DECEMBER 2021 1-129F K1 FILERS

[Americannabrit 17]

1 hour ago, grumpypiggy said:

Monday 3/20/23 Updates:

24500: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)

25000: 3 Approvals (3 new / 0 in progress)

26000: 7 Approvals (5 new / 2 in progress)

27500: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)

28000: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)

28500: 6 Approvals, 2 RFESs (8 new / 0 in progress)

29000: 8 Approvals (8 new / 0 in progress)

29500: 2 Approvals (2 new / 0 in progress)

30000: 4 Approvals (4 new / 0 in progress)

30500: 5 Approvals (5 new / 0 in progress)

31500: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)

33000: 1 Other (Document Was Returned To USCIS) (1 new / 0 in progress)

33500: 2 Approvals, 1 RFES (3 new / 0 in progress)

34000: 9 Approvals, 1 RFES (9 new / 1 in progress)

34500: 6 Approvals (5 new / 1 in progress)

35000: 2 Approvals (2 new / 0 in progress)

35500: 6 Approvals, 1 RFES (7 new / 0 in progress)

36000: 8 Approvals, 4 RFESs (11 new / 1 in progress)

82 Total Updates: 72 Approvals, 9 RFESs, 1 Other (Document Was Returned To USCIS)

 Where is 32000 😭😭😭

[mw & rg k1 636]

Here is Monday's report (showing activity since Friday)
 

Added yet a new feature to my Mon/Wed/Friday Report.
as I am in the RFE (response received) category,
I have been curious about how many of the decisions are approvals versus denials as well as how long they take.

Sorry, to see how long they take you will need to see another post from me.
But notice in the statistics below, there is a new data point RFER>Denial and RFER>Approval
Showing the decisions from Request for Evidence Received to either Denial or Approval.

 

Changes on March 18 2023: 13
Changes on March 20 2023: 75
Changes on March 21 2023: 10

Report of significant changes since 2023_03_17
DEC 1-3:  Untouched:33
        Approved: 4     Denied: 0      RFE: 2   
        RFER-Denial: 0     RFER-Approval: 2    
        Updated: 1       Term\Withdrawn: 0    Rejected: 0

DEC 6-10:  Untouched:86
        Approved: 8     Denied: 0      RFE: 4   
        RFER-Denial: 0     RFER-Approval: 6    
        Updated: 1       Term\Withdrawn: 0    Rejected: 0

DEC 13-17:  Untouched:83
        Approved: 26     Denied: 0      RFE: 6   
        RFER-Denial: 0     RFER-Approval: 9    
        Updated: 0       Term\Withdrawn: 0    Rejected: 0

DEC 20-24:  Untouched:213
        Approved: 9     Denied: 1      RFE: 8   
        RFER-Denial: 1     RFER-Approval: 1    
        Updated: 1       Term\Withdrawn: 0    Rejected: 0

DEC 27-31:  Untouched:195
        Approved: 14     Denied: 0      RFE: 12   
        RFER-Denial: 0     RFER-Approval: 4    

 

 

[mw & rg k1 636]

Here is Monday's burndown report which considers only untouched cases being opened (looking back into 2022 as well)
Reminder, this looks only at a few case types (Case Was Received) to see how many have not been touched at all.

As of last Friday (17 Mar 2023 @ ~7pm), there were still 848 cases I have observed as untouched between Jan 1, 2021 and Nov 30, 2021 (ouch)

On to the data (as you can see, it is a little all over the place)

Total (previously untouched) cases opened :    113
Week.....Was...Now...Delta..Approved..Denied..RFE
Prev.......254....251........3...........2...............0.........1
09/03.....16......16.........0............0...............0.........0
09/10.....10.......9..........1............0...............0.........1
09/17.....29......29.........0............0...............0.........0
09/24.....20......17.........3............2...............0.........1
10/01.....22......20.........2............0...............0.........2
10/08.....14......14.........0............0...............0.........0
10/15.....38......21........17...........8...............0.........9
10/22.....47......39.........8............3...............0.........4
10/29.....37......27........10...........0...............0........10
11/05.....78......76.........2............0...............0.........2
11/12....114....113........1............0...............0.........1
11/19.....85......83.........2............0...............0.........2
11/26.....56......42........14...........2...............1........11
12/03.....63......61.........2............2...............0.........0
12/10.....88......86.........2............1...............0.........1
12/17....101.....83........18..........16.............0.........2
12/24....223....211.......12...........8..............0.........4
12/31....211....195.......16..........10.............0.........6

