K1 submissions by month

[Brian & Kathy 0]

I decided to count the K1 submissions by month, using the 'sent' date:

Oct. 85

Sept 64

Aug 64

July 226

June 189

May 231

April 193

Mar. 205

Feb. 174

Jan. 173

Submissions really dropped off after July, as you can see. Interesting to me, that there were still a lot of submission all the way from Jan through July. Right now, the service centers seem to be slugging through mostly june applications, with about half of them done so far. Once they are through July applications, things should really start moving . All of Aug thru October COMBINED is less than what was submitted in July.

Edited November 6, 2007 by Brian & Kathy

[zqt3344 21]

I decided to count the K1 submissions by month, using the 'sent' date:

Oct. 85

Sept 64

Aug 64

July 226

June 189

May 231

April 193

Mar. 205

Feb. 174

Jan. 173

Submissions really dropped off after July, as you can see. Interesting to me, that there were still a lot of submission all the way from Jan through July. Right now, the service centers seem to be slugging through mostly june applications, with about half of them done so far. Once they are through July applications, things should really start moving . All of Aug thru October COMBINED is less than what was submitted in July.

Hey that is a very good observation you made. I agree with you. See there is a trend or pattern here after all! oops I will get moderated for that. After looking at your list it is obvious that

A) many applied in June and especially July to beat the new fee increase

B) starting from August on there is a 250% decline in AOS sent

C) the new fees are having their intended affect - slow down the number of applications for understaffed and overworked USCIS case workers

D) like you said if you filed after July 30 within 6 months and onward it looks like you will be getting much better processing times and service, how could you not when the workload drops by 2.5 to 3 times less.

[rebeccajo 14]

I decided to count the K1 submissions by month, using the 'sent' date:

Oct. 85

Sept 64

Aug 64

July 226

June 189

May 231

April 193

Mar. 205

Feb. 174

Jan. 173

Submissions really dropped off after July, as you can see. Interesting to me, that there were still a lot of submission all the way from Jan through July. Right now, the service centers seem to be slugging through mostly june applications, with about half of them done so far. Once they are through July applications, things should really start moving . All of Aug thru October COMBINED is less than what was submitted in July.

You counted the submissions from where? visajourney?

The visajourney community is just a microcosm of all the people flowing through the system right now. VJ members were aware of the fee increases and - as we all know - most made a mad dash to beat the increases.

The public was also aware of the increases, but likely not to the extent you see here.

So - while your observations may be accurate for VJ, I don't know they are accurate enough to predict what is happening to the entire caseload within the system.

[SMOKE 1,426]

where did you hear they were on june k-1s? the uscis website says california is still on april.

https://egov.uscis.gov/cris/jsps/Processtim...eviceCenter=CSC

I-129F Petition for Alien Fiance(e) K-1/K-2 - Not yet married - fiance and/or dependent child April 12, 2007

Edited November 6, 2007 by tapout

[Brian & Kathy 0]

Sorry, I wasn't clear about that. Yes, it is a sample soley from visa journey.

You are completely right though, these numbers should be taken with a grain of salt. After all, it is just a sample of those filers who found and joined this website.

I like playing with numbers though. It helps me to pass the time and gives me a better idea of what's really going on.

You counted the submissions from where? visajourney?

The visajourney community is just a microcosm of all the people flowing through the system right now. VJ members were aware of the fee increases and - as we all know - most made a mad dash to beat the increases.

The public was also aware of the increases, but likely not to the extent you see here.

So - while your observations may be accurate for VJ, I don't know they are accurate enough to predict what is happening to the entire caseload within the system.

Edited November 6, 2007 by Brian & Kathy

[Brian & Kathy 0]

I looked at the information and data of 'imigration timelines' just above. The date USCIS gives is the earliest application they are working on. It is also several weeks out of date by now, as it was last updated october 15th.

where did you hear they were on june k-1s? the uscis website says california is still on april.

https://egov.uscis.gov/cris/jsps/Processtim...eviceCenter=CSC

I-129F Petition for Alien Fiance(e) K-1/K-2 - Not yet married - fiance and/or dependent child April 12, 2007

[TheATeam 0]

I wouldn't be entirely surprised though if this was an accurate "idea" of the numbers of petitions that were sent around July in general. I mean, it would make sense if you were researching the process for filing a K1 or K3 visa that you would know the fees were going to increase and try to get your petition in there before they went up. I think it's mildly sad though that an increase in fees means a decrease in applications, if in fact that is the case. I know that this process is not cheap, I'm not rich by any means, but my fiance and I are doing what it takes to make the money to do it because we want to be together. It's sad that some people may not be afforded the same opportunity to be with their loved ones because of a monetary issue.

