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AndiB

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Everything posted by AndiB

  1. AndiB
    It seems generally it's the embassy who controls when and if they take a case. I know people who ask to switch embassys have to contact the embassy to ask if they will take their case. So NVC def cant just be like 'heres some cases, enjoy!!'
  2. AndiB
    I haven't collected data but I watch my own embassy timeline on VJ + groups in and mine never seems to really get 'backlogged' while others are at month 3 waiting. It'd be easier if people said what embassy when they complain how long they're waiting 😂 I know I read that they wont send a case to an embassy until the embassy greenlights it so I wouldn't be shocked if they it's known throughout the chain that there's no rush for x embassy as they're backlogged so they focus on embassys with open space. That's how I'd manage a workload anyway....I genuinely don't know 100% if they slow down earlier stages for backlogged embassies.
  3. AndiB
    Also i thought you didn't usually get notified when NVC had your case, only when you got a case number? People always seem to find out NVC has their case via request? Am I wrong? Wondering how reliable that estimate is. Think it's still best to watch people from your own embassy NOA2-embassy cause mine is always faster than the ave by a month+
  4. AndiB
    There's a definite link between what your embassy is and how long the NVC stage is. I don't know if USCIS specifically will hold back cases more for busy embassies than not but NVC definitely processes certain embassys faster than others *in general*. I'm UK and USCIS->embassy is pretty consistently fast which shouldn't be the case if it was random on who got slow case ready and who got fast case ready
  5. AndiB
    I'll take it!
  6. AndiB
    Touched, not processed so RFEs are included.
  7. AndiB
    I think they're at almost 50% march so 👀
  8. AndiB
    Good numbers today but normal for a Monday (still exciting tho!) I see we've upgraded to having a column for 4.5k and 5k for monthly in estimated time. Wild to think we were just at 4k not long ago 👀 Should be staying April any minute now right? April page here is pretty quiet though
  9. AndiB
    They have a list of reasons to expedite on the website, severe financial loss due to wait, humanitarian (people in war torn countries have been denied so it has to be extreme not 'things aren't ideal'), US government interest, USCIS made an error. The financial one is a very niche case and generally all expedite reasons have to affect the petitioner not beneficery. Obv you can try but generally approved expedites are due to petitioner having deployment orders Also reminder the expedite reasons on the website are for *all* visas so for instance the financial loss one is mostly aimed at employment based visas, not a k1/family visa
  10. AndiB
    The daily honestly fluctuates quite a bit so yh I look at weekly. They have ave/day on the side in the spreadsheet so you can easily compare for they did on average per day every week. They're starting pretty consistent with maybe a very slight increase but too early to be excited
  11. AndiB
    Their average is still over 200. It's around 210-220 per week so I'd say the min is 1000/week+
  12. AndiB
    100% and we filed earlier than he wanted because I was freaking out about wait times increasing. We were originally looking at 2yrs for NOA2 and as you say it's a gamble, we could get an 'early' approval but yh illogical side is blaming him right now
  13. AndiB
    I'm a lil resentful to my bf cause we were meant to file first week of oct but he did no research and didn't have any paperwork ready. He had DUIs + divorce so had to get all that and we only filed end of month now I worry 😭 Maybe it'll be all fine but if he'd just done his hw I'd feel better
  14. AndiB
    They have the numbers on the left, you can calculate it yourself. Generally removing 2 months at the moment seems to be a decent guess for ~50%/when they'll start the next
  15. AndiB
    As in which get updated everyday? Else you can tell by what months they're working on. It varies by day within those months so case numbers really don't tell you anything
  16. AndiB
    True, some people get upset if you say 5k and then it's not 5k though. Maybe I'm too scarred by Facebook 🤣
  17. AndiB
    Honestly not quite, more like 4800 but close enough. We def seem likely to be consistently above 4500
  18. AndiB
    Ooh yeah I think it's 100% cases from Monday so it's more like 270 each day but still 😍
  19. AndiB
    Is that 400?! In one day??? (i assume some are actually from yday but still) I think I caught you editing it so fresh news but
  20. AndiB
    Oh no not a strong Monday.. Maybe tomorrow 💪
  21. AndiB
    true true!
  22. AndiB
    Numbers are up, not amazing but not bad
  23. AndiB
    I see in Dec and Jan thread approvals from last few days are finally coming through on scans so hopefully tomorrow!
  24. AndiB
    I generally see 3months from NOA2 to visa in hand for london as interviews seem okay to come by (just depends on your availability/travel) and NVC time *seems* to be embassy based to some degree. NVC won't move on an application if an embassy is overloaded. Good luck!
  25. AndiB
    same a lil, its like 50% support, 50% 🍿
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