I-130 myProgress went from 6 months to 5 months to 4 months to 15 months, What to expect?

[NMinLasVegas 0]

I applied online for the I-130 around 7 months ago. The estimate in the MyProgress tab on the uscis website went from 6 months to 5 months to 4 months then jumped to 15 months. Feeling discouraged and wondering if anyone can shed some light on what to expect? Thanks very much.

[Crazy Cat 42,985]

I'd say you are about halfway to I-130 approval right now.  The USCIS estimates are notoriously bad.

Edited March 22 by Crazy Cat

[spicynujac 54]

If you fill out your timeline, you should get an accurate estimate of when your case will be processed.  You can also search for recent approvals and see what their application date was.

The VJ site combines data from multiple US agencies, the various lockbox processing offices, and live user info, and for us the estimate was accurate to within a few days.

Plus you are helping out other users here.  But yes at this point I'd expect your petition will wait in line for about a year before they process it.

 

FYI, the US gov time estimates are just one of several items we encountered that were misleading, contradictory, or outright WRONG from the US immigration offices.  There were 3 or 4 specific cases where if we followed the US Gov instructions our case would have easily taken 6+ months longer, but the forums here gave us the correct info. (For one, they tell you to wait to be scheduled for a visa interview by the embassy, when actually you have to log on to a website and schedule your own interview--how long would we have waited to be scheduled before we realized this?  Could have easily been another year!)

 

There is some outdated data here in the guides, but searching the forums for posts within the past year gives you good, current advice.