Oregonian97
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C&K2022 reacted to a post in a topic:
SEPTEMBER 2022 I-129F K1 FILERS
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C&K2022 reacted to a post in a topic:
SEPTEMBER 2022 I-129F K1 FILERS
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Oregonian97 reacted to a post in a topic:
Number of cases processed hit new high!
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Oregonian97 reacted to a post in a topic:
Number of cases processed hit new high!
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How are you taking account rejected/denials in your daily "processed" numbers? I generally don't take credit for those because most of them are from cases filed just now and don't count towards your backlog reduction. If you look at Oblak's spreadsheet, your filing month of October already has very similar rejection numbers overall compared with months currently being processed. It won't make your dates much worse, but something to consider.
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Naterson reacted to a post in a topic:
Number of cases processed hit new high!
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Quimat reacted to a post in a topic:
Number of cases processed hit new high!
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If we follow other Fridays, we could be in the 1,300’s
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redmist reacted to a post in a topic:
Number of cases processed hit new high!
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Naterson reacted to a post in a topic:
Number of cases processed hit new high!
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Y’all see the median processing time drop in the “historical processing times” page? Went from 14.5 to 14.4 month. Not huge, but it’s a trend in the right direction. It’s for the period ending April 30 edit: I know it’s no surprise for us but nice to see it from USCIS website
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ATCSUSNRET reacted to a post in a topic:
SEPTEMBER 2022 I-129F K1 FILERS
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Lamlam reacted to a post in a topic:
SEPTEMBER 2022 I-129F K1 FILERS
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Oregonian97 reacted to a post in a topic:
Number of cases processed hit new high!
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SEPTEMBER 2022 I-129F K1 FILERS
Oregonian97 replied to J&D1008's topic in K-1 Fiance(e) Visa Case Filing and Progress Reports
With the current processing weekly rates I am seeing, August seems like a possibility now. I think if we have a few more solid weeks of 1200 cases processed per week, August won’t be all that insane to consider -
Plus you’d hope that as USCIS staffs up, they staff up NVC in line with increasing adjudicators for visa processing. also off topic question, but does the local embassy of my beneficiary automatically pick an interview date for my beneficiary after NVC hands over the app to them, or do I need to manually schedule one and pick a date?
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KonBrian reacted to a post in a topic:
Number of cases processed hit new high!
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HC&DJXG reacted to a post in a topic:
Number of cases processed hit new high!
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Not to brag, but I remember making this bold prediction in March about 1200 processed a week 🙏🏽 nice to see we are there
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I was doing some analysis on the data to forecast when I could expect an approval and found some nice information that I thought would be worth sharing for positivity. I received NOA1 in early September. If USCIS continues at a rate of 1050/week approved/withdrawn cases per week for the next 4 weeks, as they have been the last few weeks (I exclude denials since most are instantaneous and aren't necessarily backlog removal), even if processing drops to 700/week after that, I am expecting a 70% likelihood of getting approved in September timeframe. Very similar to this if you received NOA1 around the same time as me. We only need a few more good weeks before a large decrease in processing starts to have little impact on overall timing. My guess is processing will start to decelerate from current rates once the backlog is more caught up, but I wouldn't expect that to happen before the fall.
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I think it depends. K1 visas are such a small chunk. They probably have 10x the number of USCIS adjudicators for I130, for example. So it’s just a matter of how USCIS decides to allocate their manpower. It may or may not have an impact, we’ll see. My personal thought is little to no impact because USCIS is still hiring and staffing up.
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SEPTEMBER 2022 I-129F K1 FILERS
Oregonian97 replied to J&D1008's topic in K-1 Fiance(e) Visa Case Filing and Progress Reports
Hey everyone I am also a september filer. I assume we won't be seeing much of an update, but I think we might sometime late summer! -
Oregonian97 reacted to a post in a topic:
Number of cases processed hit new high!
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Do we have evidence that USCIS works it's way in order for a given month? I.e when they finish 60% or March, they jump into the April cases, starting with the ones files early April? (which is why we are seeing April 1 case approvals) I know that sounds logical but again nothing about how USCIS processes cases seems to be. Edit: Asking because my NOA1 was early September, so hoping that means I am part of the first batch for that month.
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My guess is that USCIS tracks progress on a weekly basis. It seems that a bad day such as Monday, is always made up for the next day. I think USCIS will try to stick to 900 approved per week regardless of how they get there on individual days. But that’s just my guess based on the trends
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Looks like numbers just came in for Tuesday. Big bucks!
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Monster week at 1238 cases, not even including today and tomorrow 🙌🏽
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My guess is that some applicants needs more “investigation” and get left behind. For example, maybe a questionable background check pops up and they need to investigate further. But at that point no RFE would be sent so it looks like the case is just left behind. That’s just my guess
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Curious how todays numbers look with Good Friday. Hopefully they Atleast knock out 150. Also I have come to realize that the metric we should really care about is approvals and withdrawals. Most rejections are for cases that have just been submitted, so there’s minimal impact to backlog. As far as approvals and withdrawals, We are way ahead this week.
