DECEMBER 2021 1-129F K1 FILERS

[grumpypiggy 290]

Saturday 2/4/23 Updates:

 

24500: 2 RFESs, 1 Other (Notice Explaining USCIS Actions Was Mailed) (3 new / 0 in progress)

25000: 5 RFESs, 1 Denial, 1 Other (Name Was Updated) (7 new / 0 in progress)

25500: 2 RFESs (2 new / 0 in progress)

26000: 4 RFESs (4 new / 0 in progress)

29000: 1 RFES (1 new / 0 in progress)

 

17 Total Updates: 14 RFESs, 1 Denial, 2 Others (Notice Explaining USCIS Actions Was Mailed, Name Was Updated)

[Nat Liu 7]

18 hours ago, mw & rg k1 said:

Untouched Cases Opened (as compared with 27 Jan 2023) 

Total (previously untouched) cases opened :    1070 ---- Amazing
Week    Was    Now  Delta  Approved  Denied  RFE
Earlier    412     381     31             8            4         15
09/03    65         56       9              3             0         4
09/10    68         34      34            28            0         5
09/17    126     105      21            16            0         4
09/24    100       73      27            16            0         9
10/01    68         46      22            16            1         3
10/08    95         68      27            12            2         12
10/15    194     158      36            22            1         12
10/22    155     125      30            21            1         7
10/29    307     156      151          93            1         56
11/05    397     262      135          76            4         54
11/12    409     236      173         103           0         65
11/19    526     411      115           79            1         33
11/26    550     410      140           96            0         42
12/03    552     451      101           61            0         39
12/10    699     684      15              6             2         7
12/17    743     741       2               1             1         0
12/24    770     769       1               0             0         1
12/31    549     549       0               0             0         0

 

Analysis: Over the last few months, The data has evolved substantially moving from a normal (narrow) histogram to now a wide range of data being processed.
Other than the last week, the majority of cases worked on were at End of October All of November.
I have stopped reporting on Cases earlier than first week of Sept as activity had reached (and remains) single digit activity levels in opening new cases.
If needed, I can generate a report for those dates as I still maintain / update the data.

 

A Note about data source and data presented:
This data set is slightly unique from posts I make for December groups in that it counts ONLY untouched cases
It uses a locally generated database for ALL "untouched" cases in 2021 then sorts them into weeks.
For example, Dec 3 (on the graph and report) is the Friday of that week so it also includes November 29 & 30.

It was originally created to get a sense as to when a case date might see activity.
It has evolved in use to see where the majority of activity is.
Data is posted (generally) showing either Fri-Tues or Fri-Fri "Burndown" activity.

This is so incredibly helpful! Thank you so much for doing this! 

[mw & rg k1 636]

18 hours ago, Pangoleen said:

Thank you for your analysis as always!

 

Seems to me they really want to wrap up all of 2021 soon, considering we haven't seen a range quite like this before. Maybe an attempt to pretty up the next quarterly report somewhat.

 

I'm quite worried about the rate of RFEs hovering at over 50% still. I think that's worse than it was in July when the RFE trend first started.

I too think there is considerable pressure not to further extend the 15.5 month average processing time ... it would explain the wide spread of case work as well as to why there is such a reach into December cases already.

 

Hopefully, none of us get left in the tail of the wave 

[grumpypiggy 290]

Monday 2/6/23 Updates:

 

Seems like they gradually moving forward to early December now!! Hope to see a daily updates of 100+ soon 

 

24500: 7 Approvals, 1 Other (Name Was Updated) (8 new / 0 in progress)

25000: 27 Approvals, 7 RFESs (34 new / 0 in progress)

25500: 5 Approvals, 1 RFES (6 new / 0 in progress)

26000: 4 Approvals (4 new / 0 in progress)

26500: 2 RFESs (2 new / 0 in progress)

28000: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)

 

55 Total Updates: 44 Approvals, 10 RFESs, 1 Other (Name Was Updated)

Edited February 7, 2023 by grumpypiggy

[mw & rg k1 636]

thanks @grumpypiggy

[Nat Liu 7]

