Jump to content

2,951 posts in this topic

Recommended Posts

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Canada
Timeline
2 hours ago, Daft_Cat said:


I'll preface this by saying that your chances of not getting a DS-5535 are higher - especially now (it seems like fewer people in our boat have been showing up in this thread). I don't see why the issues you brought up would make a DS-5535 more likely, given that the majority of candidates seem to get them randomly. 

Remember that a lot of this (apparently) has to do with capacity issues at the consulate, as well as the backlog that formed during the pandemic - both of which may be improving. For those of us in Canada, the Nexus travel program encountered similar processing delays (generating lots of negative press) but has improved a lot over the past year or so. Having said that, it seems like everyone (including immigration attorneys) are really just guessing based on trends and hearsay - the whole thing is a bit of a black box and no one knows for sure. 

 

My advice to anyone in your shoes would simply be to not get ahead of yourself with planning for the future. My wife and I had waited a long time for an interview date, and our case was about as clear cut as they come. There were no obvious reasons to expect any hiccups or red flags and we had even begun planning the specifics of our move given the timelines around entering the US upon receipt of the Visa (I was coffee chatting with contacts at target firms in the US, my wife was checking out neighborhoods, etc.). We'd also been holding off on starting a family for a couple years knowing that a huge transition was imminent. It may sound like first-world problems, but the result is that all of our plans were upended with no certainty around timelines. I ended up wishing I had just known in advance that there was a decent chance this might happen so that I could have planned for it.

 

The system is not functioning as it should right now, and you can't take any of the usual Visa timelines as gospel. Chances are you'll be fine (and I wish you the best of luck), but stay weary and avoid cementing any life-plans until you've got your visa in hand. 

I feel for you bud. My wife and I are in the same boat as far as waiting to start our family. My interview was the end of April so I'm hoping things unjam soon for the folks earlier in the year. Anyone moving through now is good news for everyone. 

 

I also went with PIC. We didn't end up fighting the MtD since it felt futile. We waited 3 months because thats what seemed like the wisdom at the time was.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Canada
Timeline
On 12/7/2023 at 12:32 PM, CondorMantis said:

I hope your WOM retainer agreement with your lawyer includes fighting the motion to dismiss if it happens, there has been several court orders denying motions to dismiss, including one in Pennsylvania
https://redeaglelaw.com/blog-1/f/tsunami-of-judges-deny-state-department’s-motions-to-dismiss

I think this article is a little misleading. They are claiming there is a growing visa backlog but it actually has been decreasing over the last couple of years. The green datapoint is the one mentioned in the article. I pulled this data off of https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/us-visas/visa-information-resources/visas-backlog.html. Since the peak in Jun 2021, the backlog is falling by about 75k per year. These are worldwide stats though.

 

Does anyone know how to determine the number of people stuck in AP?

 

image.png.3ac8e58a296e32387d17770b8fa78a51.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Canada
Timeline
14 hours ago, Superluminal said:

I think this article is a little misleading. They are claiming there is a growing visa backlog but it actually has been decreasing over the last couple of years. The green datapoint is the one mentioned in the article. I pulled this data off of https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/us-visas/visa-information-resources/visas-backlog.html. Since the peak in Jun 2021, the backlog is falling by about 75k per year. These are worldwide stats though.

 

Does anyone know how to determine the number of people stuck in AP?

 

image.png.3ac8e58a296e32387d17770b8fa78a51.png

 

how to determine the number of people stuck in AP?

 

I checked DOS  Immigrant Visa Statistics Report 2023 from below link. found 45,000 roughly visa issued  world wide  monthly. Also related to DOS requested budget for DS5535 in September ,their proposal to check 50,000 cases yearly , so odds is 1/12, 8% of people will be checking, under assuming DS5535 equalvent to AP,  40000-50000 in AP per year. Since a DS5535 check needs ~1 hour , as their proposal said, might be the  longest checking.

Other checks FBI ,CBP , USCIS much quicker, might you can check yourself online. I think Visa officer check these on the interview scene. So I prone to believe DS5535/ AP should not take that loooong time.

