonder if this will increase spousal visa wait times.

Does anyone know how many cases are left untouched up until the end of fiscal year 2022 (end of Sept 2022)?