Off Topic Forum...

[SpiritAlight 1]

Mocha iced-coffee.

Yummmmmmmmmmm...

Good morning One and All!

Wishing you a great day.

In the possibilities...

[trailmix 77]

Oh! well...hmmm. I didn't know anything about this until you guys mentioned it. It also says, on weather.com:

Residents of Florida and the Southeastern U.S. should continue to monitor the progression of this system. Now is the time to review your plan of action and begin to take action to protect your family and your property.

What do you review if you don't have a plan of action??

[MissStacey 1]

Oh! well...hmmm. I didn't know anything about this until you guys mentioned it. It also says, on weather.com:

Residents of Florida and the Southeastern U.S. should continue to monitor the progression of this system. Now is the time to review your plan of action and begin to take action to protect your family and your property.

What do you review if you don't have a plan of action??

If you need somewhere to come TM- you can always come here and stay with us in NO.

[trailmix 77]

If you need somewhere to come TM- you can always come here and stay with us in NO.

Thanks MissStacey, I love NO and I have never even been there

[SpiritAlight 1]

Please be safe Floridians et al.

How?

Well, I wish I could answer that.

Maybe a sacrifice??

Any volunteers?

[Krikit 1,164]

Please be safe Floridians et al.

How?

Well, I wish I could answer that.

Maybe a sacrifice??

Any volunteers?

I volunteer Eric. Or maybe Shplat. Or do you think that will just piss the hurricane gods off?

[SpiritAlight 1]

Please be safe Floridians et al.

How?

Well, I wish I could answer that.

Maybe a sacrifice??

Any volunteers?

I volunteer Eric. Or maybe Shplat. Or do you think that will just piss the hurricane gods off?

[IR5FORMUMSIE 850]

Oh! well...hmmm. I didn't know anything about this until you guys mentioned it. It also says, on weather.com:

Residents of Florida and the Southeastern U.S. should continue to monitor the progression of this system. Now is the time to review your plan of action and begin to take action to protect your family and your property.

What do you review if you don't have a plan of action??

Only the current administration can answer that.

[MrsCat 6]

Currently, seems that the worst will be 8am Tuesday, downgrading to a storm by 8am Wednesday. I the weather.

[KarenCee 3]

I hope you're safe TM...I've never been in that kind of storm, just the tornadoes we have around here occasionally (scary nonetheless). However, I do hope we benefit from some of the rain...the drought up here is sooooo serious.

[MrsCat 6]

Hope everyone in FL stays safe and warm. Hopefully the wind shear will prevent or slow its development before becoming a full fledged hurricane on Tuesday. Stay safe mes amies!

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATC...ml/171507.shtml?

000

WTNT41 KNHC 171507

TCDAT1

TROPICAL STORM FAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 8

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008

1100 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

FAY APPEARS A LITTLE RAGGED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING...WITH

THE MAIN CONVECTION IN BANDS WELL SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER AND ONLY

A SMALL AMOUNT OF CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. SATELLITE INTENSITY

ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE 45 AND 35 KT RESPECTIVELY...AND A

SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION FROM CABO CRUZ CUBA REPORTED 45 KT. BASED ON

THIS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 45 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 290/11...A LITTLE MORE TO THE RIGHT THAN 6 HR

AGO. FAY IS APPROACHING A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN A LOW/MID LEVEL

RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO...WHICH IS DEVELOPING DUE TO A

MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THIS PATTERN

SHOULD ALLOW FAY TO TURN MORE NORTHWARD AFTER 24 HR...BUT THERE

REMAINS SIGNIFICANT DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN THE MODELS ON HOW MUCH OF

A TURN WILL OCCUR. THE ECMWF...GFS...AND GFDL FORECAST A

NORTHEASTWARD TURN TAKING FAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO THE

ATLANTIC. THE HWRF...UKMET...AND CANADIAN MODELS CALL FOR A

NORTHWARD MOTION OVER OR JUST WEST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO

THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THEN...THE NOGPAS CALLS FOR A

NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION TOWARD THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

OVERALL...THE MODEL CONSENSUS HAS CHANGED LITTLE FOR THE FIRST

36-48 HR OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...THEN SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE EAST

THEREAFTER. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS THUS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS

TRACK FOR THE FIRST 48 HR...THEN SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE EAST OF

THE PREVIOUS TRACK.

THE INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS PROBLEMATIC. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE

BECOME A LITTLE LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT THIS MORNING...WITH

THE SHIPS MODEL SHOWING 10 TO 15 KT OF WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND

SHEAR. HOWEVER...THE SHEAR IS STILL LIGHT ENOUGH FOR STRENGTHENING

TO OCCUR IF FAY CAN DEVELOP AN INNER CORE. THE SHIPS AND GFDL

MODELS FORECAST FAY TO BE AT OR NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH IN 36-48

HR...WHILE THE HWRF...WHICH KEEPS FAY OVER WATER LONGER...FORECASTS

A BORDERLINE CATEGORY 1/2 HURRICANE IN 48-60. THE INTENSITY

FORECAST CALLS FOR GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IN AGREEMENT WITH THE

SHIPS MODEL...WITH FAY REACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE LANDFALL

ON THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA. FAY COULD STRENGTHEN MORE THAN

FORECAST IF A WELL-DEFINED INNER CORE FORMS...OR IF IT TRACKS MORE

TO THE WEST AND STAYS LONGER OVER WATER.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 17/1500Z 20.5N 78.6W 45 KT

12HR VT 18/0000Z 21.3N 80.0W 50 KT

24HR VT 18/1200Z 22.9N 81.4W 55 KT...INLAND

36HR VT 19/0000Z 24.5N 82.0W 60 KT...OVER WATER

48HR VT 19/1200Z 26.2N 82.2W 70 KT

72HR VT 20/1200Z 29.5N 82.0W 50 KT...INLAND

96HR VT 21/1200Z 32.5N 81.5W 35 KT...INLAND

120HR VT 22/1200Z 36.0N 81.5W 20 KT...INLAND REMNANT LOW

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN

Edited August 17, 2008 by cattattude

[SpiritAlight 1]

Come on people, group meditation.

Let us intend the wind clocks way East and dissipates quickly over the Atlantic.

Oooooooooooooohhhhhhhhhhhhhhhmmmmmmmmmmmm...

[Carlawarla 1]

Good Morning. Hope you had a great weekend. We actually shut the A/C off yesterday! This is very weird weather. Haven't checked in with the news sites yet, so don't know when the storms are supposed to come, but you guys be safe!

[trailmix 77]

Only the current administration can answer that.

Good Morning. Hope you had a great weekend. We actually shut the A/C off yesterday! This is very weird weather. Haven't checked in with the news sites yet, so don't know when the storms are supposed to come, but you guys be safe!

We did have a great weekend thanks Carla! What's this about shutting the A/C off yesterday? Seems hard to comprehend at this point.

So my Husband is still working with the Elections people. They gave him a 'vote, it's your right' polo shirt to wear when he is onsite setting up the polling stations and a t-shirt for some other occasion - not sure which. I think it's nice that the elections dept. is filling out his wardrobe.

I was reading in the paper just now that the woman responsible for suggesting larger type on the last federal elections ballot (which took the ballot to two sheets which was apparently very confusing) - still gets hate mail.

So what is she doing about this? She is writing a book

[Emancipation 2]

Ahhhhhh this is the bit when I could brag about how we haven't turned on the A/C for over 2 weeks now!! YEAH!!!!!!