1 hour ago, grumpypiggy said:

Monday 2/6/23 Updates:

 

Seems like they gradually moving forward to early December now!! Hope to see a daily updates of 100+ soon 

 

24500: 7 Approvals, 1 Other (Name Was Updated) (8 new / 0 in progress)

25000: 27 Approvals, 7 RFESs (34 new / 0 in progress)

25500: 5 Approvals, 1 RFES (6 new / 0 in progress)

26000: 4 Approvals (4 new / 0 in progress)

26500: 2 RFESs (2 new / 0 in progress)

28000: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)

 

55 Total Updates: 44 Approvals, 10 RFESs, 1 Other (Name Was Updated)

Do you have dates for these or just numbers? How do you know where they are in Dec timeline?

[mw & rg k1 636]

1 hour ago, grumpypiggy said:

Monday 2/6/23 Updates:

 

Seems like they gradually moving forward to early December now!! Hope to see a daily updates of 100+ soon 

 

24500: 7 Approvals, 1 Other (Name Was Updated) (8 new / 0 in progress)

25000: 27 Approvals, 7 RFESs (34 new / 0 in progress)

25500: 5 Approvals, 1 RFES (6 new / 0 in progress)

26000: 4 Approvals (4 new / 0 in progress)

26500: 2 RFESs (2 new / 0 in progress)

28000: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)

 

55 Total Updates: 44 Approvals, 10 RFESs, 1 Other (Name Was Updated)

That 28000 is something December filers should take note of ...
While the case number seems high (and much closer to my batch at 30000) it is actually a Dec 3 Filing.
The 25500 cases are mostly Dec 6th cases which is well below 28000 ...

 

USCIS Case numbers are only a rough indication of filing date ... There are many such crazy examples

 

[AbTb 14]

We are in the 27700 series- 12/9/2021 filer!! Keeping our fingers crossed!! Praying for positve news for the remaining Dec filers!!

[grumpypiggy 290]

2 hours ago, Nat Liu said:

Do you have dates for these or just numbers? How do you know where they are in Dec timeline?

From today's data:

 

Most recent approval in the 28000 is Dec 10

Most approvals in the 25000 are Dec 3

 

I will add most recent approval filing date for reference in future daily udpate posts, and @mw & rg k1 also shares data analysis by filing dates every Tuesday & Friday. So we can wait and see what's up tomorrow 

Edited February 7, 2023 by grumpypiggy

[Gary Rich 267]

8 hours ago, mw & rg k1 said:

That 28000 is something December filers should take note of ...
While the case number seems high (and much closer to my batch at 30000) it is actually a Dec 3 Filing.
The 25500 cases are mostly Dec 6th cases which is well below 28000 ...

 

USCIS Case numbers are only a rough indication of filing date ... There are many such crazy examples

 

mines is 2900

[grumpypiggy 290]

Tuesday 2/7/23 Updates:

 

24500: 15 Approvals, 1 RFES, 1 Other (Case Was Reopened For Reconsideration) (17 new / 0 in progress)

25000: 7 Approvals, 6 RFESs (13 new / 0 in progress)

25500: 1 Approval, 1 RFES (2 new / 0 in progress)

26000: 2 Approvals, 1 RFES (3 new / 0 in progress)

26500: 2 Approvals, 1 RFES (3 new / 0 in progress)

27000: 1 RFES (1 new / 0 in progress)

28000: 1 RFES, 1 Withdrawal (2 new / 0 in progress)

28500: 2 RFESs (2 new / 0 in progress)

32500: 1 RFES (1 new / 0 in progress)

 

44 Total Updates: 27 Approvals, 15 RFESs, 1 Withdrawal, 1 Other (Case Was Reopened For Reconsideration)

 

Most Recent Approval Date: Dec 7

[mw & rg k1 636]

Remember, this dataset is sorted by date and not by case numbers.

