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thonati

Recent USCIS Activity

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Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Philippines
Timeline

I wanted to provide my analysis of the USCIS activity recently.  There has been a significant reduction in case activity starting around mid-June.  The average number of cases per week from 04MAR to 10JUN is 1685 per week.  The week of Easter and Memorial Day had 20% reduction as you can imagine. 

 

Since 10JUN the number of cases reviewed is 768, greater than 50% reduction.  This week (22JUL) look like the lowest number of cases reviewed.  So far through Wednesday, the number is 136 reviewed.  If I had to guess, I would say summer vacations at USCIS California are to blame.  It is nice weather anytime in SOCAL but really nice this time of year.  Good for them as everyone needs a vacation.  Bad for us that have petitions that need approval.

 

That part of the state (between LA and SD) is beautiful and the surf must be up.  Everyone is at the beach while we are hitting re-fresh every 2.3 seconds to see if our case is approved.  Good luck to everyone, especially if you applied in Mar/Apr 2024.

 

EDIT:  Let me also add that the average time NOA1 to NOA2 for VJ members is 64 days for March filers, 54 days for April filers, 39 days for May filers.  I filed 13JUN and I am at 41 days today and USCIS has not begun to review cases filed in June.  So I suspect June filers to be back up to the 50~70 days again.  That is if everyone comes back from vacation sober.

 

There are a significant number of VJ members so the sample size is significant to approximate the overall population provided the VJ members entered the data correctly and not make any typos. 

Edited by thonati
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Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Philippines
Timeline

Edit 2:  We had another May filer report and they were NOA2 approved in 57 days taking the average up to 44 days for the May filers.  This number is only going to increase now that USCIS is "on vacation".

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Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Ecuador
Timeline

A noncontributory post has been removed.

 

Thread is moved from the K-1 Process forum to the USCIS Service Centers forum -- topic is processing-rates.

06-04-2007 = TSC stamps postal return-receipt for I-129f.

06-11-2007 = NOA1 date (unknown to me).

07-20-2007 = Phoned Immigration Officer; got WAC#; where's NOA1?

09-25-2007 = Touch (first-ever).

09-28-2007 = NOA1, 23 days after their 45-day promise to send it (grrrr).

10-20 & 11-14-2007 = Phoned ImmOffs; "still pending."

12-11-2007 = 180 days; file is "between workstations, may be early Jan."; touches 12/11 & 12/12.

12-18-2007 = Call; file is with Division 9 ofcr. (bckgrnd check); e-prompt to shake it; touch.

12-19-2007 = NOA2 by e-mail & web, dated 12-18-07 (187 days; 201 per VJ); in mail 12/24/07.

01-09-2008 = File from USCIS to NVC, 1-4-08; NVC creates file, 1/15/08; to consulate 1/16/08.

01-23-2008 = Consulate gets file; outdated Packet 4 mailed to fiancee 1/27/08; rec'd 3/3/08.

04-29-2008 = Fiancee's 4-min. consular interview, 8:30 a.m.; much evidence brought but not allowed to be presented (consul: "More proof! Second interview! Bring your fiance!").

05-05-2008 = Infuriating $12 call to non-English-speaking consulate appointment-setter.

05-06-2008 = Better $12 call to English-speaker; "joint" interview date 6/30/08 (my selection).

06-30-2008 = Stokes Interrogations w/Ecuadorian (not USC); "wait 2 weeks; we'll mail her."

07-2008 = Daily calls to DOS: "currently processing"; 8/05 = Phoned consulate, got Section Chief; wrote him.

08-07-08 = E-mail from consulate, promising to issue visa "as soon as we get her passport" (on 8/12, per DHL).

08-27-08 = Phoned consulate (they "couldn't find" our file); visa DHL'd 8/28; in hand 9/1; through POE on 10/9 with NO hassles(!).

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Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Philippines
Timeline

We had 265 days between NOA1 and NOA2 (NOA 1 filed 9/18/2023 - NOA2 Approval 6/11/2024). I we had an RFE in there but that was sent to us 5/20/2024 and I responded quickly and they received my response on June 1, 2024 and approval showed on the website on June 4th. I don't know if that was the reason for the long delay or not but that was a loooong wait.

K1 Visa
EventDate

Service Center :California Service Center

Transferred?No

Consulate :Manila, Philippines

I-129F Sent :2023-09-16

I-129F NOA1 :2023-09-20

I-129F RFE(s) :2024-05-20

RFE Reply(s) :2024-06-01

I-129F NOA2 :2024-06-11

NVC Received :2024-06-18

Date Case #, IIN, and BIN assigned :2024-07-01

NVC Left :2024-07-16

Consulate Received :2024-07-18

Packet 3 Received :2024-07-28

Packet 3 Sent :2024-07-28

Interview Date :2024-08-13 icon13.gif Submit Review

Interview Result : Approved!!

Visa Received : 2024-08-20

US Entry : 2024-08-30

Marriage : 2024-10-25

Comments :

Processing Estimates/Stats :Your I-129f was approved in 265 days from your NOA1 date.

Your interview took 328 days from your I-129F NOA1 date.