 

 

[Saeid 127]

I just don't get it, how come there is only few changes for 12-20 to 12-24... Most of the cases from Dec 2021 are still untouched and USCIS started Feb2022 cases ... 😔

[Gary Rich 284]

8 minutes ago, Saeid said:

I just don't get it, how come there is only few changes for 12-20 to 12-24... Most of the cases from Dec 2021 are still untouched and USCIS started Feb2022 cases ... 😔

I believe that we are in that last 20% of cases. I'm still waiting myself.  Dec-20-24 group.

[Zz6938 22]

My NOA1 was Dec 13 2021,  just got approved today. No RFE's thankfully. Good Luck to all of you whose still waiting. Fingers crossed.

[Bikenm 57]

13 hours ago, Saeid said:

I just don't get it, how come there is only few changes for 12-20 to 12-24... Most of the cases from Dec 2021 are still untouched and USCIS started Feb2022 cases ... 😔

It's unfair but their track record has been like that for past 6-7 months. They will focus on February now till they have 1000 cases remaining and then move on to March. Remaining 1000 cases will take bit more time to get approved. 

[Americannabrit 17]

I'm going to lose my mind checking my case status every 15 minutes. 😒 Are they done with November? At this point I'm even checking all the case statuses with in ten numbers from mine hahah

Edited March 22, 2023 by Americannabrit

[grumpypiggy 290]

Tuesday 3/21/23 Updates:

24500: 1 RFER (1 new / 0 in progress)

26000: 3 RFERs (3 new / 0 in progress)

27500: 2 Approvals (2 new / 0 in progress)

28000: 4 Approvals (4 new / 0 in progress)

28500: 5 RFERs (5 new / 0 in progress)

29000: 3 Approvals, 1 RFER (4 new / 0 in progress)

29500: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)

30500: 3 RFERs, 1 Denial (4 new / 0 in progress)

31500: 1 RFER (1 new / 0 in progress)

32000: 2 RFERs (1 new / 1 in progress)

33000: 2 Approvals (2 new / 0 in progress)

33500: 2 Approvals, 1 RFER (3 new / 0 in progress)

34000: 2 RFESs, 2 RFERs, 1 Other (Name Was Updated) (5 new / 0 in progress)

34500: 2 RFESs, 1 Withdrawal (3 new / 0 in progress)

35000: 1 RFER (1 new / 0 in progress)

35500: 3 Approvals (3 new / 0 in progress)

36000: 3 Approvals, 1 RFER (4 new / 0 in progress)

36500: 1 Approval, 2 RFERs (3 new / 0 in progress)

51 Total Updates: 21 Approvals, 4 RFESs, 23 RFERs, 1 Denial, 1 Withdrawal, 1 Other (Name Was Updated)

[Americannabrit 17]

8 minutes ago, grumpypiggy said:

Tuesday 3/21/23 Updates:

24500: 1 RFER (1 new / 0 in progress)

26000: 3 RFERs (3 new / 0 in progress)

27500: 2 Approvals (2 new / 0 in progress)

28000: 4 Approvals (4 new / 0 in progress)

28500: 5 RFERs (5 new / 0 in progress)

29000: 3 Approvals, 1 RFER (4 new / 0 in progress)

29500: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)

30500: 3 RFERs, 1 Denial (4 new / 0 in progress)

31500: 1 RFER (1 new / 0 in progress)

32000: 2 RFERs (1 new / 1 in progress)

33000: 2 Approvals (2 new / 0 in progress)

