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AndiB

Processing now up to 15months

By AndiB in K-1 Fiance(e) Visa Case Filing and Progress Reports

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Mr.So Explorer

Mr.So   56

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3 minutes ago, Lynxyonok said:

 

No, the estimate is not for current applicants, it's a reflection of what has been completed to date.

 

In the 9 months of FYE 2022, USCIS has fallen behind half a month every month. In other words, someone who applies today is now facing 15 x 1.5 = 22.5 months of waiting.

 

December 31, 2021: 36K pending applications

March 31, 2022: 42K

June 30, 2022: 50K

 

A callout to everyone: if you haven't written to your Senator yet about this... you ought to.

I have not written to my Senator or know how to do so. Is there a guide/example that I can follow? Thank you. 

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Anna Hessler
Anna Hessler

I don’t think it will go up for years until it dies.    My personal opinion (and this is just my opinion, do with it what you will) is that the backlog is permanent. This COVID damage will neve

AndiB
AndiB

My understanding is the US has a big worker shortage partly because of COVID delaying or stopping immigration and then backlogs etc. Biden has said he's prioritising work visas because they need worke

1983Electric
1983Electric

I just want to vent that the incompetence of our government is downright cruel and a real waste of people living happy lives that we don't get again.

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Lynxyonok Community Regular

Lynxyonok   316

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4 minutes ago, Mr.So said:

I have not written to my Senator or know how to do so. Is there a guide/example that I can follow? Thank you. 

https://www.senate.gov/senators/senators-contact.htm?Class=1

https://www.boundless.com/blog/how-to-contact-your-representative-to-speed-up-your-visa-processing-time/

https://www.immigration.com/media/ombudsman/contacting-members-congress-and-uscis-ombudsman-immigration-cases

 

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FilledesEtoiles Enthusiast

FilledesEtoiles   336

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19 hours ago, Lynxyonok said:

 

No, the estimate is not for current applicants, it's a reflection of what has been completed to date.

 

In the 9 months of FYE 2022, USCIS has fallen behind half a month every month. In other words, someone who applies today is now facing 15 x 1.5 = 22.5 months of waiting.

 

December 31, 2021: 36K pending applications

March 31, 2022: 42K

June 30, 2022: 50K

 

A callout to everyone: if you haven't written to your Senator yet about this... you ought to.

Just seeing the current waiting times for K1, I think most people will probably do spousal if it does not improve, waiting so long for K1 does not make any sense anymore. 

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Lynxyonok Community Regular

Lynxyonok   316

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1 hour ago, FilledesEtoiles said:

Just seeing the current waiting times for K1, I think most people will probably do spousal if it does not improve, waiting so long for K1 does not make any sense anymore. 

That's the thing - spousal also requires an I-129F (even if it's to be denied). I wager 1 in 3, 1 in 4 I-129Fs are spousal ones based on denied rate.

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FilledesEtoiles Enthusiast

FilledesEtoiles   336

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51 minutes ago, Lynxyonok said:

That's the thing - spousal also requires an I-129F (even if it's to be denied). I wager 1 in 3, 1 in 4 I-129Fs are spousal ones based on denied rate.

What do you mean, they file a K3 in order for it to go faster? 

Are these ones into the global I-129f scan stats? That is an interesting question.

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Lynxyonok Community Regular

Lynxyonok   316

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1 hour ago, FilledesEtoiles said:

What do you mean, they file a K3 in order for it to go faster? 

Are these ones into the global I-129f scan stats? That is an interesting question.

My estimate was based on the number of denied cases when taking into account how many are denied right off the bat, e.g., for wrong payment, versus ones denied almost right when they should have been approved. I have to assume the latter is due to spousal visas.

 

By the way, there's an updated estimate posted on YouTube for processing - check Nov. 5, 2022 Update: USCIS I-129F K1 Fiancé Visa Processing Wait Times Increasing - YouTube :

 

 

 

 

1.png

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1983Electric Rookie

1983Electric   23

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Filed: K-1 Visa Country: France
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I just want to vent that the incompetence of our government is downright cruel and a real waste of people living happy lives that we don't get again.

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Lynxyonok Community Regular

Lynxyonok   316

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23 hours ago, 1983Electric said:

I just want to vent that the incompetence of our government is downright cruel and a real waste of people living happy lives that we don't get again.

 

So, write your senator. Make them listen.

 

One of your senators is fighting for their seat tomorrow. And so is your representative.

 

Don't tell us - we already agree with you by default.  [link edited out - see below]

Edited by TBoneTX
remove petition link
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TBoneTX Grand Master

TBoneTX   44,691

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Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Ecuador
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A link to a petition has been removed from this thread because a separate thread on the topic was started.  That separate thread was moved to the General Immigration Discussion forum and merged into the pinned thread atop that forum.  Please follow all rules when posting petitions, and post in THAT thread only.

