Lynxyonok

That 50% does sound enticing. It appears that USCIS is focusing on easier cases. I'm seeing their approval trough (the range where a case may get approved or denied) lengthen every week - it's now up to 4-5 months (an October 2021 case is as likely to be touched as a February 2022 one). Thus, the first wave of approvals is indeed riding into early February now - but there are many RFEs (1 in 3), and some of those even sit for 2+ months after the response... as if USCIS is merely riding out the time until the petitioner realizes what is up and withdraws the petition (too many withdrawals way past the expected approval timeframe). I am guilty of having sent USCIS 2 letters of proof of additional evidence already (and I haven't been asked for any yet). I'm going to be guilty next month when I send one more (all 3 packets sent / to be sent after each new meeting with the beneficiary). Guess I'm just that terrified of a RFE or denial.

Thank you for the request. My dataset is extremely simple: a list of all open cases prior to mine (I'm a mid-May filer). Every case that's closed, I delete. Then I take the remainder and compare that against the processing speed of USCIS. I've slacked off as of late, so large sections of my data are 1+ months without an update. I'm working to fix that, so I'm too embarrassed to share anything now just yet.

I-129Fs: 11423 received - 8509 processed. The backlog as of 12/31/2022 (remember, USCIS quarters start 3 months earlier than calendar ones - Q1 2023 is October - December, 2022) was 58,479 - that number, divided by 8509, is a terrifying 20.6-month delay for brand-new applicants. May 2023 be gentler on everyone. https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/document/data/Quarterly_All_Forms_FY2023_Q1.pdf Quarterly_All_Forms_FY2023_Q1.pdf