33500: 2 Approvals, 1 RFER (3 new / 0 in progress)

34000: 2 RFESs, 2 RFERs, 1 Other (Name Was Updated) (5 new / 0 in progress)

34500: 2 RFESs, 1 Withdrawal (3 new / 0 in progress)

35000: 1 RFER (1 new / 0 in progress)

35500: 3 Approvals (3 new / 0 in progress)

36000: 3 Approvals, 1 RFER (4 new / 0 in progress)

36500: 1 Approval, 2 RFERs (3 new / 0 in progress)

51 Total Updates: 21 Approvals, 4 RFESs, 23 RFERs, 1 Denial, 1 Withdrawal, 1 Other (Name Was Updated)

Thank you, I was going to flip out if there was no 32000s haha

[mw & rg k1 636]

29 minutes ago, Americannabrit said:

Thank you, I was going to flip out if there was no 32000s haha

awful numbers today. 

 

especially on RFER->Decision ....

[mw & rg k1 636]

1 hour ago, Bikenm said:

It's unfair but their track record has been like that for past 6-7 months. They will focus on February now till they have 1000 cases remaining and then move on to March. Remaining 1000 cases will take bit more time to get approved. 

not sure about that "1000" number... other posts said 50% of cases, fixed numbers like this, and more.   From my data, there is no rhyme or reason to the process now other than the histogram of activity has spread wider and wider month after month.  The result is fewer cases being focused on and overall slower processing on specific date ranges.

 

IF I were to guess, I think they are weighting the processing to manage 80% cases times (and slowly losing ground on that)

[Saeid 127]

2 minutes ago, mw & rg k1 said:

not sure about that "1000" number... other posts said 50% of cases, fixed numbers like this, and more.   From my data, there is no rhyme or reason to the process now other than the histogram of activity has spread wider and wider month after month.  The result is fewer cases being focused on and overall slower processing on specific date ranges.

 

IF I were to guess, I think they are weighting the processing to manage 80% cases times (and slowly losing ground on that)

Whatever I'm seeing from data, look like they just randomly choose any dates/months... There is no consistency! For Some people like us, wait time is going to be 3-4 months more than others 

Not fair ...

[Bikenm 57]

50 minutes ago, mw & rg k1 said:

not sure about that "1000" number... other posts said 50% of cases, fixed numbers like this, and more.   From my data, there is no rhyme or reason to the process now other than the histogram of activity has spread wider and wider month after month.  The result is fewer cases being focused on and overall slower processing on specific date ranges.

 

IF I were to guess, I think they are weighting the processing to manage 80% cases times (and slowly losing ground on that)

I don't have hard data but I have been following cases for about a year now. There's little over 1k+ cases in January and now they've started processing February. Same thing happened with December, November, September and so forth. Velocity of January will go down significantly and the main focus will be February in coming days and weeks. Processing velocity change happens at 1k mark for some reason that's the rule of thumb I've been using and it has been pretty accurate so far. 
For the cases of November: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/2/d/1rVa_Eln8k9jbGkomGIRkKSIsyoCVp8gab2wwxXu1Aug/htmlview?fbclid=IwAR2ciGHqny6OnuLBbwajpr7cOB9fE0QPlb3s3Y6idh4NOh4ApWwliQm9F2A&mibextid=Zxz2cZ#. You can see the tracking data here. There were total 3496 cases. USCIS started seriously processing since
Jan 9 - Jan 16: 110 cases 
Jan 17 - Jan 20: 236 cases
Jan 23- Jan 28: 540 cases
Jan 30 - Feb 4: 725 cases
Feb 6 - Feb 11: 567 cases
Feb 13 - Feb 18: 401 cases

At this point they hit that 1k mark remaining for November and they swiftly moved their focus to December. December was having roughly 400 cases/ week at this point and November was having 200/week or less and it has slowed down ever seen. 

 

[Nikobe 129]

4 hours ago, mw & rg k1 said:

awful numbers today. 

 

especially on RFER->Decision ....

Like every Tuesday to be honest.