DECEMBER 2021 1-129F K1 FILERS

[dfederly 22]

25 minutes ago, Rocketman50 said:

I realized something interesting about my RFE. It's says "Request for Initial Evidence Was Sent". That initial word is very different than most RFEs I've seen. It sounds like they just need me to update one of the initial documents I submitted. I will confirm once I have the letter.

Yes, there are 2 types of requests for evidence. One is the RFE, for "additional" information, the other as you noticed is the RFIE, which pertains to the initial packet of information you sent. Possibly a missed question, document or signature, usually nothing substantial.

[P8282667 10]

2 horas atrás, Rocketman50 disse:

Percebi algo interessante sobre o meu RFE. Diz que "O pedido de evidência inicial foi enviado". Essa palavra inicial é muito diferente da maioria dos RFEs que eu já vi. Parece que eles só precisam que eu atualize um dos documentos iniciais que enviei. Vou confirmar assim que tiver a carta.

if it says "initial" it's because you forgot something, additional is when they want more evidence

[Tzgeneration 39]

4 hours ago, Rocketman50 said:

I realized something interesting about my RFE. It's says "Request for Initial Evidence Was Sent". That initial word is very different than most RFEs I've seen. It sounds like they just need me to update one of the initial documents I submitted. I will confirm once I have the letter.

What is your filing date Rocketman50? 

[Rocketman50 56]

30 minutes ago, Tzgeneration said:

What is your filing date Rocketman50? 

 

December 13, 2021 We received your Form I-129F, Petition for Alien Fiancé(e).

February 8, 2023 Request for Initial Evidence Was Sent

[Lynxyonok 316]

4 hours ago, P8282667 said:

if it says "initial" it's because you forgot something, additional is when they want more evidence

Yes, I think that's how it is.

 

Initial = clarify your I-129F.

Additional = prove your relationship is ongoing.

14 hours ago, serret said:

Regarding the jump in RFEs issued, it coincides with the jump in processing as well. Maybe a couple of new hires finally got through training and now have started to work on cases?

More like by the time a I-129F packet is seen, the last reported meeting is now over 2 years prior.

[Lynxyonok 316]

20 hours ago, grumpypiggy said:

Worried about the high RFE rate

There's an up to 25% chance to receive one.

 

I actually folded today. I pre-sent my RFE response without even getting one. 47 pages with pictures describing post-filing meetings.

 

Let's see if it helps or just ends up in a trash can.

[Pangoleen 66]

8 hours ago, Rocketman50 said:

I realized something interesting about my RFE. It's says "Request for Initial Evidence Was Sent". That initial word is very different than most RFEs I've seen. It sounds like they just need me to update one of the initial documents I submitted. I will confirm once I have the letter.

Did you create a copy of your I-129f package as recommended? If so, you could go through the forms again to see if you're missing anything.

[mw & rg k1 635]

On 2/8/2023 at 9:10 PM, Rocketman50 said:

 

I can't think of anything. I have multiple different types of proof of meeting in the last 2 years (still in the time frame as of today), two separate letters of intent to marry, passport pictures, all required forms, etc. Nothing complicated about my application either (no divorce, no criminal history, etc). I'm just hoping it's something really small and simple.

 

I feel like most current people stop posting updates once they get RFEs so we never know what random reasons to expect. I'm surprised we rarely get posts for such high RFE rates in the lat few months. I'll for sure keep you updated on what they asked for.

looking forward to hearing what they asked for

[mw & rg k1 635]

As reported by others, there is a disturbing trend where the latest case dates processed (as shown below in Dec 13-17) have a significant number of RFEs (of one type or another)

 

Total activity including "expedite denials" & "mailed documents"
Changes on February 10 2023: 64
Changes on February 8 2023: 45
Changes on February 9 2023: 54

Report of significant changes since 2023_02_07
DEC 1-3:  Untouched:89
        Approved: 35     Denied: 0      RFE: 5   
        Updated: 1       Term\Withdrawn: 1    Rejected: 0

DEC 6-10:  Untouched:608
        Approved: 46     Denied: 1      RFE: 2   
        Updated: 0       Term\Withdrawn: 0    Rejected: 0

DEC 13-17:  Untouched:678
        Approved: 27     Denied: 0      RFE: 32   
        Updated: 0       Term\Withdrawn: 3    Rejected: 0

DEC 20-24:  Untouched:763
        Approved: 4     Denied: 0      RFE: 1   
        Updated: 0       Term\Withdrawn: 1    Rejected: 0

DEC 27-31:  Untouched:549
        Approved: 0     Denied: 0      RFE: 0   
        Updated: 0       Term\Withdrawn: 0    Rejected: 0

[mw & rg k1 635]

Reporting on previously untouched cases.

