Number of cases processed hit new high!

[AndiB 677]

1 minute ago, h02ejmajja said:

Or - as you've admitted yourself, it's not reliable....

My estimate is not reliable yes because it is completely my own biased opinion...I can't say how many cases they'll be doing in 2 months but the 800 number for last week, is reliable. It's in the past. My prediction of the future is an educated guess at best. I just always make sure to state that so people don't think I have some insider knowledge and believe it' 100% facts

You're cherry picking statements and mixing them together.

Just now, New Romantics said:

I am so excited to see where this goes lol. I think I might pass out if I see them doing 1000 or more 😂😂

I will 100% be buying celebratory drinks or a meal or something

[New Romantics 188]

3 minutes ago, AndiB said:

I will 100% be buying celebratory drinks or a meal or something

Fingers crossed!! I'm waiting on uscis analysis on youtube to do release their new video as well. That will be interesting

[JeanneAdil 6,581]

4th quarter reports (July thru end of  September )  end of 2022 fiscal year

 

i can not find October thru December yet  (1st quarter of 2023 fiscal year)

 

but this chart has all info about every visa type,  every denied and approved and pending visa

 

https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/document/data/Quarterly_All_Forms_FY2022_Q4.pdf

 

USCIS has charts and info on many sites 

[JeanneAdil 6,581]

51 minutes ago, New Romantics said:

Someone who knows can correct me, but I don't think the data is extrapolated. It's more that they run some sort of script and collect updates on the case numbers, or something of the sort. I'm not a computer person lol 

USCIS does quarterly reports show all cases denied,  approved and pending 

 

the following site is for the end of 2022 fiscal year 

https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/document/data/Quarterly_All_Forms_FY2022_Q4.pdf

 

if you want to check on approved cases in your embassy go to the following site NIV will have K!   IV will have CR1  look under post and class

https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/visa-statistics.html

[JeanneAdil 6,581]

57 minutes ago, New Romantics said:

Someone who knows can correct me, but I don't think the data is extrapolated. It's more that they run some sort of script and collect updates on the case numbers, or something of the sort. I'm not a computer person lol 

USCIS does quarterly reports show all cases denied,  approved and pending 

 

the following site is for the end of 2022 fiscal year 

https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/document/data/Quarterly_All_Forms_FY2022_Q4.pdf

 

if you want to check on approved cases in your embassy go to the following site NIV will have K!   IV will have CR1  look under post and class

https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/visa-statistics.html

[JeanneAdil 6,581]

do not expect USCIS to be able to decrease the timeframes by their predictions / they are not even reasonible   2 weeks for premium I 129 ???  

 

https://egov.uscis.gov/processing-times/reducing-processing-backlogs

[AndiB 677]

8 minutes ago, JeanneAdil said:

do not expect USCIS to be able to decrease the timeframes by their predictions / they are not even reasonible   2 weeks for premium I 129 ???  

 

https://egov.uscis.gov/processing-times/reducing-processing-backlogs

that's not a fiance visa, 1-129 has a goal of 2 months then 2week for premium. 
I-129f will still be 6months goal with no premium options.

Edited January 15, 2023 by AndiB

[AndiB 677]

2 minutes ago, AndiB said:

that's not a fiance visa, 1-129 has a goal of 2 months then 2week for premium. 
I-129f will still be 6months goal with no premium options.

to add to this, it's a worker visa. It makes sense to have short waits and premium options for workers. A company may need a worker ASAP and for economical reasons it makes sense to expediate these visas. A family visa is a lower priority.

[JeanneAdil 6,581]

2 minutes ago, AndiB said:

that's not a fiance visa, 1-129 has a goal of 2 months then 2week for premium. 
I-129f will still be 6months goal with no premium options.

yeah,  i said for premium

but the 2 months for the normal is not even possible -not if u view the already pending cases

they are so far behind already -how would it be there can catch up with new cases being added every day

[AndiB 677]

1 minute ago, JeanneAdil said:

yeah,  i said for premium

but the 2 months for the normal is not even possible -not if u view the already pending cases

they are so far behind already -how would it be there can catch up with new cases being added every day

that's not fiance....

The goal for our visas are 6months not 2months.

I agree I don't expect them to meet this goal though. I just mention it in my post as to have such an extreme goal means they have to be making big changes ASAP.  If the goal was like 12 months...it'd be more achievable but require far less movement on their side. I will die of shock if they get down to 6months by Oct but honestly...at this rate they may not be miles off the mark by then

[AndiB 677]

5 minutes ago, AndiB said:

that's not fiance....

The goal for our visas are 6months not 2months.

I agree I don't expect them to meet this goal though. I just mention it in my post as to have such an extreme goal means they have to be making big changes ASAP.  If the goal was like 12 months...it'd be more achievable but require far less movement on their side. I will die of shock if they get down to 6months by Oct but honestly...at this rate they may not be miles off the mark by then

Quick math based on slightly outdated numbers, they need to get to about 1400+ per week to get close to their 6month goal (but that would have to be now, next month may need to be like 1500). That's not super out of the bounds of reality with the way their numbers are tracking. I wouldn't be super shocked if they were down to 10months by around Oct but I would also rather be cautious and assume we'll hang closer to 12-14months.

[JeanneAdil 6,581]

10 minutes ago, AndiB said:

Quick math based on slightly outdated numbers, they need to get to about 1400+ per week to get close to their 6month goal (but that would have to be now, next month may need to be like 1500). That's not super out of the bounds of reality with the way their numbers are tracking. I wouldn't be super shocked if they were down to 10months by around Oct but I would also rather be cautious and assume we'll hang closer to 12-14months.

me too as they are already so far behind 

and they were before covid 

 

in 2009 i applied July 1 for K1 and interview was in November -less than 5 months from PD to interview

 

i don't see that possible anymore

Edited January 15, 2023 by JeanneAdil

[JeanneAdil 6,581]

26 minutes ago, AndiB said:

to add to this, it's a worker visa. It makes sense to have short waits and premium options for workers. A company may need a worker ASAP and for economical reasons it makes sense to expediate these visas. A family visa is a lower priority.

visa prioitys often change

in the summer student visa interviews are pushed 

 

and right now Immigration is dealing with Ukraine and whatever they come up with for all the new illegals streaming in 

and its only going to get worse at the Mexico /Us border as the arrest of Joaquin “El Chapo” Guzmán, has led to riots in mexico driving decent citizens to flee

[IntrusiveThief 2]

4 hours ago, AndiB said:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/0/d/15hiSOTm85W1CG6c0jzQ8B7lXLo1JEwsWKr3zIszC2Zg/htmlview#

It often lags so give it a week or two before worrying about numbers. Like I've seen 100 before only for it to jump to 600 a week later 😂

Nice. Do you know if there's a similar one for the I-130? 

[AndiB 677]

2 hours ago, IntrusiveThief said:

Nice. Do you know if there's a similar one for the I-130? 

sadly I do not, I believe these projects mostly started as the K1 was fluctuating so widely. I think spousal is still fairly predictable as long as you know service centre? I lack knowledge in this area