AndiB

yeah everyone losing their minds about it going up to 16.5 and proof that it was only getting worse and improvements were a lie etc. It was exhausting but I do understand it's been getting worse for so long and so drastically for people, they expect it at this pt

agreed! I always try and be honest that there's a good chance it'll improve and currently some are getting approvals at 13 months but most are 14-15 but there are also those getting it 16months+. I think context is important and most just give their expectation (really fast, middle or really slow) when it could be any Double agree on marriage visa, people arguing it's better and not accepting someone prefering the k1. It was also the best option for me due to timelines and views on marriage. It def on paper is better to get CR1 but everyone has different needs and views that may affect what's best for *them*

I see vermont suddenly started having data for k1 again on VJ. Think it's cause of the odd transfer we've seen or? 👀 EDIT: loollll looked it up, seems ot be generated off one entry on VJ 🤭

agree with Qui, we fully understand and even said it's understandable to be bitter or wary of the process but they shouldn't say it'll be 19months or two yrs as *fact*. They can say current times and warn it could change, I always try to say the times could be better or worse but chances are good that they'll improve (outside of a massive change, like COVID was). I don't think it's fair to give negative timelines or say wait times won't improve because that's how it was for them. People are trying to make the best decision for them and if they're told K1 is slower or same as spousal when there's a decent chance K1 will soon be faster again, they may regret their choice. My biggest priority was fastest time to close gap, I would be so very upset if I applied for spousal and saw K1 be months faster. Spousal can also vary from country to country, some have long waitlists which can make it 2-3yrs+ but no one says this when comparing k1 to cr1. No one says there's a chance K1 may be faster than CR1 for new filers. Saying 'hey timeline is x but it may improve or it may be like mine where it extended by 8months' is fair. You can warn people it may not be as quick as they expect etc without telling them 'you'll be waiting 2yrs for a visa', because that is likely false. The timeline increase happened because of COVID and not to jinx it, but that shouldn't happen again so the likelihood of timelines dramatically increasing like it did for 2020-2022 filers is super unlikely so acting like it will happen because it did once, is not fair to new filers. People waiting 19months has never been a common timeline for k1. It is a negative bias and not fact. It's in the same way as positive as I am about improvements, I wouldn't say wait time is 12/13 months just because some get theirs that early because it's not accurate as most get theirs later (14-16)

yh I also worry about people pushing cr1 because it'll take the same time. At the moment it about equal or k1 is faster and k1 will get faster. cr1 def has a lot of advantages so I can see why it's recommended esp if there's only a couple months diff in approval but yh I feel it's a lil false advertising at this point.

Yeah it's always weird to me. May be because lots of them saw their estimated dates go from 6 months to 14 months so to imagine the process has improved seems unlikely. They may also be putting more weight on very late approvals which can happen due to being at end of a month's approvals + an rfe but majority seem to be 14-15 months so 19 is def a lil.... I still see so many people adament the process isn't improving because website still says 16.5 months and they think uscis is deliberately not speeding up 🙄

Same, like stressful xmas morning 😂

Yeah cause we're talking about touched cases, not just complete (processed) so processed + touched = all touched Edit: maybe better way to put it, in progress + complete= touched Rest = untouched

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1sN2bo1xZhs8oVU6-QDUdBXBX2_ci8_QJ0wiz59Gp6H4/edit?usp=drivesdk

honestly could be late aug-early sept they start Oct but yh we know there's easily a 3month spread, with the peak at about 1month after starting prob so I'd still expect Nov-Dec maybe as a good chance of knowing by but yh

Yeah, we had a new month start closer to 2weeks at one pt. Think it's more the 50% kinda mark than time but as each month is a similar number makes sense new months start fairly consistently. They're at about 43% with 3 weeks being ~17may so yh I'd say mid week prob see May 👀

I believe they go off april speed not month prior, usually at about 50% of that month. Dunno if there's really a correlation with month prior to that

April comes first 😂 Usually when prior month is 50% so soon

There's so many places I wanna see in US. It's exciting to have a whole new place to explore 😍

Ah yes it's very different to europe, I grew up in a similarly open place and houses were fairly spaced out, living with a shared wall was not even a norm outside of apartments 😂 I've lived in 4 countries (5 if you wanna count scotland) and 2 never felt like home, bf's place does so I'm excited. If you love the feeling of being there I'm sure you'll love living there 😍 The appreciation of open space never really goes away, I personally find European cities exhausting although I know US will have similar, like NY!

Yeah my bf was surprised when my flight from south uk up to Scotland was only as hr. We looked it up and the whole uk is almost same size of Kansas alone! Obv everyone has their own needs and US has some laws and cultures that may be a write off to people but same can be said for UK (as it is for me). I made sure my bf was open to moving state/country in future if it turns out it's not for me though but yh hope everyone is moving somewhere they love!

I agree! US is so big it's difficult to completely write off I feel. There's a lot of Kansas I wouldn't wanna live but he's in a very liberal, friendly area. He also lives near family and we get on so I'm excited to move there. Also originally from South Africa so I find UK waaayyyy to claustrophobic for me, look forward to wide open empty space again

You're the only one to say so 😂 I was fortunate enough to be a phd student last yr so did 3 trips, two were 2months so yeah. I really like his town, dunno if I could stay there long term, I'm used to the ocean and cities but at least while his nephew is growing up!

Almost, midwest (kansas)

I believe you're fine, it's current or previous employer. May be more for ID/ tracking purposes. Generally only need to change if some ID info changes (name, passport etc)

100% 😂

They have a note next to it that they think it's a bug but unsure currently

Says 19th underneath though. I would always go by what's on paper you have (NOA1). The online system seems to have a mind of its own. I've seen it common to have a different date based on if you're logged in or not which is ????

Yeah I did, which is why I say it seems country dependent as I haven't seen any uk person have a long wait but it's difficult to conclude overall when almost no one says their embassy when you see all the posts about long nvc waits. So can't tell if it's a handful of countries or random