Movement of visa bulletin for Adult siblings of US Citizens, F4 (Fourth Preference)

[letmein 0]

Is there a website or resource that shows how the dates on the visa bulletin move with time. Trying to get a sense of how long it might take if applied today. For example, someone who applies for I-130 for their siblings in 2014, how much longer they should be prepared to wait before their turn is up. Thank you!

Edited June 4 by letmein
correction

[SalishSea 17,827]

11 minutes ago, letmein said:

Is there a website or resource that shows how the dates on the visa bulletin move with time. Trying to get a sense of how long it might take if applied today. For example, someone who applies for I-130 for their siblings in 2014, how much longer they should be prepared to wait before their turn is up. Thank you!

20+ years.

[Dashinka 24,492]

You can try searching “visa bulletin movement over time” as there are some sites that track this.

Edited June 4 by Dashinka

[nastra30 2,284]

5 hours ago, letmein said:

Is there a website or resource that shows how the dates on the visa bulletin move with time. Trying to get a sense of how long it might take if applied today. For example, someone who applies for I-130 for their siblings in 2014, how much longer they should be prepared to wait before their turn is up. Thank you!

Movements on visa bulletin is not linear so there isn't a common pattern to predict on. And it could also depend on country. Right now it's looking like 18+ years, but again it's not a linear graph.

[appleblossom 2,483]

6 hours ago, letmein said:

Is there a website or resource that shows how the dates on the visa bulletin move with time. Trying to get a sense of how long it might take if applied today. For example, someone who applies for I-130 for their siblings in 2014, how much longer they should be prepared to wait before their turn is up. Thank you!

You can just look at all the previous bulletins. As said above, it’s not linear - in the past 3 years it’s only moved 7 months. 
 

So at least 20 years, my guess would be 25+ personally, as the number of applicants and the backlog increases every year. 

 

If somebody were looking at sibling sponsorship, I’d advise them to apply asap so they get their place in line, but then look at other visa options and keep the sibling route as back up. Even working their way up in a multi-national company and qualifying for a transfer, which may take a decade, is likely to be a quicker route. It’s particularly important if they have kids to look at alternative ways over, as any kids are likely to age out with the sibling route. 

 

 

Edited June 4 by appleblossom