DECEMBER 2021 1-129F K1 FILERS

[rileyroo 29]

2 hours ago, mw & rg k1 said:

Well if that doesn't make it official now, I don't know what does.

Multiple people scanning for Dec Changes.

 

As suggested in the Group, my updates will be kept to Tues and Friday and include the Horizontal Stacked Bar graph .
(Similar to my post on 2/1/2023 above)
This will help us see our progress and how busy the USCIS is, where, and how complete each date range is.

 

Should be interesting to watch

 

Thank you so much for all of your updates, exciting! 

[grumpypiggy 290]

11 hours ago, mw & rg k1 said:

Well if that doesn't make it official now, I don't know what does.

Multiple people scanning for Dec Changes.

 

As suggested in the Group, my updates will be kept to Tues and Friday and include the Horizontal Stacked Bar graph .
(Similar to my post on 2/1/2023 above)
This will help us see our progress and how busy the USCIS is, where, and how complete each date range is.

 

Should be interesting to watch

 

I didn't mean to make yours unofficial....I got the script from the former june&spetember groups, so we are using the same script to share daily updates. Thought it might be familar to those who get used to see it in case number groups.

 

Since i don't want to create any confusion of multiple people sharing updates, i will just stop from here. 

 

Thank you for sharing!!!! I‘m very appriciate your effort

[Kalehua 36]

That’s a shame. I much prefer the familiar script that everyone posts and I was happy to see that you were taking on the role for December. I hope you reconsider your decision.

[mw & rg k1 635]

38 minutes ago, grumpypiggy said:

I didn't mean to make yours unofficial....I got the script from the former june&spetember groups, so we are using the same script to share daily updates. Thought it might be familar to those who get used to see it in case number groups.

 

Since i don't want to create any confusion of multiple people sharing updates, i will just stop from here. 

 

Thank you for sharing!!!! I‘m very appriciate your effort

sorry for not using better words. 

 

I encourage you to post as well.   our posts give different textures to the data which is important ... some do better with the tranches, some by dates..

 

my meaning wasn't to offend but to actually just comment that someone else observed as well.   Therefore december is active. 

 

as for my posts (bar graph style) won't be as frequent (only running twice a week) intended more to show activity and completeness.   As another has commented,  some prefer the other style with daily updates,  no please excuse any offense, none was intended. 

[mw & rg k1 635]

18 minutes ago, Kalehua said:

That’s a shame. I much prefer the familiar script that everyone posts and I was happy to see that you were taking on the role for December. I hope you reconsider your decision.

I agree and publicly apologized for my unintended offense.  I hope they consider posting as both data sets have value for different people

[grumpypiggy 290]

Thx for explaining!! I agree that people do have preferences in ways of sharing data, hope it won't create confusion tho. I will keep posting then.

 

Here is today's updates, the script ran into crash in the middle, so case number after 36485 are not scanned. I will scan the rest later today.

 

Thursday 2/2/23 Updates:

 

24500: 2 Approvals (2 new / 0 in progress)
25000: 9 Approvals, 4 RFESs, 1 Other (Name Was Updated) (14 new / 0 in progress)
25500: 1 Approval, 1 RFES (2 new / 0 in progress)
26000: 2 RFESs, 1 Denial (3 new / 0 in progress)
27500: 1 Denial (1 new / 0 in progress)
29500: 1 Denial (1 new / 0 in progress)

 

23 Total Updates: 12 Approvals, 7 RFESs, 3 Denials, 1 Other (Name Was Updated)

[GinoNiña 182]

can you show it to us 2022 filers on how to run the scripts? 

[grumpypiggy 290]

5 minutes ago, GinoNiña said:

can you show it to us 2022 filers on how to run the scripts? 

Sorry, i'm not quite tech savvy and i only have script for 2021 November and December, you need to generate new month cases first which i don't think anyone has it for 2022 now. 

 

Also i was told not to share it with anyone. I'm one among 2021 Dec filer, so he shared it to me, have the script with many will cause confusions. This is not his script but the owner told that its just good to have one member of one month. 

 

Since you are among 2022 April filer, I suggest you might just wait a bit. There is no point to run that month now. I believe the script for the right month will pass along as USCIS moving forward from month to month 

[grumpypiggy 290]

42 minutes ago, grumpypiggy said:

Thx for explaining!! I agree that people do have preferences in ways of sharing data, hope it won't create confusion tho. I will keep posting then.

 

Here is today's updates, the script ran into crash in the middle, so case number after 36485 are not scanned. I will scan the rest later today.

 

Thursday 2/2/23 Updates:

 

24500: 2 Approvals (2 new / 0 in progress)
25000: 9 Approvals, 4 RFESs, 1 Other (Name Was Updated) (14 new / 0 in progress)
25500: 1 Approval, 1 RFES (2 new / 0 in progress)
26000: 2 RFESs, 1 Denial (3 new / 0 in progress)
27500: 1 Denial (1 new / 0 in progress)
29500: 1 Denial (1 new / 0 in progress)

 

23 Total Updates: 12 Approvals, 7 RFESs, 3 Denials, 1 Other (Name Was Updated)

I finished the rest 36485 - 37000, there are no more updates. So that's it for today!

