Jump to content

320 posts in this topic

Recommended Posts

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Ecuador
Timeline
Posted
1 hour ago, T&IApplication said:

Thank you! We are 58500 group so not too far off. Really hoping we receive something this month.

Unfortunately group doesn’t seem to matter, as they tend to process randomly. I would still keep my expectations for May but it is exciting to see and hopefully they do touch your group earlier than later! 

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Italy
Timeline
Posted

I mean sure, I will keep my expectations to May but like I said before, I hope for April. Of course I am going to hope for an earlier approval, why on Earth would I hope for a later one?

 

I don't really see how group number, which is determined by chronological order of submission, wouldn't be based on chronology aka time submitted. the 58500 group is mostly March so if they are moving to March submissions, would it not make sense to hope that mostly March groups are handled at the time they are processing mostly March cases? Yes there are times when cases get lost and/or delayed and to be fair, the process USCIS goes through to approve or deny cases does appear to be a mystery, but the script that has been floating around several different forums on VisaJourney has routinely shown that if your case is within a certain group that is currently being processed or will soon be processed, your application is likely to be processed soon as well. Instead of running that script, I asked someone what group they were a part of. Is it a dead giveaway of if USCIS will be processing the group my application is a part of? Absolutely not. But it shows they are very close and that was what I was looking for., the potential to begin on the group I am a part of soon.

 

Most people here have reasonable understandings of USCIS processes and what they should expect as far as timelines go, especially because if you generate your timeline, it tells you your anticipated approval timeframe on your own profile. I can read, I don't need someone to tell me the statistics or remind me I have to waste more months waiting on top of the dozen I already have. I am not sure what prompted you to reply to my message about being excited to have my fiancée home earlier than expected without even a reason about why that hope is unjustified, but instead to just temper my expectations. My expectations were tempered when I signed up for over a year of waiting to marry my fiancée, consider them sufficiently damped. 

 

With the number of people who usually come to me, and I'm sure many other people in this forum, trying to ask why we decided on one type of visa application vs another or asking why the process is taking so long or in general just cajoling the nitpicky knowledge associated with this long, dehumanizing process of immigration in this country, I would hope members of the community would have the decency to let others feel excited about the possibility of being reunited again without trying to find a way to minimize that reaction and make them feel less than.

 

I am expecting May, yes, thanks for the reminder it could be 57 more days.

 

But I am hoping for April. Hopefully that doesn't require a reminder of further frustration this time.

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Italy
Timeline
Posted
4 minutes ago, Nicki s said:

I just did a quick scan and I see 5 approvals for 57xxx range!! 

Awesome, thank you for keeping up on this and running the script! Good to see they are moving further, fingers crossed for you and yours.

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Ecuador
Timeline
Posted
1 hour ago, T&IApplication said:

I mean sure, I will keep my expectations to May but like I said before, I hope for April. Of course I am going to hope for an earlier approval, why on Earth would I hope for a later one?

 

I don't really see how group number, which is determined by chronological order of submission, wouldn't be based on chronology aka time submitted. the 58500 group is mostly March so if they are moving to March submissions, would it not make sense to hope that mostly March groups are handled at the time they are processing mostly March cases? Yes there are times when cases get lost and/or delayed and to be fair, the process USCIS goes through to approve or deny cases does appear to be a mystery, but the script that has been floating around several different forums on VisaJourney has routinely shown that if your case is within a certain group that is currently being processed or will soon be processed, your application is likely to be processed soon as well. Instead of running that script, I asked someone what group they were a part of. Is it a dead giveaway of if USCIS will be processing the group my application is a part of? Absolutely not. But it shows they are very close and that was what I was looking for., the potential to begin on the group I am a part of soon.

