MAY 2022 I-129F K1 FILERS

[Lynxyonok 316]

6 hours ago, Roy an Panitta said:

I have to agree i do believe the worst is behind us. USCIS is supposed to be getting more agents in place next year earlie so hopefully that'll speed up the process. either way we are past the half way mark

Well... not really.

 

VJ places May approvals around August 2023.

 

I personally think September 2023 is more likely, with an extra month layered onto the next phase as compared to those dealing with NVC now.

 

Dang. It would have been nice to claim her (him) on 2023 taxes

[Lynxyonok 316]

And the closest case to us that's approved is - WAC2290003802. Approved today from October 7th, 2021.

 

Mind you, that's the first wave as USCIS is cherry-picking easy (or just lucky) cases to keep the official processing timeline down (posted: 15.5 months, true: 17).

 

For a mid-May filer like me that's still... 23,407 cases away. 46 weeks, if USCIS keeps up their pace as of late. Approval - just in time for Halloween of 2023...

 

And that's if I'm extremely lucky

Edited December 9, 2022 by Lynxyonok

[Eddie101 87]

Got'ya. I think we are all in the mindset of expect the worst and hope for the best.
Let's see how it goes. Maybe there is a chance that we see an improvement for family based visa classes as well.
 

[Eddie101 87]

I read somewhere that filing K3s could speed up a spouse visa application. That might explain the relatively high number of denials recently.
Maybe those I-129Fs are being processed faster as they are usually denied. Who knows. In the end we are looking for signs that things go faster, I guess.
I also don't hope the 90days show makes K1s going slower.

Edited December 9, 2022 by Eddie101

[Eddie101 87]

Probably already seen, but I found it interesting. Page 13 shows the development on their workforce.
https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/document/reports/OPA_ProgressReport.pdf
 

[Anna Hessler 119]

5 hours ago, Eddie101 said:

Probably already seen, but I found it interesting. Page 13 shows the development on their workforce.
https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/document/reports/OPA_ProgressReport.pdf
 

Thank you for sharing this. But a big middle finger to USCIS. This is their year end report - a major report! - and not one single mention of the I-129F or the fact that the wait time for it has literally tripled and is getting worse. 

 

Not mad at you! Just grumbling! 

[Lynxyonok 316]

4 hours ago, Anna Hessler said:

Thank you for sharing this. But a big middle finger to USCIS. This is their year end report - a major report! - and not one single mention of the I-129F or the fact that the wait time for it has literally tripled and is getting worse. 

Yup. K-1s just perished. So much for spring promises of 6-month cycle time. That's gone.

[Lynxyonok 316]

9 hours ago, Eddie101 said:

Probably already seen, but I found it interesting. Page 13 shows the development on their workforce.
https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/document/reports/OPA_ProgressReport.pdf
 

Of the field office and asylum officer workforce. Not of the service center processors.

 

81 postings currently on UsaJobs - none are for CSC.

 

On a related note, anyone wants to go represent USCIS in China for 95K?

[Lynxyonok 316]

15 hours ago, Eddie101 said:

Got'ya. I think we are all in the mindset of expect the worst and hope for the best.
Let's see how it goes. Maybe there is a chance that we see an improvement for family based visa classes as well.
 

I think that all the extra workforce and other visa processing will eventually trickle-down resources to K1, but not just yet.

 

I'm curious about one thing though. It seems that USCIS effort is hard-driven into (1) creating new citizens (2) getting people into workplace.

 

Speeding up people already here at the cost of slowing down people who are still outside of the country. It's not a bad strategy. Just bad timing for us all

[Lynxyonok 316]

20 hours ago, Lynxyonok said:

And the closest case to us that's approved is - WAC2290003802. Approved today from October 7th, 2021.

 

Mind you, that's the first wave as USCIS is cherry-picking easy (or just lucky) cases to keep the official processing timeline down (posted: 15.5 months, true: 17).

 

For a mid-May filer like me that's still... 23,407 cases away. 46 weeks, if USCIS keeps up their pace as of late. Approval - just in time for Halloween of 2023...

 

And that's if I'm extremely lucky

4 cases were approved in 2290004300 range - that's October 8th, 2021, precise 14-month mark:

 

- 4375 on the 8th

- 4385 on the 9th

- 4386 on the 8th

- 4388 on the 8th

 

P.S. A couple of stray approvals at the end of October, too.