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Filed: K-1 Visa Country: United Kingdom
Timeline

We've been waiting since 4 March. They've skipped cases between Feb 23 and March 6th. They've stalled / slowed down on approving cases around end of May for some reason, many of us thought it was to go back and approved the skipped period (over 2.3k cases) but in the last few weeks there has still been barely any movement (around 5 case approvals across the 2 week skipped period in total, 3 of them expedites).

 

It's been a 143 days for us. Our friend filed Feb 27 and still waiting.. tmvn and none of the other visa sites were helpful or accurate with any of us during that 2 week period. They just skipped us.

Edited by apnzz

 I-129F Journey! ❤️

Package sent: 02 March 2024

NOA1 Received: 04 March 2024

NOA2 Approval: 23 August 2024

Physical NOA2 Received: 04 September 2024

Sent to State: 07 October 2024

NVC Received Case: 16 October 2024

NVC Case Created:

Case In Transit:

Case Ready:

Medical:

Interview:

Visa in Hand:

Flight:

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Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Philippines
Timeline
14 minutes ago, apnzz said:

We've been waiting since 4 March. They've skipped cases between Feb 23 and March 6th. They've stalled / slowed down on approving cases around end of May for some reason, many of us thought it was to go back and approved the skipped period (over 2.3k cases) but in the last few weeks there has still been barely any movement (around 5 case approvals across the 2 week skipped period in total, 3 of them expedites).

 

It's been a 143 days for us. Our friend filed Feb 27 and still waiting.. tmvn and none of the other visa sites were helpful or accurate with any of us during that 2 week period. They just skipped us.

Yea, tmvn put out a YT video on this.  They are just as confused as the rest of us.  They claim this is the first time the USCIS has "skipped over" a full week of cases.  Actually it happened twice, a week's worth of FEB cases and a week's worth of MAR cases.  I see they are now working on those "skipped" cases so you will hear back soon.  As I mentioned, tmvn says they will start working on June filers next week, so they are knocking out FEB-MAY cases at a rapid clip.  I suggest you watch that video.

 

The real question is how did this happen?  Did someone pitch the files and went fishing, or to the bar?  Now that things are electronic, I doubt they tossed the I-129f forms in the trash, never to be seen again.  I believe (not certain) that the NOA1 is generated after the forms are scanned into the system.  So it seems logical to me that once an NOA1 has been sent, it will get adjudicated at some point.  It is not like they have a system Hack.   Well on second thought, we are talking about he Biden Administration here.  They cannot do anything right.

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Filed: K-1 Visa Country: United Kingdom
Timeline

Ive watched the tmv now video, no one really knows why it happened or what has happened other than the fact that time frame of cases was skipped.

 

 

& I was about to say, the previous administration, processing times were atrocious.  At least they have significantly sped up things in the last few months. It sucks I was skipped and over 2.3k are waiting over 140 days but the fact cases are seeing under 90 day approval speeds is amazing and a wonderful thing.

 

Also I hardly would call the recent activty knocking out Feb- May cases rapidly. The majority of them  are still April and May cases. Feb and March still get left and ignored, that hasn't changed. There is no knocking out or rapid with the week I filed or the week before.

 

 

Also trackmyvisanow also posted that they've stalled May approvals and stopped at the end so June processing is likely delayed. They're also a third party service and not associated with USCIS, their estimations are based off of when June cases start to get processed, that's when they know you are "at the front if the line" . It all is just guesses and estimations. It isn't guaranteed to be accurate. USCIS could start approving June cases tomorrow, or it could be a month from now. Who knows.

 

At the rate of them approving the "skipped" period, it'll be ages. The skipped period has seen a total of 13 approvals in the last 28 days. Compare that to the 2.3k that are waiting. Numbers are ridiculous. There isn't anything fast about that. 

Edited by apnzz
Spelling error fixed

 I-129F Journey! ❤️

Package sent: 02 March 2024

NOA1 Received: 04 March 2024

NOA2 Approval: 23 August 2024

Physical NOA2 Received: 04 September 2024

Sent to State: 07 October 2024

NVC Received Case: 16 October 2024

NVC Case Created:

Case In Transit:

Case Ready:

Medical:

Interview:

Visa in Hand:

Flight:

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Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Philippines
Timeline
42 minutes ago, apnzz said:

 

It all is just guesses and estimations. It isn't guaranteed to be accurate. USCIS could start approving June cases tomorrow, or it could be a month from now. Who knows.

 

You have that right.   I with they were more transparent.  Nothing is guaranteed.  However, I will say statistics is based on past behavior to predict future behavior.  When the USCIS does something that is abnormal behavior (skipping entire weeks of cases); prediction becomes less reliable.  There has to be a good and easy explaination.  For example, were these weeks in question assigned to a particular group or department and the workers got COVID and were off for 2 weeks?  Then when they returned, they did not start where they left off?  Then they did not realize the mistake for several weeks?

 

We are dealing with the government here.  No one should be surprised by the poor performance.

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Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Philippines
Timeline
52 minutes ago, Sam Burns said:

Like the previous admin was a paragon of efficiency…

Fair point.  Government as a whole is inefficient by definition.  This is why they hire 3rd party contractors to get the job done. 

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Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Philippines
Timeline
3 hours ago, esme2604 said:

I waited 411 days for my i130 to be approved.. filed in june 2023, and I felt it slowed down wayy much in June.  I was finally approved yesterday.  

Congrats.  411 days is a very long time.

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