Carolina y Chris

Thursday's Update 12/01/22 : It was a good day !
 
132000: 6 Approvals, 1 RFER (6 new / 1 in progress)
132500: 1 RFES (1 new / 0 in progress)
133500: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)
134000: 2 Approvals, 1 RFES (3 new / 0 in progress)
134500: 3 Approvals, 3 RFESs (6 new / 0 in progress)
135000: 1 Approval, 1 RFES, 1 RFER (2 new / 1 in progress)
135500: 8 Approvals, 6 RFESs (14 new / 0 in progress)
136000: 17 Approvals, 3 RFESs (20 new / 0 in progress)
136500: 2 Approvals, 2 RFESs (4 new / 0 in progress)
137000: 2 Approvals, 6 RFESs, 1 Withdrawal (9 new / 0 in progress)
137500: 20 Approvals, 4 RFESs (24 new / 0 in progress)
138000: 7 Approvals (7 new / 0 in progress)
138500: 7 Approvals (7 new / 0 in progress)
139000: 17 Approvals, 2 RFESs, 1 Denial (19 new / 1 in progress)
139500: 3 Approvals, 3 RFESs (5 new / 1 in progress)
140000: 5 Approvals, 4 RFESs, 1 Denial (10 new / 0 in progress)
140500: 2 Approvals (2 new / 0 in progress)
141500: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)

12/01/22: 145 Total Updates: 104 Approvals, 36 RFESs, 2 RFERs, 2 Denials, 1 Withdrawal

Congratulations!!!

Y’all I can’t believe it. Just saw online that our case was approved today 😳😳😳 I know there’s more waiting ahead but man it feels AWESOME to finally see progress 😭 
 
We filed Sept 20
137500 range
 

We finally got our NOA2! ~464 days after NOA1. We are in the 127500 range.
NOA1 - August 24, 2021 NOA2 - December 1, 2022 It feels so good and so strange because, even though I knew it was coming, it also felt like it was NEVER coming.
Everyone else, please just be a little bit more patient and I know you will feel this huge relief soon too!

I'll have indication of that on Friday when I run my scans (officially).  The data there was me fixing a minor bug so didn't record those details and (other than December statistics) this script doesn't keep that level of detail since I was only looking to when they start to approach my month group. 

Hello Guys,
 
Sharing you the information for number of approved cases and number of cases they are still yet to touch as of 11/30/2022 for each range :
 
132000: 43 Untouched, 68 Approvals
132500: 63 Untouched, 45 Approvals
133000: 96 Untouched, 31 Approvals
133500: 42 Untouched, 69 Approvals
134000: 49 Untouched, 65 Approvals
134500: 65 Untouched, 34 Approvals
135000: 59 Untouched, 26 Approvals
135500: 105 Untouched, 43 Approvals
136000: 32 Untouched, 15 Approvals
136500: 105 Untouched, 7 Approvals
137000: 106 Untouched, 9 Approvals
137500: 102 Untouched, 45 Approvals
138000: 79 Untouched, 34 Approvals
138500: 48 Untouched, 22 Approvals
139000: 55 Untouched, 28 Approvals
139500: 142 Untouched, 13 Approvals
140000: 97 Untouched, 12 Approvals
140500: 130 Untouched, 8 Approvals
141000: 70 Untouched, 15 Approvals
141500: 105 Untouched, 16 Approvals

Total for this month: 1593 Untouched, 616 Approvals, 249 RFESs, 19 RFERs, 232 Denials, 81 Expedites(Denied: 78 / Approved: 2 / Received: 1), 96 Withdrawals, 115 Others
 
  I hope this helps
 

Hang in there. I’m also day 463. I hope we all hear something soon, before Christmas. When we initially applied for k1, the processing time was 6-8 months. No one thought it would take this long. But we waited THIS long, we can wait a couple more days or weeks!  

Today the Ankara embassy made some appointment dates available and we were able to reschedule our appointment to December 5th from January 24th.