 

Most people here have reasonable understandings of USCIS processes and what they should expect as far as timelines go, especially because if you generate your timeline, it tells you your anticipated approval timeframe on your own profile. I can read, I don't need someone to tell me the statistics or remind me I have to waste more months waiting on top of the dozen I already have. I am not sure what prompted you to reply to my message about being excited to have my fiancée home earlier than expected without even a reason about why that hope is unjustified, but instead to just temper my expectations. My expectations were tempered when I signed up for over a year of waiting to marry my fiancée, consider them sufficiently damped. 

 

With the number of people who usually come to me, and I'm sure many other people in this forum, trying to ask why we decided on one type of visa application vs another or asking why the process is taking so long or in general just cajoling the nitpicky knowledge associated with this long, dehumanizing process of immigration in this country, I would hope members of the community would have the decency to let others feel excited about the possibility of being reunited again without trying to find a way to minimize that reaction and make them feel less than.

 

I am expecting May, yes, thanks for the reminder it could be 57 more days.

 

But I am hoping for April. Hopefully that doesn't require a reminder of further frustration this time.

I didn't mean to be discouraging or pessimistic. I’m in the same boat as you. My case is actually April 1st and we’ve all been going through the same rollercoaster of emotions here. I was just trying to answer you. Your logic is sound, they SHOULD touch your group before anyone else. But if you have been following the many threads like everyone else they just do it randomly. 
 

It actually it does appear some March cases are being approved now but they seem they are coming from random groups. I wish nothing for the best for everyone here! 

Posted
1 hour ago, T&IApplication said:

I mean sure, I will keep my expectations to May but like I said before, I hope for April. Of course I am going to hope for an earlier approval, why on Earth would I hope for a later one?

 

I don't really see how group number, which is determined by chronological order of submission, wouldn't be based on chronology aka time submitted. the 58500 group is mostly March so if they are moving to March submissions, would it not make sense to hope that mostly March groups are handled at the time they are processing mostly March cases? Yes there are times when cases get lost and/or delayed and to be fair, the process USCIS goes through to approve or deny cases does appear to be a mystery, but the script that has been floating around several different forums on VisaJourney has routinely shown that if your case is within a certain group that is currently being processed or will soon be processed, your application is likely to be processed soon as well. Instead of running that script, I asked someone what group they were a part of. Is it a dead giveaway of if USCIS will be processing the group my application is a part of? Absolutely not. But it shows they are very close and that was what I was looking for., the potential to begin on the group I am a part of soon.

 

Most people here have reasonable understandings of USCIS processes and what they should expect as far as timelines go, especially because if you generate your timeline, it tells you your anticipated approval timeframe on your own profile. I can read, I don't need someone to tell me the statistics or remind me I have to waste more months waiting on top of the dozen I already have. I am not sure what prompted you to reply to my message about being excited to have my fiancée home earlier than expected without even a reason about why that hope is unjustified, but instead to just temper my expectations. My expectations were tempered when I signed up for over a year of waiting to marry my fiancée, consider them sufficiently damped. 

 

With the number of people who usually come to me, and I'm sure many other people in this forum, trying to ask why we decided on one type of visa application vs another or asking why the process is taking so long or in general just cajoling the nitpicky knowledge associated with this long, dehumanizing process of immigration in this country, I would hope members of the community would have the decency to let others feel excited about the possibility of being reunited again without trying to find a way to minimize that reaction and make them feel less than.

 

I am expecting May, yes, thanks for the reminder it could be 57 more days.

 

But I am hoping for April. Hopefully that doesn't require a reminder of further frustration this time.

I must be missing something. What post are you replying to? 

Posted
13 hours ago, Ronald P said:

I didn't mean to be discouraging or pessimistic. I’m in the same boat as you. My case is actually April 1st and we’ve all been going through the same rollercoaster of emotions here. I was just trying to answer you. Your logic is sound, they SHOULD touch your group before anyone else. But if you have been following the many threads like everyone else they just do it randomly. 
 

It actually it does appear some March cases are being approved now but they seem they are coming from random groups. I wish nothing for the best for everyone here! 