     Another interesting finding from the visa statistics report is,the neighbor Mexico consulate issued  ~4000 IV visa issued every month, 10 times more than Canadian, even 10% people in AP already a heavy load to DOS. I don't know why Mexican are so lucky !!!😋

 

As to Montreal consulate, per DOS statistics, ±5000 IV issued yearly, i.e ~400 monthly . Thus per 8% odds, , 30 -40 persons be thrown in DS5535 / AP every month. 🥺

 

Ref:

https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/visa-statistics/immigrant-visa-statistics/monthly-immigrant-visa-issuances.html;

 

https://www.regulations.gov/document/DOS-2023-0028-0001

Link to comment
Share on other sites

My wife interviewed today at MTL and got served 221g and DS-5535. 221g was for her unexpired US tourist visa on her expired and now surrendered old citizenship (she's a Canadian now). We are so frustrated and disheartened. We have worked so hard for so long and even bought a house together in the US thinking we would be living together soon which now would just be an empty nest every time I come home from work... I am just so incredibly disappointed at this outcome. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Timbits said:

My wife interviewed today at MTL and got served 221g and DS-5535. 221g was for her unexpired US tourist visa on her expired and now surrendered old citizenship (she's a Canadian now). We are so frustrated and disheartened. We have worked so hard for so long and even bought a house together in the US thinking we would be living together soon which now would just be an empty nest every time I come home from work... I am just so incredibly disappointed at this outcome. 

if you want to enter your information for tracking and for the benefits of other, spreadsheet is maintained for MTL:

 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1jV7rzX2eCRVoEDRhOtN9a6hDoHRLNEf1P3ZGZbQ0_Dc/edit#gid=0

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, MAN2023 said:

FINALLY got my green card (IR-1/CR-1)! Interviewed in mtl Jan 11 2023, got DS 5535, sent in my answers the day after. No WOM filed. Did have senators reach out to the consulate. Received an email for a new updated medical and passport to be sent back to consulate end of september. visa status changed to Issued today. 

Congratulations and thank you for giving us your good news, this helps the group immensely. It would be great if you could add your timeline to the spreadsheet for us.

 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1jV7rzX2eCRVoEDRhOtN9a6hDoHRLNEf1P3ZGZbQ0_Dc/edit#gid=0

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Country: Canada
Timeline
14 minutes ago, MAN2023 said:

FINALLY got my green card (IR-1/CR-1)! Interviewed in mtl Jan 11 2023, got DS 5535, sent in my answers the day after. No WOM filed. Did have senators reach out to the consulate. Received an email for a new updated medical and passport to be sent back to consulate end of september. visa status changed to Issued today. 

This is good news 

 

It took you 2.5 months since the embassy contacted you in end of September. 

 

Was it a delay from your side ? Can you share details on how many days it took for each step after you got the medical request.

 

It is greatly appreciated. Happy for you anyway.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

23 minutes ago, MAN2023 said:

FINALLY got my green card (IR-1/CR-1)! Interviewed in mtl Jan 11 2023, got DS 5535, sent in my answers the day after. No WOM filed. Did have senators reach out to the consulate. Received an email for a new updated medical and passport to be sent back to consulate end of september. visa status changed to Issued today. 

Congratulations 🎊 👏  how long after they received the medical and the passport they issued your visa?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Canada
Timeline
1 hour ago, MAN2023 said:

FINALLY got my green card (IR-1/CR-1)! Interviewed in mtl Jan 11 2023, got DS 5535, sent in my answers the day after. No WOM filed. Did have senators reach out to the consulate. Received an email for a new updated medical and passport to be sent back to consulate end of september. visa status changed to Issued today. 

Excellent news and congratulations. I hope this is the start of more good news to come for those of us who interviewed in early 2023.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 
Didn't find the answer you were looking for? Ask our VJ Immigration Lawyers.
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
- Back to Top -

Important Disclaimer: Please read carefully the Visajourney.com Terms of Service. If you do not agree to the Terms of Service you should not access or view any page (including this page) on VisaJourney.com. Answers and comments provided on Visajourney.com Forums are general information, and are not intended to substitute for informed professional medical, psychiatric, psychological, tax, legal, investment, accounting, or other professional advice. Visajourney.com does not endorse, and expressly disclaims liability for any product, manufacturer, distributor, service or service provider mentioned or any opinion expressed in answers or comments. VisaJourney.com does not condone immigration fraud in any way, shape or manner. VisaJourney.com recommends that if any member or user knows directly of someone involved in fraudulent or illegal activity, that they report such activity directly to the Department of Homeland Security, Immigration and Customs Enforcement. You can contact ICE via email at Immigration.Reply@dhs.gov or you can telephone ICE at 1-866-347-2423. All reported threads/posts containing reference to immigration fraud or illegal activities will be removed from this board. If you feel that you have found inappropriate content, please let us know by contacting us here with a url link to that content. Thank you.
×
×
  • Create New...