Edited December 9, 2022 by Lynxyonok

[Eddie101 87]

10 hours ago, Lynxyonok said:

4 cases were approved in 2290004300 range - that's October 8th, 2021, precise 14-month mark:

 

- 4375 on the 8th

- 4385 on the 9th

- 4386 on the 8th

- 4388 on the 8th

 

P.S. A couple of stray approvals at the end of October, too.

Thanks for that.
I know they are kind of jumping through the list of queued petitions.
However, even then it would be nice if they had a tool where you just type in your number
and it'll tell you how many petitions are in front of you and some kind of forecast how long
it might take.

[Roy an Panitta 29]

12 hours ago, Lynxyonok said:

4 cases were approved in 2290004300 range - that's October 8th, 2021, precise 14-month mark:

 

- 4375 on the 8th

- 4385 on the 9th

- 4386 on the 8th

- 4388 on the 8th

 

P.S. A couple of stray approvals at the end of October, too.

The 4388 an the previous mentioned digets are they the last four of our case ID numbers?  As mine are 0426.. 

[Lynxyonok 316]

7 hours ago, Roy an Panitta said:

The 4388 an the previous mentioned digets are they the last four of our case ID numbers?  As mine are 0426.. 

Yes.

 

I'm going to start masking last 2 digits though going forth.

Edited December 10, 2022 by Lynxyonok

[Lynxyonok 316]

8 hours ago, Eddie101 said:

Thanks for that.
I know they are kind of jumping through the list of queued petitions.
However, even then it would be nice if they had a tool where you just type in your number
and it'll tell you how many petitions are in front of you and some kind of forecast how long
it might take.

Well, it depends on which batch one's case ends up in.

 

Currently, the first major approval wave is in 2290003000s. That's 23,600 petitions ahead of us as in 47 weeks at top USCIS speed of 500/week. Therefore, the luckiest of us are looking at November 2023 while the majority would be in 2024.

[Lynxyonok 316]

I believe I found the true frontline of cases presently being looked at: after that date, "Case Was Received" entries become very sporadic.

 

So, as of 12/10/2022 USCIS is working 80% of cases dated 9/21/2021. 14.5-month processing - for uncomplicated cases. (I delete any approved, transferred, withdrawn cases from my roster).

 

Number

Message

MsgDate

Checked

 

2190139318	Additional RFE Sent	12/1/22	12/11/22
2190139323	Additional RFE Sent	12/1/22	12/11/22
2190139325	Additional RFE Sent	12/8/22	12/11/22
2190139327	Case Was Received	9/21/21	12/11/22
2190139332	Name Was Updated	10/14/21	12/11/22
2190139333	Case Was Received	9/21/21	12/11/22
2190139372	Additional RFE Sent	12/8/22	12/11/22
2190139373	Case Was Received	9/21/21	12/11/22
2190139377	Additional RFE Sent	12/7/22	12/11/22
2190139380	Case Was Received	9/21/21	12/11/22
2190139384	Additional RFE Sent	12/8/22	12/11/22
2190139386	Additional RFE Sent	12/2/22	12/11/22
2190139387	Case Was Received	9/21/21	12/11/22
2190139388	Additional RFE Sent	11/28/22	12/11/22
2190139239	Additional RFE Sent	12/5/22	12/11/22
2190139244	Additional RFE Sent	12/2/22	12/11/22
2190139246	Case Was Received	9/21/21	12/11/22
2190139247	Additional RFE Sent	12/8/22	12/11/22
2190139249	Additional RFE Sent	12/5/22	12/11/22
2190139250	Additional RFE Sent	12/8/22	12/11/22
2190139251	Additional RFE Sent	12/3/22	12/11/22
2190139253	Additional RFE Sent	12/7/22	12/11/22
2190139263	Additional RFE Sent	11/30/22	12/11/22
2190139267	Case Was Received	9/21/21	12/11/22
2190139268	Additional RFE Sent	12/7/22	12/11/22
2190139271	Case Was Received	9/21/21	12/11/22
2190139272	Additional RFE Sent	11/28/22	12/11/22
2190139281	Case Was Received	9/21/21	12/11/22
2190139149	Additional RFE Received	12/9/22	12/11/22
2190139155	Additional RFE Sent	12/8/22	12/11/22
2190139160	Case Was Received	9/21/21	12/11/22
2190138979	Case Was Received	9/21/21	12/11/22
2190138980	Additional RFE Sent	12/8/22	12/11/22
2190138749	Additional RFE Sent	12/9/22	12/11/22

Edited December 12, 2022 by Lynxyonok