RFE vs DQ rate

[Laud 40]

31 minutes ago, Chancy said:

 

You may want to check this assumption against the historical review timeframes -- https://visawhen.com/nvc

 

My case was in the May/Jun 2021 batch when review timeframes were typically under 40 days.

 

It's a good point. I used that data in my early reply, but I didn't in the more recent version because the VJ data is incomplete so I'd have had to manually match every entry with that website. The earliest the data I used went goes back to December 2021, and since ten processing times have been between 97 and 75 days.

 

I could have used 100 days as the cut off point, but there were quite a lot of cases between 100 and 115 days so I had to consider whether I wanted to include those people in the likely *DQ'ed on first attempt* group, or likely *RFE'd and did the process twice* group.

 

A lot of the data was incomplete on timelines. People often have "Send IV package" filled in, but not "Send AOS package", or they have a date when they received an interview letter but not the NVC complete date. So it seemed most reasonable to me that the people around 110 may have e.g. submitted further required documents after the date on the timeline. It seems far less reasonable to me that they went through the entire process twice in 110 days.

 

Doubtlessly, my numbers are flawed because there's a lot of guesswork involved. But it gives us some indication of pass rates at NVC.

[Chancy 6,241]

11 minutes ago, Laud said:

The earliest the data I used went goes back to December 2021, and since ten processing times have been between 97 and 75 days.

 

If you started from Dec 2021, then I agree that it's a fair assumption.  My own gut feeling lines up with your analysis that majority of cases get DQ-ed without RFE.  The posts here on the NVC sub-forum and elsewhere on VJ may skew our perception into thinking that most people get RFEs, but we forget that it's mostly people who have issues with their cases who tend to post asking for advice.  Seems there are fewer people who post to say they got DQ-ed without RFE.