Number of cases processed hit new high!

[GinoNiña 182]

23 minutes ago, FromMexico W/Love said:

Just saw someone post their CR-1 timeline on Reddit, they filed Sep 2022 and just got their approval! 

Yes! I see it in K1 as well. expedited reason being is spouse or fiancee lives in the war zone. they have privilege to  get process right away bypassing all of us.  

[Anna Hessler 119]

3 hours ago, AndiB said:

Anna will post one when she gets a sec! Majority seems to be Nov with cascade down to july. Each day is fairly consistent

I'll post tomorrow. Unless no one cares about Saturday RFEs and wants it today!

[FromMexico W/Love 244]

1 minute ago, Anna Hessler said:

I'll post tomorrow. Unless no one cares about Saturday RFEs and wants it today!

Show us!!! lol 

[Anna Hessler 119]

Just now, FromMexico W/Love said:

Show us!!! lol 

 

Sorry if this is a little messy. I wasnt going to include July and August but this week there were a good amount of them. 

[FromMexico W/Love 244]

779+ cases approved is a great week. 

[Anna Hessler 119]

Just now, FromMexico W/Love said:

779+ cases approved is a great week. 

It is! Ive been doing this weekly table for my K1 FB group for about three or four months now and its the most by far. 

[FromMexico W/Love 244]

Do you think we should view it as 1,053+ cases processed or just the approvals? I'm trying to frame this in the best way possible for timelines. Because I wonder how much the RFEs weigh down the processing for future cases. I doubt it has the same weight as an untouched case. 

[Anna Hessler 119]

7 minutes ago, FromMexico W/Love said:

Do you think we should view it as 1,053+ cases processed or just the approvals? I'm trying to frame this in the best way possible for timelines. Because I wonder how much the RFEs weigh down the processing for future cases. I doubt it has the same weight as an untouched case. 

It depends on what your "goal" is. Are you interested in the backlog being reduced? Then just look at approvals and denials, because those are the only decisions that remove a case from the backlog. 

 

Processing speed and weekly capacity? K1 FTEs, if you will? Then I'd include RFEs, but even that is hard. We don't know how much time was spent on each RFE before a decision was made. USCIS claims they spend 40 minutes on a K1 application. Arguably, a case that gets an RFE doesn't need that much time before the officer realizes something is missing. 

[Oregonian97 48]

Do you all think 1,000 cases a week is at all possible sometime in the next 2 months? If we average that the next few months, backlog will be flushed out by end of year.

 

Also, at this point in order for USCSI to meet their 6 month cycle time by Oct 2023, they need to average 1200 cases a week from now til October 2023.  

[FromMexico W/Love 244]

5 minutes ago, Oregonian97 said:

Do you all think 1,000 cases a week is at all possible sometime in the next 2 months? If we average that the next few months, backlog will be flushed out by end of year.

 

Also, at this point in order for USCSI to meet their 6 month cycle time by Oct 2023, they need to average 1200 cases a week from now til October 2023.  

Even if they get close to it, that greatly helps us. 

Edited January 29, 2023 by FromMexico W/Love

[FromMexico W/Love 244]

6 minutes ago, Anna Hessler said:

It depends on what your "goal" is. Are you interested in the backlog being reduced? Then just look at approvals and denials, because those are the only decisions that remove a case from the backlog. 

 

Processing speed and weekly capacity? K1 FTEs, if you will? Then I'd include RFEs, but even that is hard. We don't know how much time was spent on each RFE before a decision was made. USCIS claims they spend 40 minutes on a K1 application. Arguably, a case that gets an RFE doesn't need that much time before the officer realizes something is missing. 

I almost think the 1,053+ number is the number we should go off of, because if they put an RFE case aside for a couple weeks while they wait on information, then in theory that allows them to move onto other cases. Hypothetically, a 40,000 backlog when you filed would led to you potentially hearing something in 40 weeks (Approval, RFE, Denial), right? Or am I thinking about this incorrectly? 

[Oregonian97 48]

10 minutes ago, FromMexico W/Love said:

I almost think the 1,053+ number is the number we should go off of, because if they put an RFE case aside for a couple weeks while they wait on information, then in theory that allows them to move onto other cases. Hypothetically, a 40,000 backlog when you filed would led to you potentially hearing something in 40 weeks (Approval, RFE, Denial), right? Or am I thinking about this incorrectly? 

We should not look at RFE's. I would consider RFE's as merely a notification. The approval/denial numbers already take that into account and are the only thing that reduce backlog. Also, New RFE's are always being added, so you could argue when they finish one RFE, a new one is added in its place. 

Edited January 29, 2023 by Oregonian97

[FromMexico W/Love 244]

6 minutes ago, Oregonian97 said:

We should not look at RFE's. I would consider RFE's as merely a notification. The approval/denial numbers already take that into account and are the only thing that reduce backlog. 

Potentially, but at this stage and with the wait being so long I value a notification very highly, but that's just me. Because from a RFE, you are looking at a couple weeks until approval. 

 

EDIT: I see what y'all are saying now.

Edited January 29, 2023 by FromMexico W/Love

[Anna Hessler 119]

6 minutes ago, FromMexico W/Love said:

Potentially, but at this stage and with the wait being so long I value a notification very highly, but that's just me. Because from a RFE, you are looking at a couple weeks until approval. 

 

EDIT: I see what y'all are saying now.

You make a good point though! The average K1 filer doesn't care about all this data mining and analyzing. They just want to have some hope that things are getting better and that they have a chance. That is just as valuable as a high-tech spreadsheet.

[FromMexico W/Love 244]

2 minutes ago, Anna Hessler said:

You make a good point though! The average K1 filer doesn't care about all this data mining and analyzing. They just want to have some hope that things are getting better and that they have a chance. That is just as valuable as a high-tech spreadsheet.

I am holding out hope like crazy that I can get an approval in the early fall, so that potentially I can be with my fiancé for Christmas!