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Filed: K-1 Visa Country: United Kingdom
Timeline
Posted
8 minutes ago, KaitlinL said:

March is officially at 80% touched already! 🎉

 

Do we think they’ll start moving onto May soon too, or is it 80% processed that triggers them to move to the next month?  

April comes first 😂

Usually when prior month is 50% so soon

I-129f filed: 2022-10-21  ||  NOA1: 2022-10-24  ||  NOA2: 2023-09-21
NVC Received: 2023-10-13  ||  NVC in transit: 2023-10-24  ||  NVC Ready: 2023-10-26 

Medical: 2023-11-24  ||  Interview: 2023-12-14  ||  CEAC Issued: 2023-12-18  ||  VOH: 2023-12-20
Entry to US: 2024-02-14 || Married: 2024-02-29

---

AOS filed: 2024-03-18 ||  NOA1: 2024-03-20 || Biometrics: 2024-04-01
EAD NOA2: 2024-04-02  ||  EAD Received: 2024-04-24
GC NOA2: 2024-07-30 || GC Received: 2024-08-08

 

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Canada
Timeline
Posted
2 minutes ago, AndiB said:

April comes first 😂

Usually when prior month is 50% so soon

Yes I know 😅 I just meant that they’re already processing April, so I wasn’t sure if it would shift to April/May now instead of March/April if that makes sense haha

Posted
16 minutes ago, KaitlinL said:

Yes I know 😅 I just meant that they’re already processing April, so I wasn’t sure if it would shift to April/May now instead of March/April if that makes sense haha

As an April filer I really hope not haha. Sorry 😅

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: United Kingdom
Timeline
Posted
38 minutes ago, KaitlinL said:

Yes I know 😅 I just meant that they’re already processing April, so I wasn’t sure if it would shift to April/May now instead of March/April if that makes sense haha

I believe they go off april speed not month prior, usually at about 50% of that month. Dunno if there's really a correlation with month prior to that

I-129f filed: 2022-10-21  ||  NOA1: 2022-10-24  ||  NOA2: 2023-09-21
NVC Received: 2023-10-13  ||  NVC in transit: 2023-10-24  ||  NVC Ready: 2023-10-26 

Medical: 2023-11-24  ||  Interview: 2023-12-14  ||  CEAC Issued: 2023-12-18  ||  VOH: 2023-12-20
Entry to US: 2024-02-14 || Married: 2024-02-29

---

AOS filed: 2024-03-18 ||  NOA1: 2024-03-20 || Biometrics: 2024-04-01
EAD NOA2: 2024-04-02  ||  EAD Received: 2024-04-24
GC NOA2: 2024-07-30 || GC Received: 2024-08-08

 

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Brazil
Timeline
Posted (edited)
53 minutes ago, KaitlinL said:

March is officially at 80% touched already! 🎉

 

Do we think they’ll start moving onto May soon too, or is it 80% processed that triggers them to move to the next month?  

It's all speculation, but it seems that they are starting the next month every ~3 weeks. If that pattern holds May will start next week.

 

They're getting pretty close to 50% on April, so unless they slow down a lot it doesn't seem unreasonable to me that this would happen.

Edited by Naterson
Filed: K-1 Visa Country: United Kingdom
Timeline
Posted
2 minutes ago, Naterson said:

It's all speculation, but it seems that they are starting the next month every ~3 weeks. If that pattern holds May will start next week.

 

They're getting pretty close to 50% on April, so unless they slow down a lot it doesn't seem unreasonable to me that this would happen.

Yeah, we had a new month start closer to 2weeks at one pt. Think it's more the 50% kinda mark than time but as each month is a similar number makes sense new months start fairly consistently. They're at about 43% with 3 weeks being ~17may so yh I'd say mid week prob see May 👀

I-129f filed: 2022-10-21  ||  NOA1: 2022-10-24  ||  NOA2: 2023-09-21
NVC Received: 2023-10-13  ||  NVC in transit: 2023-10-24  ||  NVC Ready: 2023-10-26 

Medical: 2023-11-24  ||  Interview: 2023-12-14  ||  CEAC Issued: 2023-12-18  ||  VOH: 2023-12-20
Entry to US: 2024-02-14 || Married: 2024-02-29

---

AOS filed: 2024-03-18 ||  NOA1: 2024-03-20 || Biometrics: 2024-04-01
EAD NOA2: 2024-04-02  ||  EAD Received: 2024-04-24
GC NOA2: 2024-07-30 || GC Received: 2024-08-08

 

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Brazil
Timeline
Posted
Just now, AndiB said:

Yeah, we had a new month start closer to 2weeks at one pt. Think it's more the 50% kinda mark than time but as each month is a similar number makes sense new months start fairly consistently. They're at about 43% with 3 weeks being ~17may so yh I'd say mid week prob see May 👀

Agreed that it's not the time, it's just a pattern that may be appearing in how long it takes them to get to 50%.

