Number of cases processed hit new high!

[Quimat 154]

8 hours ago, AndiB said:

the numbers at the top are how many are processed per month, two are highlighted because we're somewhere between 5000-5500 at the moment. You then look at the Nov row and that's how many months until they would finish your month if they processed in order.
So to get when they start a month, minus 2months. So for Nov they'll start in about 4-4.6months at CURRENT speed

This helps everything make more sense, thank you! 

 

8 hours ago, Vashezzo said:

 

The bold numbers are roughly their current pace of processing, so for a November 2022 filer, if current trends continue, you're looking at about 6-6.6 months from today before they move on from your month. Basically you can roughly expect a decision anywhere between 4-7 months from today. (And in my opinion it's more likely to be on the shorter end of that range.)

Thank you! 

[Quimat 154]

Did you all see this?!

[Naterson 129]

7 minutes ago, Quimat said:

Did you all see this?!

I didn't see that specifically, but as I've been doing the October 2022 monthly check I've seen approvals without expedite. Not sure how they get through so quickly.

[FromMexico W/Love 244]

19 minutes ago, Naterson said:

I didn't see that specifically, but as I've been doing the October 2022 monthly check I've seen approvals without expedite. Not sure how they get through so quickly.

 

Hmmm this is interesting. I wonder if they are trying to game the numbers or if they are expedites that aren't labeled in the scanners...? Something is a foot! 

[Bh_sarah 942]

32 minutes ago, Naterson said:

I didn't see that specifically, but as I've been doing the October 2022 monthly check I've seen approvals without expedite. Not sure how they get through so quickly.

I second that because I saw it on February. It could either be expedites that weren't even marked as such (not sure if there is a way to request an expedite at the same moment as filing) OR some people have insider contacts there we normies don't know about OR it's just a matter of random luck.

It's weird to notice too there are 4 expedite requests from February that I am tracking that are *still* waiting on a response... 2 of those expedite requests were approved and one has a non-responded RFE as of today. Still pending.

[AndiB 677]

4 minutes ago, Bh_sarah said:

I second that because I saw it on February. It could either be expedites that weren't even marked as such (not sure if there is a way to request an expedite at the same moment as filing) OR some people have insider contacts there we normies don't know about OR it's just a matter of random luck.

It's weird to notice too there are 4 expedite requests from February that I am tracking that are *still* waiting on a response... 2 of those expedite requests were approved and one has a non-responded RFE as of today. Still pending.

I think it's more likely an expedite that wasn't listed as such or random. I assume they're CSC else wouldn't show up for y'all??

I know random transfers sometimes get lucky.

 

I think they're just outliers that we'll never really know reason for. Everyone always gets into a frenzy though even though it's like 1 in 1k 💀

[Bh_sarah 942]

3 minutes ago, AndiB said:

I think it's more likely an expedite that wasn't listed as such or random. I assume they're CSC else wouldn't show up for y'all??

I know random transfers sometimes get lucky.

 

I think they're just outliers that we'll never really know reason for. Everyone always gets into a frenzy though even though it's like 1 in 1k 💀

Yep, it's hard to know unless the filer is the one giving us all the info. And I remember a February filer like that... completely surprised it took her like 8 months, she didn't do anything different from the rest of us. And yep, all are WAC numbers (California). I don't follow transferred cases because I am not sure if they are given another receipt number specifically for those second centres? (I assume they are since their case updates stop at the transferred status)

[AndiB 677]

4 minutes ago, Bh_sarah said:

Yep, it's hard to know unless the filer is the one giving us all the info. And I remember a February filer like that... completely surprised it took her like 8 months, she didn't do anything different from the rest of us. And yep, all are WAC numbers (California). I don't follow transferred cases because I am not sure if they are given another receipt number specifically for those second centres? (I assume they are since their case updates stop at the transferred status)

Yeah numbers are SC specific so I imagine they get a new one.

 

It may even just be an error of someone looking at the wrong case, like pulling wrong one out of pile meaning they hit an earlier one. Honestly so many reasons, it's such a small sample it seems most likely an error rather than any sort of trend

[Bh_sarah 942]

10 minutes ago, AndiB said:

Yeah numbers are SC specific so I imagine they get a new one.

 

It may even just be an error of someone looking at the wrong case, like pulling wrong one out of pile meaning they hit an earlier one. Honestly so many reasons, it's such a small sample it seems most likely an error rather than any sort of trend

For sure. All I know is that those people should probably play the lottery too and win with that kind of luck! hahaha

[AndiB 677]

15 minutes ago, Bh_sarah said:

For sure. All I know is that those people should probably play the lottery too and win with that kind of luck! hahaha

Probably used it all up 😂

[HC&DJXG 43]

I've also heard of cases being processed faster even if not expedited because the petitioner was from a certain country. For example a Ukranian petitioner living like France. I can't remember where I saw that so don't quote me on that.

[Obllak[BANNED] 186]

Are you guys sure you are not missing the expedition label? Sometimes it gets expedited and also then processed the same day. if you are scanning after that and the change of statuses are not saved into the database, you simply can't know there were ever expedited. All expedited cases we see are processed extremely fast. 

[AndiB 677]

8 minutes ago, HC&DJXG said:

I've also heard of cases being processed faster even if not expedited because the petitioner was from a certain country. For example a Ukranian petitioner living like France. I can't remember where I saw that so don't quote me on that.

Oh yeah I think cases I've seen of unexpected fast processing was people from war torn countries. May be a case of someone spots it and pushes it through?? No idea but yh difficult to draw conclusions when they're kinda whispers with little detail

[Bh_sarah 942]

23 minutes ago, Obllak said:

Are you guys sure you are not missing the expedition label? Sometimes it gets expedited and also then processed the same day. if you are scanning after that and the change of statuses are not saved into the database, you simply can't know there were ever expedited. All expedited cases we see are processed extremely fast. 

Yeah, it sucks that CaseTracker doesn't store it (I talked to the developer and it would require them a huge database, so only cases added to "my cases" store that info). Lawfully does show the whole thing though.

I used to scan and mark the expedites every week (then recently every day) and some February ones really were approved with no expedite requests status at all. Not sure if they requested and the status was never there and were instantly approved because it was a matter of real urgency or not. Or maybe the whole expedite request received/approved/case approved happened in the space of a week and I only saw the last phase, but at least the expedite ones I tracked lasted longer than that. In fact, many expedited requests approved early last year only saw approvals/denial/RFE this year.

Edited May 17, 2023 by Bh_sarah

[Naterson 129]

2 minutes ago, Bh_sarah said:

Yeah, it sucks that CaseTracker doesn't store it (I talked to the developer and it would require them a huge database, so only cases added to "my cases" store that info). Lawfully does show the whole thing though.

I used to scan and mark the expedites every week (then recently every day) and some February ones really were approved with no expedite requests status at all. Not sure if they requested and the status were never there and they were instantly approved because it was a matter of real urgency or not. Or maybe the whole expedite request received/approved/case approved happened in the space of a week and I only saw the last phase, but at least the expedite ones I tracked lasted longer than that.

I agree, I've seen few expedites in October approved, but the two I've seen since I started tracking still took a month or two for approval.

 

That's not to say the others aren't getting expedite + immediate approval. I only scan once a month at this point, so it's very easy for me to miss a lot.