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Everything posted by xavier2014
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The backlog is decreasing, but there's no reflection of that in the Visa Bulletin. I know F2B will move this fiscal year, but it appears those movements won't be promising. I think that right now, most of the documentarily qualified applicants are from F2A, they are the only category with Chart B being close to current, regularly going to IL pull.
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It seems like they just copied and pasted the September visa bulletin. I was expecting that there wouldn't be any movement when I realized they didn't publish it in the first 10 days (it's a pattern). In the Aug. Visa Bulletin, they mentioned there would be retrogression. Let's consider the October Visa Bulletin both as a retrogression and, hopefully, as a positive development🥲. You can suggest to your petitioner that they reach out to congresspeople, but aside from that, what else can we do? Does anyone have any idea how many F2B applicants are stuck in IL (as of 22 Sep 2015)?
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In 2020 and 2021, approximately 122,000 and 150,000 family-based immigrant visas, respectively, went unused. FY 2023, approximately 197,000 total employment-based visas were available, thanks to the rollover of an additional 57,000 unused family-sponsored visa numbers from FY 2022. The good news is that there won't be any rollover visas from the family-based preference from 2023 for 2024. Over the course of three years, a total of 329,000 visas went unused. Typically, the family preference category receives 226,000 visas per fiscal year, which means that approximately 1.5 years' worth of visas were wasted.
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So, the next VB is very important to set the tone for the next fiscal year. Reading some positive news, such as reducing the waiting time for an immigrant visa interview from 2 years to the standard 2 months, is encouraging. Additionally, someone who applied in September 2015 finally got their immigrant visa
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By the way, the current PD (Priority Date) current situation is mainly focused on lobbying for H1B holders with pending Green Card applications. Does anyone have data regarding F2B DQ waiting times for interviews? From that, we can estimate the number of applicants from 2016. I am assuming an average of 55k+ applicants from each year. It will take 2 years to clear the 2016 backlog.
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After all, no retrogress. That's good news. Next month's visa bulletin will be interesting. I read that some members of Congress are writing to USCIS to make PD current, maybe not(all categories lol). I don't know if it would solve any problems unless visas are distributed evenly. Nevertheless, I am sure some of you would get visa next fiscal year, some would submit doc. Its a long ride let's hope for the best
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Before the pandemic, DR had the second-highest number of F2B applicants, but it didn't hinder F2B visa movement. After pandemic, there have been concerns about clearing the DR backlog huh!. The unusual lack of movement in the F2B category for two consecutive years brought attention to the fact that DR is receiving half of the visas, impacting the movement of F2B. The State Department is aware of this situation, while people from other countries remain stuck for 2-3 years after DQ. Writing to congressperson do impact probably, especially someone from respective states, I came across a tweet from a popular Twitter account (US) stating the difficulty in obtaining a passport quickly(talking about backlog lol) for their newborn child. Some suggested contacting the congressperson of their state, and eventually, the passport issue was resolved with the involvement of a senator.
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wow after seeing this i don't think anybody from the Dominican Republic would complain or be as frustrated as we are. I heard that many family preference visas from 2021 and 2022 were shifted to the employment category, resulting in F2A being the hardest hit in the August Visa Bulletin. Although I am also curious about why the Dominican Republic is receiving half of the F2B visas, at least the visas are not going to waste in this fiscal year. Currently, there are 380k+ IV applicants, and I don't know how many of them are F2B, which will determine the movement in October.
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It's challenging to predict movement in the category when it hasn't shown any progress for the past two years. One of the issues is the backlog created by allocating half of the visas to one specific country this fiscal year, leaving only a few visas for the rest of the countries, with an average of 5-10 visas per country (as most countries don't have as many F2B applicants as F2A). You can refer to my previous post for more details on this. Unless the State Department intervenes by prioritizing other countries as well, it's unlikely to see significant movement. Let's wait and see
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Enough of this discussion about Canada PR; we are getting distracted from the original topic. My main point is that we need the attention of congresspersons to direct the State Department to ensure that each embassy processes a minimum of 10-20 F2B visas. Embassies should update the PD (Priority Date) accordingly, considering the number of visas that specific countries can receive based on demand. That's the essence of it.