Ronald, kind advice: Back it up with data . This is such an emotionally distressed forum that does not need more wise words, to be honest.

Yes, there are random March approvals, but there are also random April and May approvals (it is expedites or just "real randoms"). A trend is, however, not defined by its outliers but by the bulk of data points. Stick to the data that is widely accepted by most in the forum (e.g. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1sN2bo1xZhs8oVU6-QDUdBXBX2_ci8_QJ0wiz59Gp6H4/edit#gid=915902491) and kindly just suffer with us. 😅

 

 

Posted
On 4/4/2023 at 7:30 PM, Ronald P said:

Yea February is the main focus now. But according to all the data since January is now at 60% they should start to switch the January processing to March fairly soon. The last 20% of January will run through May to meet the “16.5 Month 80%” processing time. It will be a slow trickle into March but they should start sporadically approving cases in no particular order, just as has been the pattern last couple months 

Wow, you were right. They are actively going for March! Let’s go!

 

 

Country: France
Timeline
Posted

Hi everyone,

I ran the script for March until 1 April,  yesterday evening, it kept on crashing for a few hours, but here is the update:

 

56500: 151 Untouched, 18 Approvals, 3 RFESs, 10 Denials, 12 Expedites(Denied: 11 / Received: 1), 12 Withdrawals, 9 Others || Completed Percent 18.6% || 215 total cases ||

57000: 115 Untouched, 24 Approvals, 7 RFESs, 14 Denials, 6 Expedites(Denied: 6), 4 Withdrawals, 10 Others || Completed Percent 23.3% || 180 total cases ||

57500: 85 Untouched, 7 Approvals, 1 RFER, 20 Denials, 8 Expedites(Denied: 8), 1 Withdrawal, 3 Others (Name Was Updated, Name Was Updated, Name Was Updated) || Completed Percent 21.8% || 125 total cases ||

58000: 87 Untouched, 2 Approvals, 16 Denials, 6 Expedites(Denied: 6), 7 Withdrawals, 5 Others (Date of Birth Was Updated, Document Was Mailed, Case Closed Benefit Received By Other Means, Date of Birth Was Updated, Document Was Mailed) || Completed Percent 20.3% || 123 total cases ||

58500: 248 Untouched, 10 Approvals, 19 Denials, 12 Expedites(Denied: 12), 8 Withdrawals, 6 Others || Completed Percent 12.2% || 303 total cases ||

59000: 192 Untouched, 9 Approvals, 1 RFES, 19 Denials, 11 Expedites(Denied: 10 / Approved: 1), 9 Withdrawals, 15 Others || Completed Percent 14.5% || 256 total cases ||

59500: 157 Untouched, 6 Approvals, 31 Denials, 3 Expedites(Denied: 3), 8 Withdrawals, 6 Others || Completed Percent 21.3% || 211 total cases ||

60000: 91 Untouched, 3 Approvals, 14 Denials, 5 Expedites(Denied: 5), 4 Withdrawals, 6 Others || Completed Percent 17.1% || 123 total cases ||

60500: 67 Untouched, 3 Approvals, 11 Denials, 1 Expedite(Denied: 1), 2 Withdrawals, 4 Others (Date of Birth Was Updated, Date of Birth Was Updated, Name Was Updated, Case Rejected For Incorrect Fee, Payment Not Signed And Incorrect Form Version) || Completed Percent 18.2% || 88 total cases ||

61000: 259 Untouched, 13 Approvals, 14 Denials, 8 Expedites(Denied: 8), 9 Withdrawals, 14 Others || Completed Percent 11.4% || 317 total cases ||

61500: 120 Untouched, 6 Approvals, 1 RFES, 1 RFER, 14 Denials, 11 Expedites(Denied: 11), 3 Withdrawals, 11 Others || Completed Percent 13.3% || 167 total cases ||

