V and B

It said on the old site I was approved on the 29th of May. However I did not actually see the approval notice until the 31st. I check everyday.  And I just received the letter today dated for the 25th of May. New site and app still show received.
 
NOA1 6th on new site and app
            8th on old site

It said on the old site I was approved on the 29th of May. However I did not actually see the approval notice until the 31st. I check everyday.  And I just received the letter today dated for the 25th of May. New site and app still show received.
 
NOA1 6th on new site and app
            8th on old site

It said on the old site I was approved on the 29th of May. However I did not actually see the approval notice until the 31st. I check everyday.  And I just received the letter today dated for the 25th of May. New site and app still show received.
 
NOA1 6th on new site and app
            8th on old site

oh my godness!!!!!!!!
Our case has been approved!!
 
NOA1 (old website): 3rd Nov
NOA1(new website):7th Nov
 
NOA2: 29th May
 
Only old website has been updated and the new website is not updated yet.
No email, no text at all.  Even my case tracker app is so silent...
My fiancé found out because he check on daily basis.
 
YAY!!!
Thank you everyone and good luck to all those still waiting for NOA2.
 
 

So', I'm bored and decided to look at some data and make some guesses...
 
According to VisaJourney data, there are 310 K-1s in the VJ database for November 2017. 91 of those have received NOA2.  
That gives us a 29.3% NOA2 rate (approvals) thus far.
 
If we extrapolate that all to all November cases that weren't rejected in the beginning, 3374, that would mean 978 approvals have potentially happened if we can assume non VJ members are being approved at the same rate as VJ members who have updated their timelines. And we know that some VJ members haven't updated their timelines since the first entry, so this is possibly a little low. Our current known RFE rate is about 80% of the known approved cases, so the same ratios would mean there are possibly 783 cases in RFE status.
 
This would be 1761 cases approved or in RFE using these extrapolated estimates.  In our scans, we're only showing 881.... so that would mean possible a 50% silent rate now; which is not too surprising if the historical rate was 30% and they are now starting to use the new system more and more and probably use the old system less and less. We have seen a lot of people posting the old website wasn't updated for them, so I think this is somewhat believable.
 
If it's true, that 1761 cases have been touched... We'd be just 50% of the way finished now and I'd expect them to do a lot of cases next week and then start December June 4th following week while they finish up November. I would say if we do happen to see a tiny trickle of December cases next week, then these estimates are pretty accurate. Let's see what happens. I'm starting to revise my December start date a bit closer...
@Little_Vixen I would watch for December next week, but especially the week after! 
 @Naes
 
I would say those of us November filers still waiting have a very high chance of getting our approvals or an RFE in the next 2 weeks. 
 

Please dont take it personally @Mike & Tanja meant no harm everyone is just very frustrated with USCIS because they stipulate on their website that they process cases by order received.
 
So those that filed before others have a right to be annoyed.. but we are not annoyed at you personally or any other filers that have been approved  We are just venting our frustration out because USCIS are not doing their jobs properly or as promised.
 
For instance if you paid for a service or you was waiting in a queue would it be acceptable if they suddenly skipped you and served people that are at the back of the queue?  Dont take it personally but the frustration here is aimed at USCIS and no one personally stay strong and approvals will start coming in soon. Good luck  

November Full Scan 5/18 7:30pm CST
 
38 updates in today's scan, 2 are from late yesterday after my scan. They apparently did start on the 7th now.
Hang in there, strange month. Pretty convinced my date (14th) will be the last one to get it's 1st approval given current trends.
 
Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 19 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 15 Your Current Status: Response To USCIS' Request For Evidence Was Received 4 Grand Total 38  
Virgins: 2764
 
Approvals:
Receive Date Status Date 11/01/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/18/18 11/02/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/18/18 11/02/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/18/18 11/02/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/18/18 11/02/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/18/18 11/02/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/18/18 11/02/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/18/18 11/03/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/18/18 11/03/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/18/18 11/06/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/18/18 11/06/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/18/18 11/06/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/18/18 11/07/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/18/18 11/07/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/18/18 11/22/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/18/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/18/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/18/18 11/28/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/18/18 11/28/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/18/18  
RFEs:
11/01/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/18/18 11/07/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/18/18 11/07/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/18/18 11/07/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/18/18 11/07/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/18/18 11/07/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/18/18 11/07/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/18/18 11/07/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/18/18 11/07/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/18/18 11/08/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/18/18 11/20/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/18/18 11/20/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/18/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/18/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/18/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/18/18 11/06/17 Your Current Status: Response To USCIS' Request For Evidence Was Received 05/17/18 11/17/17 Your Current Status: Response To USCIS' Request For Evidence Was Received 05/17/18 11/20/17 Your Current Status: Response To USCIS' Request For Evidence Was Received 05/17/18 11/20/17 Your Current Status: Response To USCIS' Request For Evidence Was Received 05/17/18  

 

 
 
 

Full November Scan, 5/17 7:30pm CST
 
I really wish I had a better explanation for what's going on, but once again they didn't make a lot of progress on our cases. All I can hope for is that there has been significant numbers of silent or new website only NOA2s, because this is just discouraging. I wonder if all the employees went on summer vacation as their kids got out of school... I dunno; but I wish we'd see some real progress every day. The beginning of the month is now on or approaching 200 days. 
 
37 Updates today. 32 Virgins Touched.
 
Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 13 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 21 Your Current Status: Response To USCIS' Request For Evidence Was Received 3 Grand Total 37
 
Approvals:
Receive Date Status Date 11/01/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/17/18 11/01/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/17/18 11/02/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/17/18 11/03/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/17/18 11/03/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/17/18 11/03/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/17/18 11/03/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/17/18 11/06/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/17/18 11/06/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/17/18 11/22/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/17/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/17/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/17/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/17/18  
RFEs
11/01/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/01/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/01/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/01/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/02/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/02/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/02/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/02/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/02/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/07/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/21/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/27/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/17/18 11/13/17 Your Current Status: Response To USCIS' Request For Evidence Was Received 05/17/18 11/17/17 Your Current Status: Response To USCIS' Request For Evidence Was Received 05/17/18 11/20/17 Your Current Status: Response To USCIS' Request For Evidence Was Received 05/17/18