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I clearly know and understand that family immigration or chain migration is a privilege, not a right that America offers. Australia, Canada not even offer PR for parents, no idea about UK. America is a special country I truly believe that, their founding fathers created a unique constitution, with constitutional amendments that protect crucial citizen rights not available anywhere else in the world. Although I had the opportunity to immigrate to Australia, I never took it. Trump discussed skilled immigration, which already exists in the form of the H1B visa. By the way, last time when I checked, family immigration programs remain open until Congress passes a law to restrict or close them. This creates curiosity among people regarding family visas, and even the existence of this thread is a result of that curiosity.
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Nope congressperson doesn't deal with visa bulletin but queries regarding Family visa categories, they do expedite cases if possible by directing state dep. when they get request from constituents. If someone asked why F2B stuck or DQ but not getting the interview date even PD is current they can raise the issue to their respective representative. Ultimately, state department allocate visa number to categories, some say its based on DQ, some say its based on demand (some counties have more f4 issues, some F2B) F2B fall into retrogression because they didn't allocated visa evenly instead greater demand from certain countries otherwise I don't understand how it will be retrogress after 2.5 years backlog already.
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so F2B retrogression coming next month, F2A retrogress 3 years!!, although I don't understand how they would retrogress F2B, in 2020 Feb VB, PD was Aug. 2014, in last 3.5 years it moves only 1 year. I heard each congress and senate Pearson have stuff handling immigration, I don't know they are aware of this situation at all. Its completely broken.
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I completely disagree with you. EXCEPT few countries most of the countries doesn't have that much of F2B applicant to face backlog. just look at 2019 data of visa issuance per month. I have already explained the possible reason of huge backlog created in F2B Note: 26k F2B visa per fiscal year, out of that DR already got 9k+, still left few more moths to end this year, they will easily get 13k+ that means only 50% for RW
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without marrying you can have family Vietnam Philipines and DR F2B applicants most probably taking that advantage, if you get married F2B will get invalid unless petitioner become citizen to transfer your case to F3 To reduce backlog NVC need to follow 7% limit per country without that its a long journey, if they follow it most countries won't have any backlog in this category
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derivative beneficiary can immigrate, as long as child is under 21 but not their partners since its an unmarried category. I think you are right, that's why Philippine and Vietnam also getting 200+ F2B visas per month meanwhile India where there is no culture to have children before getting married only getting around 50 F2B visas per month. Not so many countries have F2B applicants actually if you just remove DR from scene it would move faster than F2A. now it seems it would be a long wait for rest of the world!
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I don't see any problem D.R getting 9K visas as long as rest of the world getting their fair share of visas not 7% at least 10-50 visas per demand. I think embassy also do update interview date per category, they can limit visas instead on VB. Otherwise people from other countries can raise this issue to their district/state representatives or NVC
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So I was reading this from VB. Then checked monthly visa issuance for F2B, found Dominican Republic got 9k+ visa so far in this fiscal year. Isn't there's a quota per country where rest of the world not even got 50 visas per month. Only F2B stuck in VB for years. Now this retrogress warning " D. FAMILY-SPONSORED SECOND PREFERENCE AVAILABILITY In the April 2023 Visa Bulletin, it was necessary to establish a final action date in the F2A category. Number use has continued to remain steady, and it may become necessary to retrogress the final action date to keep number use within the FY-2023 annual limit. Additionally, number use in the F2B category has been steady throughout the fiscal year, and it may become necessary to retrogress the final action dates for Rest of World countries, India, and China to keep number use within the FY-2023 annual limit. These situations will be continually monitored, and any necessary adjustments will be made accordingly.