There are two very disturbing threads that are seeming to be getting worse.
    Trend 1 - The quantity of cases behind the crest of the wave has been seeming to get worse
    Trend 2 - The quantity of RFEs has increased dramatically 

 

While 984 untouched cases was opened this week, 30% (293) received RFE
My script considers this the case being touched / opened so I don't track details further (except for Dec)

 

Total (previously untouched) cases opened :    984

 

Week    Was    Now  Delta  Approved  Denied  RFE
09/03    56         52       4              2              0         2
09/10    34         16      18            11             0         7
09/17    105       75      30            26             0         4
09/24    73         69       4               3              0         1
10/01    46         36      10              4              1         4
10/08    68         49      19              9              0         6
10/15    158     118      40            33              0         7
10/22    125       87      38             23             1         13
10/29    156     127      29             22             0         6
11/05    262     191      71             44             0         27
11/12    236     154      82             53             0         29
11/19    411     297     114            93             0         21
11/26    410     264     146            92             0         52
12/03    450     233     217          161             1         52
12/10    683     608      75             58             1         16
12/17    738     677      61             26              0         35
12/24    768     763       5               4               0         1
12/31    549     549       0               0               0         0

[Pangoleen 66]

46 minutes ago, mw & rg k1 said:

Trend 1 - The quantity of cases behind the crest of the wave has been seeming to get worse

Could you elaborate on this? Do you mean that they are leaving an increasing number of cases behind the peak of activity stranded?

[mw & rg k1 635]

6 hours ago, Pangoleen said:

Could you elaborate on this? Do you mean that they are leaving an increasing number of cases behind the peak of activity stranded?

The short answer is yes.

 

For a longer answer, When I first started my scans, (pardon the scaling difference in terms of weeks for the attached charts - I save only the image once it is complete.)

You will notice that the focus month was quite a bit narrower, more focused, and not a huge number of cases left behind.

The peak had a near histogram like shape processing an nearly equal number of cases before and after the peak with a span of about 5 weeks (2-2.5 weeks to either side of the peak)
yes, a few cases were left behind but this was in the low 10s of cases and even the peak of these was worked on (7/30 week in the 11/12 image below) 
 

 

Over time, the shape widened dramatically occasionally even showing a bi-modal distribution periodically.
the span increased to ~8.5 weeks dramatically up from 5 weeks as shown in the first graphic.
BUT there was at-least some trailing activity to bring the "behind the wave" cases into the 10's counts
Refer to this 11/23 scan image below.

 

Now, the histogram (single or bi-modal has disappeared with a sloping trailing edge.
The total span increases again to ~11 weeks and the trailing case counts (after the peak are in the 100's
and even high 10's in count rather than few 10's as seen above in both previous graphics.
Many weeks back from the peak, there are still low 100's of completely untouched cases

with minor (10's of cases being processed) or even no processing even though there are still significant number of cases 
as shown in my last detailed in my report (and as shown in this 2/10 scan)

[mw & rg k1 635]

6 hours ago, Pangoleen said:

Could you elaborate on this? Do you mean that they are leaving an increasing number of cases behind the peak of activity stranded?

One other graphic for you 
This dates back to 10/29 when I did my first seed run for this script ....
Didn't have delta data yet so only case count on 10/29.
For this, notice the rough digital shape.

To the left of the vertical rise, very few cases remaining,
to the right of the vertical rise, a noisy but rather consistant untouched case count.
the rise itself is sharp showing that they are processing cases in near progression taking them from many 100's of cases and down to 10's of cases.

Now compare that with the 11/12 from the previous post which confirms this "digital" process next in line
to the new 02/10 previous post where it is no longer "next in line" processing but spread wide.

[Pangoleen 66]

Thank you for the thorough explanation. This is definitely a little worrying.

 

I ended up checking my inquiry date yesterday, and saw that I'm not allowed to contact USCIS before the end of May (for the time being, who knows if it'll get pushed back again). I don't quite get it since that would put me at over 17 months, nowhere near the current 15.5 estimate. To think that it's not outside the realm of possibility to be left behind and not even be able to send an inquiry for another month and a half after crossing normal processing times is ... not pleasant.

[mw & rg k1 635]

2 hours ago, Pangoleen said:

Thank you for the thorough explanation. This is definitely a little worrying.

 

I ended up checking my inquiry date yesterday, and saw that I'm not allowed to contact USCIS before the end of May (for the time being, who knows if it'll get pushed back again). I don't quite get it since that would put me at over 17 months, nowhere near the current 15.5 estimate. To think that it's not outside the realm of possibility to be left behind and not even be able to send an inquiry for another month and a half after crossing normal processing times is ... not pleasant.

Not to make it worse ... But I just ran a mini scan and found a few new Request for Initial Evidences today for case
All of these (and I know of at least one that sent in an inquiry) are past and allowed to send in an inquiry.

Request for Initial Evidence is there was not enough evidence in the application to start the processing.
Yet ... 4 of them post processing time window for an RFIE Just today? Makes me sick

Group                             Received        Date Group    Untouched Cases Remaining     Cases Touched                Last Update

WAC21900797xx    April 28 2021          04/30                             5                                        Only This                    On February 10, 2023, we sent a request for initial evidence
WAC21901234xx   August 12 2021      08/13                            23                                         1 (of 3)                      On February 10, 2023, we sent a request for initial evidence

WAC21901235xx   August 13 2021      08/13                            23                                         2 (of 3)                      On February 10, 2023, we sent a request for initial evidence

WAC21901287xx   August 12 2021      08/13                            23                                         3 (of 3)                      On February 10, 2023, we sent a request for initial evidence
(oh and that's it ... nothing else processed from Jan to October.

Oh and
Oct 08 week (47 remaining) - ONE (1) Normal Request for Additional Evidence and ONE (1) Withdrawal.

Oct 15 week (118 remaining) - None
Oct 22 week (87 remaining) - None

Oct 29 week (126 remaining) - ONE (1)  Normal Request for Additional Evidence

---- Ooops ---- 
15.5 Months ago is approximately November 2021 ... so ALL of these above are already past normal processing time.