06-04-2007 = TSC stamps postal return-receipt for I-129f.

06-11-2007 = NOA1 date (unknown to me).

07-20-2007 = Phoned Immigration Officer; got WAC#; where's NOA1?

09-25-2007 = Touch (first-ever).

09-28-2007 = NOA1, 23 days after their 45-day promise to send it (grrrr).

10-20 & 11-14-2007 = Phoned ImmOffs; "still pending."

12-11-2007 = 180 days; file is "between workstations, may be early Jan."; touches 12/11 & 12/12.

12-18-2007 = Call; file is with Division 9 ofcr. (bckgrnd check); e-prompt to shake it; touch.

12-19-2007 = NOA2 by e-mail & web, dated 12-18-07 (187 days; 201 per VJ); in mail 12/24/07.

01-09-2008 = File from USCIS to NVC, 1-4-08; NVC creates file, 1/15/08; to consulate 1/16/08.

01-23-2008 = Consulate gets file; outdated Packet 4 mailed to fiancee 1/27/08; rec'd 3/3/08.

04-29-2008 = Fiancee's 4-min. consular interview, 8:30 a.m.; much evidence brought but not allowed to be presented (consul: "More proof! Second interview! Bring your fiance!").

05-05-2008 = Infuriating $12 call to non-English-speaking consulate appointment-setter.

05-06-2008 = Better $12 call to English-speaker; "joint" interview date 6/30/08 (my selection).

06-30-2008 = Stokes Interrogations w/Ecuadorian (not USC); "wait 2 weeks; we'll mail her."

07-2008 = Daily calls to DOS: "currently processing"; 8/05 = Phoned consulate, got Section Chief; wrote him.

08-07-08 = E-mail from consulate, promising to issue visa "as soon as we get her passport" (on 8/12, per DHL).

08-27-08 = Phoned consulate (they "couldn't find" our file); visa DHL'd 8/28; in hand 9/1; through POE on 10/9 with NO hassles(!).

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1983Electric Rookie

1983Electric   23

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Filed: K-1 Visa Country: France
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2 hours ago, Lynxyonok said:

 

So, write your senator. Make them listen.

 

One of your senators is fighting for their seat tomorrow. And so is your representative.

 

Don't tell us - we already agree with you by default.  [link edited out - see below]

I've already written to Senators Ted Cruz and John Cornyn and discussed with representatives from John Cornyn's office for 30 minutes over the phone.  Ted Cruz's response was more automated.  In my state, they are more concerned about ILLEGAL immigration at our border, and it's difficult to get them off of the topic.  Thanks.

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Lynxyonok Community Regular

Lynxyonok   316

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On 11/4/2022 at 1:59 AM, Mr.So said:

At this rate how can they meet their goal of 6 months processing time by the end of 2023? Am I missing something?

They cannot

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TBoneTX Grand Master

TBoneTX   44,691

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Some noncontributory back-and-forth posts have been removed.

 

VJ Moderation

06-04-2007 = TSC stamps postal return-receipt for I-129f.

06-11-2007 = NOA1 date (unknown to me).

07-20-2007 = Phoned Immigration Officer; got WAC#; where's NOA1?

09-25-2007 = Touch (first-ever).

09-28-2007 = NOA1, 23 days after their 45-day promise to send it (grrrr).

10-20 & 11-14-2007 = Phoned ImmOffs; "still pending."

12-11-2007 = 180 days; file is "between workstations, may be early Jan."; touches 12/11 & 12/12.

12-18-2007 = Call; file is with Division 9 ofcr. (bckgrnd check); e-prompt to shake it; touch.

12-19-2007 = NOA2 by e-mail & web, dated 12-18-07 (187 days; 201 per VJ); in mail 12/24/07.

01-09-2008 = File from USCIS to NVC, 1-4-08; NVC creates file, 1/15/08; to consulate 1/16/08.

01-23-2008 = Consulate gets file; outdated Packet 4 mailed to fiancee 1/27/08; rec'd 3/3/08.

04-29-2008 = Fiancee's 4-min. consular interview, 8:30 a.m.; much evidence brought but not allowed to be presented (consul: "More proof! Second interview! Bring your fiance!").

05-05-2008 = Infuriating $12 call to non-English-speaking consulate appointment-setter.

05-06-2008 = Better $12 call to English-speaker; "joint" interview date 6/30/08 (my selection).

06-30-2008 = Stokes Interrogations w/Ecuadorian (not USC); "wait 2 weeks; we'll mail her."

07-2008 = Daily calls to DOS: "currently processing"; 8/05 = Phoned consulate, got Section Chief; wrote him.

08-07-08 = E-mail from consulate, promising to issue visa "as soon as we get her passport" (on 8/12, per DHL).

08-27-08 = Phoned consulate (they "couldn't find" our file); visa DHL'd 8/28; in hand 9/1; through POE on 10/9 with NO hassles(!).

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