Very pleased to see movement in December cases and significant activity especially in DEC 1-3 cases.
Continuing to wish us all an expedient case adjudication 
 

With that, I am pleased to present up update report of significant changes since 2023_02_03

DEC 1-3:  Untouched:128
        Approved: 71     Denied: 1      RFE: 24   
        Updated: 0       Term\Withdrawn: 0    Rejected: 0

DEC 6-10:  Untouched:655
        Approved: 14     Denied: 0      RFE: 14   
        Updated: 0       Term\Withdrawn: 1    Rejected: 0

DEC 13-17:  Untouched:738
        Approved: 0     Denied: 0      RFE: 4   
        Updated: 0       Term\Withdrawn: 0    Rejected: 0

DEC 20-24:  Untouched:769
        Approved: 0     Denied: 0      RFE: 0   
        Updated: 0       Term\Withdrawn: 0    Rejected: 0

DEC 27-31:  Untouched:549
        Approved: 0     Denied: 0      RFE: 0   
        Updated: 0       Term\Withdrawn: 0    Rejected: 0

 

[mw & rg k1 636]

This data sorts by week number and previously untouched cases with current levels.
For example, 12/3 as listed would consider cases from Nov 29-Dec 3, 2021

Total (previously untouched) cases opened  from 2/4(am) till 2/7(8pm PST):    478
Total remaining unopened from 08/30/2021 till 12/31/2021: 4859

      (activity for same period: 474 cases)
Total remaining unopened from 01/01/2021 till 08/27/2021: 377
       (activity for same period: 4 cases)

Week    Was    Now  Delta  Approved  Denied  RFE
09/03     56       54        2              0             0         2
09/10     34       31        3              1             0         2
09/17    105      95       10             7             0         3
09/24     73       72        1               0             0         1
10/01     46       42        4               2             1         0
10/08     68       56       12              5             0         3
10/15    158     136      22            16            0         6
10/22    125     122       3              2              0         1
10/29    156     145      11             8              0         3
11/05    262     215      47            31            0         16
11/12    236     176      60            38            0         22
11/19    411     354      57            42            0         15
11/26    410     343      67            44            0         21
12/03    451     308     143          102           1         39
12/10    683     655      28            14            0         14
12/17    741     737       4               0             0          4
12/24    769     769       0               0             0          0
12/31    549     549       0               0             0          0

Edited February 8, 2023 by mw & rg k1
Fixed spacing of data

[Ngillet 267]

9 minutes ago, mw & rg k1 said:

This data sorts by week number and previously untouched cases with current levels.
For example, 12/3 as listed would consider cases from Nov 29-Dec 3, 2021

Total (previously untouched) cases opened  from 2/4(am) till 2/7(8pm PST):    478
Total remaining unopened from 08/30/2021 till 12/31/2021: 4859

      (activity for same period: 474 cases)
Total remaining unopened from 01/01/2021 till 08/27/2021: 377
       (activity for same period: 4 cases)

Week    Was    Now  Delta  Approved  Denied  RFE
09/03     56       54        2              0             0         2
09/10     34       31        3              1             0         2
09/17    105      95       10             7             0         3
09/24     73       72        1               0             0         1
10/01     46       42        4               2             1         0
10/08     68       56       12              5             0         3
10/15    158     136      22            16            0         6
10/22    125     122       3              2              0         1
10/29    156     145      11             8              0         3
11/05    262     215      47            31            0         16
11/12    236     176      60            38            0         22
11/19    411     354      57            42            0         15
11/26    410     343      67            44            0         21
12/03    451     308     143          102           1         39
12/10    683     655      28            14            0         14
12/17    741     737       4               0             0          4
12/24    769     769       0               0             0          0
12/31    549     549       0               0             0          0

This is hopeful! Mind if I reference your data in Jan 2022 filers post on Friday? 

[mw & rg k1 636]

20 minutes ago, Ngillet said:

This is hopeful! Mind if I reference your data in Jan 2022 filers post on Friday? 

It is free to share ... may it give encouragement to any who find a reason to continue to hope/wait.