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A110

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Everything posted by A110

  1. A110
    What service center?
  2. A110
    Would be curious to know your journney. I assume you submitted with the 90 day rule?
  3. A110
    I can be wrong but I do read somewhere that USCIS receipt numbers have a certain pattern to them and if one knows the pattern they can just hit the API with different receipt numbers.It doesn't take a genius to write a program to do that, this is the easiest way to build data about the cases and there is nothing wrong with it (Other than hitting the agencies api multiple times which as far as I know is not illegal). This is my own hypothesis of course but you can also check the lawfully app (paid version) and see this for yourself.
  4. A110
    No.You can look it up on lawfully. This is not self reported data so it's factual.
  5. A110
    I am seeing a small uptick this week of approvals for I751 for those who filed in October 2022/Nov 2022 and such. This does not go hand in hand with the 4 year extensions what are your thoughts? I personally think the 4 year extension is not necessarily a reflection of the processing times moving forward, and was a way to deal with the more complicated cases (easier to paint everyone with the same brush and give out crazy extensions than to sort through the files) however I don't see how the 4 year window is encouraging the agency to address the cases using risk based approach. Although the risk based approach did not really mention anything about the processing times and it was more about interview waivers so there is that. BTW, What are your thoughts on waiting times for N400? I think it will speed up dramatically to around 3/4 months but I can be wrong
  6. A110
    how do you check?
  7. A110
    AND FORCING PEOPLE TO FILE N400 I GUESS.
  8. A110
    Call me crazy but I think the I751 processing time is about to get VERY fast in about a few weeks.This kind of pattern is typical of goverment agencies.
  9. A110
    I think they don't want to. Look at N400's. They are getting approved super super fast and I suspect they will get faster in the future, N400's are more complicated and the implications of becoming an american are bigger. For whatever reason USCIS does not care about I751 with around 1-2 percent denials.
  10. A110
    Because that sub category do have a significant voting power and unlike us are very vocal about how the policies is going to affect them. No matter who is in office the legitimate USCIS customers are always getting screwed and the ones who don't pay taxes or fees are acting as if the agency owes them something.
  11. A110
    I think you did not read my statement. Anything higher than 55 percent is fine, especially in states with a changing demographic. Voting aside claiming we have x number of new citizens looks better for a dem USCIS director than claiming we have removed y number of restrictions.
  12. A110
    The point is to make it harder and raise the bar. You can't put people in a lie detector machine.
  13. A110
    My two cents: 1) The conspiracy theorist in me tells me they are forcing people to apply for N400 (I know some don't want to) ,N400's are taking as short as two months now and it has been the case that immigrants are more likely to vote Democrat. 2) Many goverment decisions are pointless in the sense that they apply AFTER the fact and NOT BEFORE. I751's take long? Increase the time to 36 months where in reality it's possible that I751 will actually start to get shorter (covid backlog dying down, N400's taking waaaaay shorter and the need to adjust I751 ,.....) but the hand wave approach is to increase the time for now. As for the fraud, I think the whole point of I751 is to make fraud harder and not prevent it. People are not going to share bank accounts,go to trips and file tax returns if they don't trust each other on a spouse level and some love (At least is involved). I don't think it takes more than a few days to actually look through someones file and just tick the check boxes.
  14. A110
    That is wrong.The general trend/analysis section is pulled from scraping the website, as for the "user" data you mentioned, the users only provide receipt numbers. So their data is credible
  15. A110
    I think the only ones (based on timeline data) who get interviewed are the combo interviews. The recent 2022 ones don't get interviewed as per what I saw.
  16. A110
    Someone else from August got approved in NBC today, there is for sure a spike in cases filed in 2022 but a spike doesn't mean anything if it's not more than 20 percent or so. But I am hopeful
  17. A110
    Even in the Potomac center known for it's backlog there is a spike in 2022 based applications. June and July and some even in October (based on lawfully) but they are insignificant (like 1 percent of new approvals)
  18. A110
    N400's are moving at insane speed. So are EAD approvals, I wonder when this whole new way of doing things will catch up with I751s
  19. A110
    Lets pray the risk based approach is here and these are not anomalies. Happy for you. What was your center?
  20. A110
    So much for the "risk based approach"
  21. A110
    Ah so just a year? That is awesome given YSC has a reputation for long wait times.
  22. A110
    Nice. Congrats, you filed November 2021?
  23. A110
    Potomac has some cases in recent months (2022),approved, (I checked with Lawfully). Sometimes the slowest center would be the first to implement risk based approach. Who knows, I am not trying to be optimistic but also think there is good chance the risk based approach is working for people who filed after summer 2022.
  24. A110
    There is a 2022 case being approved at Potomac. But overall it's probbaly the slowest.
  25. A110
    mine is still at case is received at Potomac
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