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Lynxyonok

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Everything posted by Lynxyonok

  1. Just the very first entry visa for the purpose of boarding a cruise ship... A 68-year-old mymra (ask your wife to explain that) said "nyah"
  2. Thank you so much for this. Onto saving her Schengen visa with the new information I go...
  3. Shamelessly stolen from another site: As of the spring of 2023, Air Serbia will be launching nonstop flights between Belgrade (BEG) and Chicago (ORD): The route will operate 2x weekly as of May 17, 2023 (Wednesdays and Saturdays) The route will operate 3x weekly as of June 12, 2023 (Mondays, Wednesdays, and Saturdays) The schedule for the 4,998-mile flight will vary with each frequency, clearly to maximize aircraft utilization. The flight will depart Belgrade as early as 6:50AM and as late as 5:20PM, and the flight will depart Chicago as early as 12:40PM and as late as 11:10PM. The westbound flight is blocked at 11hr, while the eastbound flight is blocked at 9hr50min. Schedule for Air Serbia’s Chicago flight
  4. So, what kind of evidence did you provide? Asking for a friend Actually, asking after looking at a brand-new Spanish Schengen denial. Ouch.
  5. Well, August 21st is a month and a week past May 17th Edit: I can't count. Processing Estimates/Stats : Based on timeline data, your I129f may be adjudicated between August 10, 2023 and August 21, 2023*. If this date range has passed or your application is past due per USCIS processing times then you should consider calling the USCIS to inquire on your petition. If you have been approved please update your timeline.
  6. Sadly, the approval span is 12 weeks wide and growing wider. My theory is that cases are handed out to individual officers who are then put on processing quotas. And cases seen as easier slide through sooner. Cases seen as tougher may linger until a supervisor is available.
  7. Some of these larger aggregators go by 500s. In your case, you're a part of 141500s.
  8. A point I have not seen mentioned: You will be expected to provide for her for quite some time; the exact duration is based on your state. If you divorce now, your house is pretty much gone, and your income is shot for a long while. I recommend counseling and staying together. Go find some Internet forums from recently divorced men who share what happens after the process. I don't think you'd like it.
  9. August 2022 - likely February 2024 approval action if you're lucky to be in the first wave and your case is easy - and May 2024 RFE action if your case is complicated.
  10. Well, they do have a cute Santa Claus house there And drinkable water in the bathrooms? Wha...?
  11. P.S. My timeline pushed forward one more day since yesterday, planting me at 16 months and a week now I would have wanted to celebrate the speeding up USCIS processing times, but that day is not today.
  12. True, but you can repeat that as much as you want. I've been able to check up to 4-5K cases a day, and more advanced users can capture the entire year. Also, as cases get approved, denied, etc. they no longer have to be checked, speeding up the process.
  13. A'ight. I'm estimating there are presently 23,448 cases between yours and the first wave as of this moment. The latest cases approved were from November 4th, the lowest-numbered November 5th case is 2290014955. I stopped doing precise case counts after my own NOA1, but based on April 2022 and March 2022 having set new records (3503 and 3803 outstanding cases), it's healthy to assume about 3,000 cases between us. So, 23,448. - 7,033 processed in Q4 22 - 7,230 processed in Q3 22 - 6,524 processed in Q2 22 The remainder is 2,661. I don't want to use Q1 22 as that was abnormally low, so I will be optimistic and use Q4 22 again. 2,661 is 37% of Q4 22, or 34 days. So, from this moment you are 10 months and 3 days away, or November 18th, 2023.
  14. Air Serbia is about to start Chicago - Belgrade - Moscow route (or in your case - Krasnodar or - Kazan, then using a local carrier). Aside from clumsy layover durations in Belgrade, it is a pleasant airline to take.
  15. Just reading the data. USCIS new priorities are more work visas, more refugees, and more adjustments of statuses for those already here. https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/document/reports/OPA_ProgressReport.pdf does not say "I-129F" even once.
  16. My favorite moment - there's an app now to schedule your own border crossing date / time and have a preset interview right at the border. 🤠
  17. It's usually posted within a month if trends are good and within three if they aren't.
  18. Some of it is - past performance is compared to trend change in current activity. Plainly speaking, if 5% extra cases are processed per week, and last week there were 500 cases, then 505 are expected to be processed next week. It's much more complicated, of course.
  19. No, it's based on official data - it's just pulled in large chunks using scripts or Case Tracker apps. In effect, USCIS is spammed with hundreds of requests using https://egov.uscis.gov/casestatus/mycasestatus.do for data.
  20. This is great news; however, it comes with a caveat. Let's consider the weeks that have just passed. Christmas, New Years, Hanukkah, you name it. Plainly speaking, every supervisor of enough seniority was off on PTO. Tier I Officers kept processing cases, only to have them pile up waiting for approval. I would love to see faster processing speeds as much as everyone else here; I just don't think this is it. This week's numbers will probably drop down to 400s-500s. Another concern I have is the stretching of the approval widespan. The first wave of approvals is hitting as far as November 4th while there are August cases getting brand new RFEs - and fresh expedite denials too? Something is not adding up here: perhaps, USCIS is intentionally cherry-picking easier cases to keep the overall processing average at 15.5 months? Their latest documents no longer speak of 6-month I-129F timelines by the end of FY23 either.
  21. There's a new one? I thought the old file stopped getting updated a while back? Can you share the link to the file you are talking about please?
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