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Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Gambia
Timeline
Posted
2 minutes ago, AndiB said:

That's the number quoted in their report but he's also pointed out in a prior post that their own reports don't match from quarter to quarter, like I think no. processed didn't match reduction in backlog so it's difficult to be sure. We *think* it's about 40k for oct 2022 filers right now but it's really informed guesses at this pt

So pretty much we just need to wait and see at this point. 

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: United Kingdom
Timeline
Posted
Just now, Quimat said:

So pretty much we just need to wait and see at this point. 

Sadly yh 😂

I-129f filed: 2022-10-21  ||  NOA1: 2022-10-24  ||  NOA2: 2023-09-21
NVC Received: 2023-10-13  ||  NVC in transit: 2023-10-24  ||  NVC Ready: 2023-10-26 

Medical: 2023-11-24  ||  Interview: 2023-12-14  ||  CEAC Issued: 2023-12-18  ||  VOH: 2023-12-20
Entry to US: 2024-02-14 || Married: 2024-02-29

---

AOS filed: 2024-03-18 ||  NOA1: 2024-03-20 || Biometrics: 2024-04-01
EAD NOA2: 2024-04-02  ||  EAD Received: 2024-04-24
GC NOA2: 2024-07-30 || GC Received: 2024-08-08

 

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: United Kingdom
Timeline
Posted

The ave backlog per month seems to be about 3250ish some are a lil lower, some a lil higher. So I *think* take that number, multiply by how many months between current filers getting approved and you should be a decent approx. 

 

I count nov as still in front of me as pending oct+nov+sept is basically equal to a month

I-129f filed: 2022-10-21  ||  NOA1: 2022-10-24  ||  NOA2: 2023-09-21
NVC Received: 2023-10-13  ||  NVC in transit: 2023-10-24  ||  NVC Ready: 2023-10-26 

Medical: 2023-11-24  ||  Interview: 2023-12-14  ||  CEAC Issued: 2023-12-18  ||  VOH: 2023-12-20
Entry to US: 2024-02-14 || Married: 2024-02-29

---

AOS filed: 2024-03-18 ||  NOA1: 2024-03-20 || Biometrics: 2024-04-01
EAD NOA2: 2024-04-02  ||  EAD Received: 2024-04-24
GC NOA2: 2024-07-30 || GC Received: 2024-08-08

 

Posted
5 minutes ago, AndiB said:

The ave backlog per month seems to be about 3250ish some are a lil lower, some a lil higher. So I *think* take that number, multiply by how many months between current filers getting approved and you should be a decent approx. 

 

I count nov as still in front of me as pending oct+nov+sept is basically equal to a month

Is there any way to know which applications are a k3? Are those included in the daily updates?

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: United Kingdom
Timeline
Posted (edited)
2 minutes ago, New Romantics said:

Is there any way to know which applications are a k3? Are those included in the daily updates?

Ah didn't know they were included. They may fall into outright rejected if so because basically 0 k3s get processed now a days

Edited by AndiB

I-129f filed: 2022-10-21  ||  NOA1: 2022-10-24  ||  NOA2: 2023-09-21
NVC Received: 2023-10-13  ||  NVC in transit: 2023-10-24  ||  NVC Ready: 2023-10-26 

Medical: 2023-11-24  ||  Interview: 2023-12-14  ||  CEAC Issued: 2023-12-18  ||  VOH: 2023-12-20
Entry to US: 2024-02-14 || Married: 2024-02-29

---

AOS filed: 2024-03-18 ||  NOA1: 2024-03-20 || Biometrics: 2024-04-01
EAD NOA2: 2024-04-02  ||  EAD Received: 2024-04-24
GC NOA2: 2024-07-30 || GC Received: 2024-08-08

 

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Brazil
Timeline
Posted (edited)
24 minutes ago, New Romantics said:

Was this just updated or did I miss it? https://egov.uscis.gov/processing-times/historic-pt

I noticed it a day or two ago. They updated much quicker this time.

Interesting how it's gone from 15 to 14.5 to 14.6 the last three months. 50% in that time and 80% in 15.5 months at the California center.

Edited by Naterson
Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Brazil
Timeline
Posted (edited)
8 minutes ago, Quimat said:

Forgive me but I am so confused right now. Are processing times officially going to go down to 14.6 months? When I checked on the site it still said 15.5? 

On the one site that you're referencing it's the time to adjudicate 80% of cases at a specific location over the last 6 months.

The site shared above is for the nation and is the median (not the mean) time to adjudicate 50% of cases for the fiscal year (October through September).

So it's a bit of an apples and oranges comparison, but does seem somewhat contradictory.

Edited by Naterson
Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Gambia
Timeline
Posted
1 minute ago, Naterson said:

On the one site that you're referencing it's the time to adjudicate 80% of cases at a specific location over the last 6 months.

The site shared above is for the nation and is the median (not the mean) time to adjudicate 50% of cases.

So it's a bit of an apples and oranges comparison, but does seem somewhat contradictory.

Okay that makes more sense. Yes it absolutely does seem contradictory  and this is why nobody knows what to think anymore 🤦🏾‍♀️

 
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