62000: 158 Untouched, 4 Approvals, 10 Denials, 9 Expedites(Denied: 9), 6 Withdrawals, 4 Others (Document Was Mailed, Date of Birth Was Updated, Document Was Mailed, Name Was Updated) || Completed Percent 10.5% || 191 total cases ||

62500: 107 Untouched, 2 Approvals, 12 Denials, 4 Expedites(Denied: 4), 4 Withdrawals, 5 Others (Document Was Mailed, Case Was Transferred And A New Office Has Jurisdiction, Name Was Updated, Document Was Mailed, Date of Birth Was Updated) || Completed Percent 13.4% || 134 total cases ||

63000: 150 Untouched, 4 Approvals, 1 RFES, 17 Denials, 13 Expedites(Denied: 13), 4 Withdrawals, 14 Others || Completed Percent 12.3% || 203 total cases ||

63500: 191 Untouched, 6 Approvals, 1 RFES, 16 Denials, 17 Expedites(Denied: 16 / Received: 1), 14 Withdrawals, 8 Others || Completed Percent 14.2% || 253 total cases ||

64000: 174 Untouched, 11 Approvals, 10 Denials, 7 Expedites(Denied: 7), 6 Withdrawals, 4 Others (Document Was Mailed, Case Closed Benefit Received By Other Means, Name Was Updated, Date of Birth Was Updated) || Completed Percent 12.7% || 212 total cases ||

64500: 185 Untouched, 10 Approvals, 8 Denials, 10 Expedites(Denied: 10), 6 Withdrawals, 9 Others || Completed Percent 10.5% || 228 total cases ||

65000: 111 Untouched, 1 Approval, 2 RFESs, 19 Denials, 3 Expedites(Denied: 3), 9 Withdrawals, 4 Others (Name Was Updated, Name Was Updated, Case Rejected For Incorrect Fee And Incorrect Form Version, Case Rejected For Incorrect Fee And Form Not Signed) || Completed Percent 19.5% || 149 total cases ||

65500: 239 Untouched, 5 Approvals, 21 Denials, 13 Expedites(Denied: 13), 6 Withdrawals, 8 Others || Completed Percent 11.0% || 292 total cases ||

66000: 129 Untouched, 4 Approvals, 8 Denials, 11 Expedites(Denied: 11), 7 Withdrawals, 3 Others (Date of Birth Was Updated, Name Was Updated, Case Rejected For Incorrect Fee And Incorrect Form Version) || Completed Percent 11.7% || 162 total cases ||

66500: 172 Untouched, 1 Approval, 11 Denials, 10 Expedites(Denied: 9 / Received: 1), 5 Withdrawals, 8 Others || Completed Percent 8.2% || 207 total cases ||

67000: 122 Untouched, 10 Approvals, 24 Denials, 11 Expedites(Denied: 11), 5 Withdrawals, 7 Others || Completed Percent 21.8% || 179 total cases ||

67500: 103 Untouched, 5 Approvals, 1 RFES, 1 RFER, 9 Denials, 12 Expedites(Denied: 12), 3 Withdrawals, 5 Others (Name Was Updated, Document Was Mailed, Document Was Mailed, Name Was Updated, Case Was Transferred And A New Office Has Jurisdiction) || Completed Percent 11.6% || 139 total cases ||

68000: 248 Untouched, 3 Approvals, 9 Denials, 7 Expedites(Denied: 7), 7 Withdrawals, 4 Others (Name Was Updated, Case Was Transferred And A New Office Has Jurisdiction, Document Was Mailed, Name Was Updated) || Completed Percent 6.8% || 278 total cases ||

68500: 18 Untouched, 1 Approval, 2 Denials || Completed Percent 14.3% || 21 total cases ||

 

Total for this month: 3679 Untouched, 168 Approvals, 17 RFESs, 3 RFERs, 358 Denials, 210 Expedites(Denied: 206 / Approved: 1 / Received: 3), 149 Withdrawals, 172 Others

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Ecuador
Timeline
Posted
4 hours ago, Nikobe said:

Wow, you were right. They are actively going for March! Let’s go!

