Processing Updates (I-751) for SRC (Texas Service Center)

[751scraperupdate 7]

Hi folks,

 

2021 SRC filer here. It's apparent that the "average processing time over the last six months" metric USCIS shares is a lagging indicator. So I built a (crude) web scraper to figure out where the SRC is at with 751 case. My scraper is still, well, scraping ... so this data isn't complete yet. But I thought I'd share what I found so far in case this allays anyone's anxiety like it did mine. So here are some very broad early findings:

 

1. The latest approvals I've seen are in the SRC2190240XXX to SRC2190243XXX range. These would be in the late May range, and were approved in the last couple of days. So it seems like there's a 13 month processing time currently

2. RFEs seems to run a little ahead (like a couple months or so) ahead of case approvals. I'd guess their process includes a preliminary review before a decision

3. Case activity seems to happen over a very broad time range. So I wouldn't worry about being an April or May filer and not having received an update. The case data suggests USCIS does go in order, but like a Zamboni with holes that leave patchy ice

 

Happy to take suggestions for what I should look into next. But please note that I am NOT a software engineer/BI analyst/anyone who does this professionally ... haha. I built this because of sheer annoyance with the case tracking apps I've used so if anyone has one that works well I would happily use that !!

 

 

 

[GyC 79]

15 hours ago, 751scraperupdate said:

Hi folks,

 

2021 SRC filer here. It's apparent that the "average processing time over the last six months" metric USCIS shares is a lagging indicator. So I built a (crude) web scraper to figure out where the SRC is at with 751 case. My scraper is still, well, scraping ... so this data isn't complete yet. But I thought I'd share what I found so far in case this allays anyone's anxiety like it did mine. So here are some very broad early findings:

 

1. The latest approvals I've seen are in the SRC2190240XXX to SRC2190243XXX range. These would be in the late May range, and were approved in the last couple of days. So it seems like there's a 13 month processing time currently

2. RFEs seems to run a little ahead (like a couple months or so) ahead of case approvals. I'd guess their process includes a preliminary review before a decision

3. Case activity seems to happen over a very broad time range. So I wouldn't worry about being an April or May filer and not having received an update. The case data suggests USCIS does go in order, but like a Zamboni with holes that leave patchy ice

 

Happy to take suggestions for what I should look into next. But please note that I am NOT a software engineer/BI analyst/anyone who does this professionally ... haha. I built this because of sheer annoyance with the case tracking apps I've used so if anyone has one that works well I would happily use that !!

 

 

 

Thanks! That’s some very handy info, we are June 11th, 2021 filer. Absolutely no change on the website for us. Just stayed at “case was received”. But honestly it don’t surprise me. We’re dealing with USCIS lol. 🤷🏻‍♂️

[Reed1812 127]

Filed in July 2021. Been a year heard nothing other than bio waived.

 

I did see on the website I can file an enquiry August 1st. Has anyone done this before?

[Sarge2155 4,590]

5 hours ago, Reed1812 said:

Filed in July 2021. Been a year heard nothing other than bio waived.

 

I did see on the website I can file an enquiry August 1st. Has anyone done this before?

They usually give you a generic and canned reply, but it's a good thing to submit anyways.

[zDarkAngelz 7]

On 6/29/2022 at 6:44 PM, 751scraperupdate said:

Hi folks,

 

2021 SRC filer here. It's apparent that the "average processing time over the last six months" metric USCIS shares is a lagging indicator. So I built a (crude) web scraper to figure out where the SRC is at with 751 case. My scraper is still, well, scraping ... so this data isn't complete yet. But I thought I'd share what I found so far in case this allays anyone's anxiety like it did mine. So here are some very broad early findings:

 

1. The latest approvals I've seen are in the SRC2190240XXX to SRC2190243XXX range. These would be in the late May range, and were approved in the last couple of days. So it seems like there's a 13 month processing time currently

2. RFEs seems to run a little ahead (like a couple months or so) ahead of case approvals. I'd guess their process includes a preliminary review before a decision

3. Case activity seems to happen over a very broad time range. So I wouldn't worry about being an April or May filer and not having received an update. The case data suggests USCIS does go in order, but like a Zamboni with holes that leave patchy ice

 

Happy to take suggestions for what I should look into next. But please note that I am NOT a software engineer/BI analyst/anyone who does this professionally ... haha. I built this because of sheer annoyance with the case tracking apps I've used so if anyone has one that works well I would happily use that !!

 

 

 

Hello,

 

I'm also into programming and coding, so I want to do the same to NBC Service Center.

I would like to ask how do you get those information?

 

[WaterLeaf 201]

Howdy. June 2022 I-751 filer here. I looked around at May 2022 I-751 filer and beyond a bit, it seems to take about a little over a year processing (13 months) in general. I did notice the shorter trend of getting biometric info about a month mark, used to be longer than 2021's filer. But I can be wrong and everyone's filing would be different.

 

I do too see the 11 month avg processing time, but that's for 80%. I don't know what the trend in the future, but I'm feeling it's going to be about the same unless someone change the role/process and such then it can become a mess if things get misplaced.