[Nat Liu 7]

Oh no! No Friday night rundown from mw & rg? 
I hope all is ok. 🙏🏽

Edited February 4, 2023 by Nat Liu

[grumpypiggy 290]

Friday 2/3/23 Updates:

 

24500: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)

25000: 6 Approvals, 6 RFESs (12 new / 0 in progress)

25500: 2 Approvals (2 new / 0 in progress)

26000: 3 Approvals, 4 RFESs (6 new / 1 in progress)

33000: 1 Expedite(Denied: 1) (1 new / 0 in progress)

 

23 Total Updates: 12 Approvals, 10 RFESs, 1 Expedite(Denied: 1)

[mw & rg k1 635]

21 minutes ago, Nat Liu said:

Oh no! No Friday night rundown from mw & rg? 
I hope all is ok. 🙏🏽

Went to go see the chosen and had a typo in script so it didn't run at 7PM PST as expected ... it is running and collecting data now.

[mw & rg k1 635]

Thanks again to Grumpypigy (VJ) and Facebook-Group scripters for running & posting the daily tranche case statistics.
In general, Tranche style scripts generally present activity by case number in groups of 500.
My data is sorted by receive date rather than case numbers and include ONLY December receive date cases.
NOTE: that both script styles use stored databases so the numbers may not exactly match, 
but both are as also maintained to be as accurate as is humanly possible.

My updates are posted on Tuesday & Fridays & are intended to show a few days of activity and remaining cases.

Updates observed  between 3 Feb 2023 and 31 Jan 2023:

Best Processing Day February 3 2023 of 27 updates

Total activity including "expedite denials" & "mailed documents"
Changes on January 31 2023: 1
Changes on February 1 2023: 9
Changes on February 2 2023: 22
Changes on February 3 2023: 27
Changes on February 4 2023: 1  (Listed as Jan 4 already in USCIS data)

DEC 1-3:  Untouched:223
        Approved: 23     Denied: 0      RFE: 17   
        Updated: 0       Term\Withdrawn: 1    Rejected: 0

DEC 6-10:  Untouched:684
        Approved: 6     Denied: 2      RFE: 7   
        Updated: 0       Term\Withdrawn: 0    Rejected: 0

DEC 13-17:  Untouched:742
        Approved: 1     Denied: 1      RFE: 0   
        Updated: 0       Term\Withdrawn: 0    Rejected: 0

DEC 20-24:  Untouched:769
        Approved: 0     Denied: 0      RFE: 1   
        Updated: 0       Term\Withdrawn: 0    Rejected: 0

DEC 27-31:  Untouched:549
        Approved: 0     Denied: 0      RFE: 0   
        Updated: 0       Term\Withdrawn: 0    Rejected: 0
 

[mw & rg k1 635]

Untouched Cases Opened (as compared with 27 Jan 2023) 

Total (previously untouched) cases opened :    1070 ---- Amazing
Week    Was    Now  Delta  Approved  Denied  RFE
Earlier    412     381     31             8            4         15
09/03    65         56       9              3             0         4
09/10    68         34      34            28            0         5
09/17    126     105      21            16            0         4
09/24    100       73      27            16            0         9
10/01    68         46      22            16            1         3
10/08    95         68      27            12            2         12
10/15    194     158      36            22            1         12
10/22    155     125      30            21            1         7
10/29    307     156      151          93            1         56
11/05    397     262      135          76            4         54
11/12    409     236      173         103           0         65
11/19    526     411      115           79            1         33
11/26    550     410      140           96            0         42
12/03    552     451      101           61            0         39
12/10    699     684      15              6             2         7
12/17    743     741       2               1             1         0
12/24    770     769       1               0             0         1
12/31    549     549       0               0             0         0

 

Analysis: Over the last few months, The data has evolved substantially moving from a normal (narrow) histogram to now a wide range of data being processed.
Other than the last week, the majority of cases worked on were at End of October All of November.
I have stopped reporting on Cases earlier than first week of Sept as activity had reached (and remains) single digit activity levels in opening new cases.
If needed, I can generate a report for those dates as I still maintain / update the data.

 

A Note about data source and data presented:
This data set is slightly unique from posts I make for December groups in that it counts ONLY untouched cases
It uses a locally generated database for ALL "untouched" cases in 2021 then sorts them into weeks.
For example, Dec 3 (on the graph and report) is the Friday of that week so it also includes November 29 & 30.

It was originally created to get a sense as to when a case date might see activity.
It has evolved in use to see where the majority of activity is.
Data is posted (generally) showing either Fri-Tues or Fri-Fri "Burndown" activity.

Edited February 4, 2023 by mw & rg k1

[Pangoleen 66]

Thank you for your analysis as always!

 

Seems to me they really want to wrap up all of 2021 soon, considering we haven't seen a range quite like this before. Maybe an attempt to pretty up the next quarterly report somewhat.

 

I'm quite worried about the rate of RFEs hovering at over 50% still. I think that's worse than it was in July when the RFE trend first started.