March counted for 12% of cases which means more cases were processed for March than January! I didn’t think it was going to switch over that quickly but wow! Definitely exciting. I mean it sucks for anyone not in the first 60%…. 

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: United Kingdom
Timeline
Posted
3 hours ago, Ronald P said:

March counted for 12% of cases which means more cases were processed for March than January! I didn’t think it was going to switch over that quickly but wow! Definitely exciting. I mean it sucks for anyone not in the first 60%…. 

do you mean Feb? Although I believe feb had more approvals than March. If the 12% is from the big spreadsheet, that includes expedites and previous rejections etc so it's not 12% this week. Feb would have been at a similar % when they started focusing.
Jan is at ~67% done, 21% at RFE stage so they're actually 88% cases responded to which isn't bad. Feb is at ~53% but focus is still there, not March. General rule of thumb is they start a new month at 50% then move main focus at about 80%. So when feb hits 80% March should have the main focus of approvals.
Wishing everyone speedy approvals!

I-129f filed: 2022-10-21  ||  NOA1: 2022-10-24  ||  NOA2: 2023-09-21
NVC Received: 2023-10-13  ||  NVC in transit: 2023-10-24  ||  NVC Ready: 2023-10-26 

Medical: 2023-11-24  ||  Interview: 2023-12-14  ||  CEAC Issued: 2023-12-18  ||  VOH: 2023-12-20
Entry to US: 2024-02-14 || Married: 2024-02-29

---

AOS filed: 2024-03-18 ||  NOA1: 2024-03-20 || Biometrics: 2024-04-01
EAD NOA2: 2024-04-02  ||  EAD Received: 2024-04-24
GC NOA2: 2024-07-30 || GC Received: 2024-08-08

 

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Ecuador
Timeline
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, AndiB said:

do you mean Feb? Although I believe feb had more approvals than March. If the 12% is from the big spreadsheet, that includes expedites and previous rejections etc so it's not 12% this week. Feb would have been at a similar % when they started focusing.
Jan is at ~67% done, 21% at RFE stage so they're actually 88% cases responded to which isn't bad. Feb is at ~53% but focus is still there, not March. General rule of thumb is they start a new month at 50% then move main focus at about 80%. So when feb hits 80% March should have the main focus of approvals.
Wishing everyone speedy approvals!

No... I meant that on April 5th, March accounted for 12% of all status changes, whether they are approved, denied, expedited, etc. January only had 9%. I got it from the total cases tab from the big sheet 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1sN2bo1xZhs8oVU6-QDUdBXBX2_ci8_QJ0wiz59Gp6H4/edit#gid=915902491

 

 

 

 

Untitled.png

Edited by Ronald P
 
Didn't find the answer you were looking for? Ask our VJ Immigration Lawyers.

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
- Back to Top -

Important Disclaimer: Please read carefully the Visajourney.com Terms of Service. If you do not agree to the Terms of Service you should not access or view any page (including this page) on VisaJourney.com. Answers and comments provided on Visajourney.com Forums are general information, and are not intended to substitute for informed professional medical, psychiatric, psychological, tax, legal, investment, accounting, or other professional advice. Visajourney.com does not endorse, and expressly disclaims liability for any product, manufacturer, distributor, service or service provider mentioned or any opinion expressed in answers or comments. VisaJourney.com does not condone immigration fraud in any way, shape or manner. VisaJourney.com recommends that if any member or user knows directly of someone involved in fraudulent or illegal activity, that they report such activity directly to the Department of Homeland Security, Immigration and Customs Enforcement. You can contact ICE via email at Immigration.Reply@dhs.gov or you can telephone ICE at 1-866-347-2423. All reported threads/posts containing reference to immigration fraud or illegal activities will be removed from this board. If you feel that you have found inappropriate content, please let us know by contacting us here with a url link to that content. Thank you.
×
×
  • Create New...