 

If this holds us October filers may see some movement in September, although I refuse to get my hopes set on that. I don't want to get excited and then get approved in December or January...

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: United Kingdom
Timeline
Posted
26 minutes ago, Naterson said:

Agreed that it's not the time, it's just a pattern that may be appearing in how long it takes them to get to 50%.

 

If this holds us October filers may see some movement in September, although I refuse to get my hopes set on that. I don't want to get excited and then get approved in December or January...

honestly could be late aug-early sept they start Oct but yh we know there's easily a 3month spread, with the peak at about 1month after starting prob so I'd still expect Nov-Dec maybe as a good chance of knowing by but yh

I-129f filed: 2022-10-21  ||  NOA1: 2022-10-24  ||  NOA2: 2023-09-21
NVC Received: 2023-10-13  ||  NVC in transit: 2023-10-24  ||  NVC Ready: 2023-10-26 

Medical: 2023-11-24  ||  Interview: 2023-12-14  ||  CEAC Issued: 2023-12-18  ||  VOH: 2023-12-20
Entry to US: 2024-02-14 || Married: 2024-02-29

---

AOS filed: 2024-03-18 ||  NOA1: 2024-03-20 || Biometrics: 2024-04-01
EAD NOA2: 2024-04-02  ||  EAD Received: 2024-04-24
GC NOA2: 2024-07-30 || GC Received: 2024-08-08

 

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Spain
Timeline
Posted
6 hours ago, KaitlinL said:

March is officially at 80% touched already! 🎉

 

Do we think they’ll start moving onto May soon too, or is it 80% processed that triggers them to move to the next month?  

Hello, where have you seen that March has reached 80% please !!! thank you so much

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: United Kingdom
Timeline
Posted
1 minute ago, Vero8 said:

Hello, where have you seen that March has reached 80% please !!! thank you so much

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1sN2bo1xZhs8oVU6-QDUdBXBX2_ci8_QJ0wiz59Gp6H4/edit?usp=drivesdk

I-129f filed: 2022-10-21  ||  NOA1: 2022-10-24  ||  NOA2: 2023-09-21
NVC Received: 2023-10-13  ||  NVC in transit: 2023-10-24  ||  NVC Ready: 2023-10-26 

Medical: 2023-11-24  ||  Interview: 2023-12-14  ||  CEAC Issued: 2023-12-18  ||  VOH: 2023-12-20
Entry to US: 2024-02-14 || Married: 2024-02-29

---

AOS filed: 2024-03-18 ||  NOA1: 2024-03-20 || Biometrics: 2024-04-01
EAD NOA2: 2024-04-02  ||  EAD Received: 2024-04-24
GC NOA2: 2024-07-30 || GC Received: 2024-08-08

 

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Gambia
Timeline
Posted
6 minutes ago, AndiB said:

To get these numbers, are we adding the column for % of touched cases and % of processed cases together? 

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: United Kingdom
Timeline
Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, Quimat said:

To get these numbers, are we adding the column for % of touched cases and % of processed cases together? 

Yeah cause we're talking about touched cases, not just complete (processed) so processed + touched = all touched

 

Edit: maybe better way to put it, in progress + complete= touched

Rest = untouched

Edited by AndiB

I-129f filed: 2022-10-21  ||  NOA1: 2022-10-24  ||  NOA2: 2023-09-21
NVC Received: 2023-10-13  ||  NVC in transit: 2023-10-24  ||  NVC Ready: 2023-10-26 

Medical: 2023-11-24  ||  Interview: 2023-12-14  ||  CEAC Issued: 2023-12-18  ||  VOH: 2023-12-20
Entry to US: 2024-02-14 || Married: 2024-02-29

---

AOS filed: 2024-03-18 ||  NOA1: 2024-03-20 || Biometrics: 2024-04-01
EAD NOA2: 2024-04-02  ||  EAD Received: 2024-04-24
GC NOA2: 2024-07-30 || GC Received: 2024-08-08

 

 
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