On a side note, processing times should get faster and for that I'm SUPER excited! Oh yes, and tapout...the processing times on the USCIS website are for the case with the first date on it. That means that date of April 12, 2007 may be a case that is stuck and not approved yet due to RFE's or name checks, or any number of reasons. They have to post the date of the case that is the longest time ago. I hope that made sense. As you can see from many VJ'ers timelines though, most of the April and May filers have been approved and June and July are not far behind! YAY!

[rebeccajo 14]

I wouldn't be entirely surprised though if this was an accurate "idea" of the numbers of petitions that were sent around July in general. I mean, it would make sense if you were researching the process for filing a K1 or K3 visa that you would know the fees were going to increase and try to get your petition in there before they went up. I think it's mildly sad though that an increase in fees means a decrease in applications, if in fact that is the case. I know that this process is not cheap, I'm not rich by any means, but my fiance and I are doing what it takes to make the money to do it because we want to be together. It's sad that some people may not be afforded the same opportunity to be with their loved ones because of a monetary issue.

On a side note, processing times should get faster and for that I'm SUPER excited! Oh yes, and tapout...the processing times on the USCIS website are for the case with the first date on it. That means that date of April 12, 2007 may be a case that is stuck and not approved yet due to RFE's or name checks, or any number of reasons. They have to post the date of the case that is the longest time ago. I hope that made sense. As you can see from many VJ'ers timelines though, most of the April and May filers have been approved and June and July are not far behind! YAY!

I doubt there will be a decrease in applications in the long run. People who were thinking about it just stepped things up to get it done before the increase went into effect.

The other side though is this - I have wondered if it might decrease the number of 'frivolous' petitions - such as couples who were 'rushing' before they were really ready; people 'shopping' for a spouse; or those who really aren't financially ready to marry.

Face it - the old fee was less than somebody might spend on a really nice outfit. Taking it over 500 bucks makes you think a bit harder.

Edited November 7, 2007 by rebeccajo

[Jasman0717 9]

Wonder why March, May and July were so popular

[mox 298]

I wouldn't discount Brian's numbers. Yes VJ is a microcosm, but there's a lot of evidence that our community tracks pretty close to USCIS. I wouldn't be surprised at all if the VJ numbers scale accurately with USCIS.

That being the case, I'm not sure we can expect a sudden surge in approvals after the July filers are taken care of. As the load drops off, USCIS will almost certainly re-allocate resources to assist with other immigration cases. Hopefully they'll give us a little breathing room before they do it, but I would be really surprised to see approvals coming out of the woodwork. Pleasantly surprised of course, but surprised nonetheless.

Nice work Brian!

Edited November 7, 2007 by moxcamel

[payxibka 10,045]

where did you hear they were on june k-1s? the uscis website says california is still on april.

https://egov.uscis.gov/cris/jsps/Processtim...eviceCenter=CSC

I-129F Petition for Alien Fiance(e) K-1/K-2 - Not yet married - fiance and/or dependent child April 12, 2007

It is a well known fact that the information provided by the USCIS timelines is not accurate as the USCIS will never report a date less than 6 mos. for I-129f processing.

I agree that even though VJ is a microcosm it might also be relatively statistically sound sample (standard caveats of course).

[John and Luda 0]

where did you hear they were on june k-1s? the uscis website says california is still on april.

https://egov.uscis.gov/cris/jsps/Processtim...eviceCenter=CSC

I-129F Petition for Alien Fiance(e) K-1/K-2 - Not yet married - fiance and/or dependent child April 12, 2007

It is a well known fact that the information provided by the USCIS timelines is not accurate as the USCIS will never report a date less than 6 mos. for I-129f processing.

I agree that even though VJ is a microcosm it might also be relatively statistically sound sample (standard caveats of course).

I totally agree.

where did you hear they were on june k-1s? the uscis website says california is still on april.

https://egov.uscis.gov/cris/jsps/Processtim...eviceCenter=CSC

I-129F Petition for Alien Fiance(e) K-1/K-2 - Not yet married - fiance and/or dependent child April 12, 2007

It is a well known fact that the information provided by the USCIS timelines is not accurate as the USCIS will never report a date less than 6 mos. for I-129f processing.

I agree that even though VJ is a microcosm it might also be relatively statistically sound sample (standard caveats of course).

I totally agree.

[caramella 0]

plz i have question about my case K1

i had interview 1 week ago and it was positive,however there was an issue regading document translation. i was given form 221G ..i corrected this and gave the correct document translation.

i was contacted again to return to consulate to fill out form DS157 which i has done.

so plz is somone have idea for help me?

thank u

[Brian & Kathy 0]

For a good reply, I would suggest starting a new topic. This topic won't be viewed by so many people.

This forum, as well as the region specific forum for your consulate would be good places to post. good luck,

Brian

plz i have question about my case K1

i had interview 1 week ago and it was positive,however there was an issue regading document translation. i was given form 221G ..i corrected this and gave the correct document translation.

i was contacted again to return to consulate to fill out form DS157 which i has done.

so plz is somone have idea for help me?

thank u