Waiting for a NOA2 from CSC for your I-129F?

[Queen Jenn 0]

Cool list!!! It makes me excited that I'm #318. Geez, only 317 in front of me.

Jeraly - I'm rooting for you!!!!!!!!!!

[mox 298]

As always, thanks for putting the list together StP.

Lessee, my rate last week was approval in 8 weeks. This week I moved up 22 spots, which gives me a 9 week approval rate. Dang. Approvals have slowed ever so slightly from last week.

It does, however, support Brian & Kathy's stats, which is showing approvals to be up to weeks sooner than the VJ predicted timeline. So yay for that!

Question now is, when should I start obsessively refreshing my USCIS portfolio page? The 1st seems like a nice round number, but I wonder if I can resist until the 2nd week in January?

[TBoneTX 44,679]

Tell you what - I'll prop you up in the glory of your #1 spot while I bask in your golden light at #2

For $5,000.43, it's a deal.

[Jeraly 4]

Thanks! I'm rooting for me too!! Obviously after rooting for all those that filed before me and booing all those who filed after and have their approvals

Mox - I wish I had the patience to figure all that out... instead I keep refreshing...

[StillThePrettiest 3]

that raises a point I've been wondering about, re VJ's stats - does anyone have any idea how much data is taken into account when the estimated dates are worked out? it seems a bit silly to use ALL of it - the longer the site's in existence, the more information there'll be, but the less relevant the earlier part of it will be... and certainly for many recent approvees, the date's been off by a couple of weeks or more

anyone got any ideas?

[TBoneTX 44,679]

Question now is, when should I start obsessively refreshing my USCIS portfolio page? The 1st seems like a nice round number, but I wonder if I can resist until the 2nd week in January?

You should have been doing it for months (obsess/compul). Actually, you should wait until you have caught our rooster, or, in lieu thereof, one of Debz's pheasants. Here is my favorite obs/comp joke:

The psychiatrist welcomed the elegant-yet-hesitant old lady into his office. "What brings you to see me today, my dear?" he asked.

"I'm here at the insistence of my family," the lady said, bashfully. "They're concerned because I like waffles."

"Well, there's nothing wrong with that," said the psychiatrist. "I happen to like waffles myself."

"You DO, doctor?" said the lady, brightening. "Then you MUST come over sometime. I have nine suitcases FULL of them!"

[TBoneTX 44,679]

that raises a point I've been wondering about, re VJ's stats - does anyone have any idea how much data is taken into account when the estimated dates are worked out? [...] anyone got any ideas?

---

Start a new thread (haaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!). Or, ask Cap'n Ewok. I mentioned earlier that my VJ timeline now says that there is not enough data to estimate my approval date; perhaps this means that there are "too few" June filers from the TSC left. That's a good sign. Historically, though, and as I've reported here, my VJ approval date has been bouncing around faster than Speedy Gonzalez on a caffeine high. In lieu of an answer from a Moderator, is there a statistician on this forum or another who could comment?

[mox 298]

that raises a point I've been wondering about, re VJ's stats - does anyone have any idea how much data is taken into account when the estimated dates are worked out? it seems a bit silly to use ALL of it - the longer the site's in existence, the more information there'll be, but the less relevant the earlier part of it will be... and certainly for many recent approvees, the date's been off by a couple of weeks or more

anyone got any ideas?

Good question. I've always assumed there to be a floating window, but now that you bring it up, I don't think I've ever read anything on exactly how it's done.

For awhile, right after the rate increase in fact, the estimated adjudication date meant almost nothing. The system was so backlogged that it was almost a cruel joke. Now it's starting to get more accurate than it was, although it's still only slightly more accurate than a Magic 8 Ball.

In lieu of an answer from a Moderator, is there a statistician on this forum or another who could comment?

Brian & Kathy's stats. It's about the most significant analysis I've seen yet.

[TBoneTX 44,679]

Brian & Kathy's stats. It's about the most significant analysis I've seen yet.

I've seen them too, but I haven't followed their discussion lately. Math gives me a headache; to me, Calculus is what dentists scrape from one's teeth, and Algebra is the national language of Algeria.

Being 100% serious (gag, aack) for a fleeting moment, Mox, you should be refreshing your Case Status every couple of seconds. Your Intended is so staggeringly beautiful that she could make an archbishop kick out a stained-glass window. Holy mackerel!

[mox 298]

Thanks TBoneTX. I definitely can't argue with you there, and I'm sure she'd thank you if she could for the compliment. I probably won't be able to hold out until the middle of January, but it's a little ridiculous to think I'd be approved before then.

[TBoneTX 44,679]

Thanks TBoneTX. I definitely can't argue with you there, and I'm sure she'd thank you if she could for the compliment. I probably won't be able to hold out until the middle of January, but it's a little ridiculous to think I'd be approved before then.

Welcome. (Not to be misunderstood: My Cristina is, naturally, even more beautifuller, and we all know who remains The Prettiest.)

With the holidays coming up, processing could either slow down because of the Immigration Bastards taking vacations, or there could be a push to clear as many applications from the deck as possible before Gnu Year's (due to quotas, or whatever). There really is no telling. Maybe call the Disinformation line once or twice, get past the infernal screeners, and simply ask the ImmigOff WHERE your file is -- in the file room, or in the Division -- and if in the latter, where (someone's workstation, a transit station, whatever). Pleasantly ask the ImmigOff if he can send a friendly e-mail of inquiry down to the floor. (Unless you get a nice one, they'll say NO, but you should try.)

On the basis of my experience yesterday, maybe asking "where" the file is (and helpfully prompting them with some possible places) is more valuable than the usual "why" the file isn't processed. You should also add that a number of files submitted after yours have been approved already, and the Case Online flatly says "We process files in the order we receive them."

Gag -- three paragraphs without a punchline... I must be sick...

[mox 298]

I don't plan on calling them until I'm overdue. Right now, as a Sept filer, I'm well within the processing times. So much so that if I were to receive my NOA2 today I'd probably be too embarrassed to tell anyone here. So I'm going to save all my phone karma for when I really need it.

I expect we'll see processing slow a little this month, but not significantly. They've actually done an amazing job just over the last 6 weeks or so of really picking up the pace.

[Jeraly 4]

Oh just for those who have forgotten (like me!) or need a little hope here are the words of Debz with the graphics of me:

[TBoneTX 44,679]

I don't plan on calling them until I'm overdue. Right now, as a Sept filer, I'm well within the processing times. So much so that if I were to receive my NOA2 today I'd probably be too embarrassed to tell anyone here. So I'm going to save all my phone karma for when I really need it.

I expect we'll see processing slow a little this month, but not significantly. They've actually done an amazing job just over the last 6 weeks or so of really picking up the pace.

Your circumspection and charity are boundless, Mox, and I hate you for it (KIDDING!). One phone call, perhaps in early January, shouldn't do any harm. Just keep checking the Online Status as often or as little as you care to; it's still a free country, excepting the usurous USCIS fees. And, should you get your NOA2 today, you can state that it was a "test file" that was used to train new employees. No one here could gainsay you, eh, wot, si man.

[TBoneTX 44,679]

Oh just for those who have forgotten (like me!) or need a little hope here are the words of Debz with the graphics of me:

Debz is nicely wordy and you are quite graphic, Aly!