Part of Weekly Update - Nov 18th, 2022 in December 2021 Filers Group
ran the unopened case script to see where activity is at USCIS.
 
Observations suggest: 
1) October will start seeing a few cases opened sometime next week.   
2) December 1-3 receipt date may see a few cases opened  in 10-11 weeks (Late January)

 
Details:
This is the 3rd week in a a row where the bulk of new opened cases has moved towards the end of year by one week.
It appears USCIS is into opening September cases now even though there are still a considerable number of untouched cases in August.
     Week:    Was:     Now:    Delta:
     08/06    64         63             1
     08/13    122       83           39
     08/20    243      171         72
     08/27    442      344         98
     09/03    612      359         253   (Most this week)
     09/10    559      407         152
     09/17    740      712          28
     09/24    724      717           7
 

Wednesday Update
11/16/22: 63 Total Updates: 35 Approvals, 23 RFESs, 3 RFERs, 2 Withdrawals
 
119500: 1 RFER (0 new / 1 in progress)
120000: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)
120500: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)
121500: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)
122000: 4 Approvals (2 new / 2 in progress)
123000: 1 Withdrawal (1 new / 0 in progress)
123500: 1 RFER (1 new / 0 in progress)
125000: 1 Approval, 1 RFES, 1 Withdrawal (3 new / 0 in progress)
125500: 4 Approvals (3 new / 1 in progress)
126000: 3 RFESs (3 new / 0 in progress)
126500: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)
127000: 4 Approvals, 2 RFESs (6 new / 0 in progress)
128000: 2 Approvals (2 new / 0 in progress)
128500: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)
129000: 1 RFER (0 new / 1 in progress)
129500: 2 RFESs (2 new / 0 in progress)
130000: 3 Approvals, 10 RFESs (13 new / 0 in progress)
130500: 4 Approvals, 3 RFESs (7 new / 0 in progress)
131000: 3 Approvals, 1 RFES (4 new / 0 in progress)
131500: 5 Approvals, 1 RFES (6 new / 0 in progress)
 
Thursday Update
11/17/22: 89 Total Updates: 64 Approvals, 20 RFESs, 4 RFERs, 1 Other (Notice Explaining USCIS Actions Was Mailed)
120000: 1 Approval (0 new / 1 in progress)
121500: 1 RFER (1 new / 0 in progress)
122500: 8 Approvals, 1 RFES (9 new / 0 in progress)
124000: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)
124500: 4 Approvals, 1 RFES (5 new / 0 in progress)
125000: 3 Approvals, 5 RFESs, 2 RFERs, 1 Other (Notice Explaining USCIS Actions Was Mailed) (11 new / 0 in progress)
126000: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)
127000: 1 RFES, 1 RFER (2 new / 0 in progress)
127500: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)
128000: 3 Approvals (3 new / 0 in progress)
128500: 2 Approvals (2 new / 0 in progress)
129000: 3 RFESs (3 new / 0 in progress)
129500: 2 Approvals (2 new / 0 in progress)
130000: 8 Approvals, 3 RFESs (11 new / 0 in progress)
130500: 15 Approvals, 4 RFESs (18 new / 1 in progress)
131000: 9 Approvals, 1 RFES (10 new / 0 in progress)
131500: 6 Approvals, 1 RFES (7 new / 0 in progress)
 
 
Total for this month: 872 Untouched, 1724 Approvals, 693 RFESs, 119 RFERs, 336 Denials, 53 Expedites(Denied: 53), 141 Withdrawals, 95 Others

It is a little early to make the projection yet ...
Over the next few weeks, it should be possible to make a reasonable estimate of where the majority of effort is.
The shape (hysterogram) is looking consistent but that also means some get processed sooner and later.

Will keep this data up so check into the December K1 2021 group for more updates to make your best projections.
I would guess October starts to see some minor activity in about 2 weeks but about 5 weeks until major case counts start to rise.
Factor in Thanksgiving and maybe another week added to that