[751scraperupdate 7]

On 7/7/2022 at 1:19 PM, zDarkAngelz said:

Hello,

 

I'm also into programming and coding, so I want to do the same to NBC Service Center.

I would like to ask how do you get those information?

 

Hi- build a scraper to automate API calls to the USCIS website. Best of luck

 

13 hours ago, WaterLeaf said:

I do too see the 11 month avg processing time, but that's for 80%. I don't know what the trend in the future, but I'm feeling it's going to be about the same unless someone change the role/process and such then it can become a mess if things get misplaced.

How the case processing time is calculated:

For all cases processed during the last 6 months:

    Calculate the time to adjudicate

Line up the cases by processing time

Report the processing time of the case that's 4/5ths of the way down the line

 

Somewhat unintuitively, the fewer cases USCIS processes, the longer it takes for us to know about it (because it takes new case data to shift the bell curve, and for pre-existing data to age out). That's why the processing time of 11 months doesn't match anecdotal data.

 

Here's a simplistic example: USCIS processes cases at the 4 month mark at a clip of 1,000 per month, and has done so for the last year. The case processing time reported this month is 4 months.

 

Now, they've completed stopped processing cases(*, see footnote). A month from now, the cycle time is still ... 4 months (since the 80th percentile hasn't changed).

 

At this point, they start processing cases again, but only cases that are at the 6 month mark, and only 100 cases per month.

Cycle time for two months from now is still ... 4 months. Here's how that works. The data over the last 6 months:

- 4,000 cases for months 1-4

- 0 cases for month 5

- 100 cases for month 6

 

Three months from now:

- 3,000 cases for months 1-3

- 0 cases for month 4

- 200 cases for months 5 and 6

The 80th percentile is still the 3200 x 0.8 = 2560th case in order of processing time. Since there are 3,000 cases with 4 month processing times, the 80th percentile is still 4 months.

 

Five months from now:

- 1,000 cases for month 1

- 0 cases for month 2

- 300 cases for months 3-6

The 80th percentile is 1,300 x 0.8 = 1,040. The 1,040th case has a processing time at the six month mark. So it's only at five months from the slowdown that the metric begins to reflect this new reality. It's a lagging indicator.

 

* Footnote:

I would venture to guess something akin to what abqguardian (who works 751s at the SRC, apparently) described (see image) happened with 751s, where the case team shifted to work another case. That's why we saw the case processing time move from 4-7 months to 10-12 since summer of 21.

[tanksinatra9 0]

Hi all

August 2021 filer here. Anyone got recently approved from May or June 21 filers? I heard no one has heard back from Texas service center lately. 

[theblooray 124]

Good morning peeps! August 2021 filer. Got a request for biometrics in May and had them done on the 8th of June. It's been crickets. I've already filed an n400 as well this month. Any updates to anyone else?

[newlifeofabc 30]

SRC August 2021 Filer here. Not sure if this is encouraging for everyone still waiting. My case finally got transferred to another office. It’s not approved yet but at least they worked on my case. 
Good luck everyone!

[theblooray 124]

On 8/24/2022 at 1:29 PM, newlifeofabc said:

SRC August 2021 Filer here. Not sure if this is encouraging for everyone still waiting. My case finally got transferred to another office. It’s not approved yet but at least they worked on my case. 
Good luck everyone!

Great news! Were your biometrics reused?

[aznhouston 132]

On 7/7/2022 at 1:19 PM, zDarkAngelz said:

Hello,

 

I'm also into programming and coding, so I want to do the same to NBC Service Center.

I would like to ask how do you get those information?

 

you submit the case number into this page and it will return the result. you can do it for multiple cases then run a statistics against it

 

https://egov.uscis.gov/casestatus/mycasestatus.do;jsessionid=33F47F8CFCC2BEFD4BF715E1880C3B46

[Celie 793]

On 8/24/2022 at 2:29 PM, newlifeofabc said:

SRC August 2021 Filer here. Not sure if this is encouraging for everyone still waiting. My case finally got transferred to another office. It’s not approved yet but at least they worked on my case. 
Good luck everyone!

My husband's was too just last week. I think it has to do with it merging with the N-400. I'm not sure if you had filed for citizenship yet, but that might be the case.

[LivFavor 17]

On 8/31/2022 at 7:20 PM, celie&joseph said:

My husband's was too just last week. I think it has to do with it merging with the N-400. I'm not sure if you had filed for citizenship yet, but that might be the case.

When did he file for the i751 and the N400 and when did he get the update about moving of case file?

 

I'm a Nov 2011 filler and I'm contemplating whether to go ahead and file N400 or wait on i751 approval. What's your opinion?

[Reed1812 127]

Filed a service request. Here is my response thay I got....

 

I am a July 21 filer. Still married, nothing unusual with our case. Should I be worried about the additional review? 

 

 

The status of this service request is:

We have received your service request and researched the status of your case. We have had to perform additional review, and this has caused a delay in processing time. Your case is currently in line for processing and adjudication. Cases are processed in the order in which they were received