October 2021 I-130 Filers

[Simplytex 387]

On 4/5/2022 at 4:29 AM, Dave Knapp said:

Per State's website, as of April 4, it's 83 days from submission of docs to DQ. It has improved each week for a month now. 

https://visawhen.com/nvc

 

This site gathers that into a nice graph, good little resource so we don't get folks making wild assumptions about the processing times 😁

[DanielEya 28]

Looking at the graph, it looks like April 1st to June 30th is the best period for people waiting to be DQ, provided a submission before April 1st.

[Simplytex 387]

On 4/9/2022 at 1:02 PM, DanielEya said:

Looking at the graph, it looks like April 1st to June 30th is the best period for people waiting to be DQ, provided a submission before April 1st.

That's not quite how it works - NVC is a "first in, first out" processing. So basically what they are saying is that as of any given date, they are working on cases that they received X days prior. 

 

So, if you hover over any point on the graph, it says "processed up to __" which means that is the date they are working on. Right now, if your case was accepted at NVC Jan 10 or just after, you can expect that they are currently working on it now.

[DanielEya 28]

1 hour ago, Simplytex said:

That's not quite how it works - NVC is a "first in, first out" processing. So basically what they are saying is that as of any given date, they are working on cases that they received X days prior. 

 

So, if you hover over any point on the graph, it says "processed up to __" which means that is the date they are working on. Right now, if your case was accepted at NVC Jan 10 or just after, you can expect that they are currently working on it now.

I know, that is why I made the comment. Based on the graph, the waiting period from April 1st to June 30 is roughly a month. So people who submitted all documents between March 1 and May 31 will be waiting a month, again based on this graph. 
 

Got it?

[Simplytex 387]

6 hours ago, DanielEya said:

I know, that is why I made the comment. Based on the graph, the waiting period from April 1st to June 30 is roughly a month. So people who submitted all documents between March 1 and May 31 will be waiting a month, again based on this graph. 
 

Got it?

I'm still not understanding your comment. Apr 1 to June 30th of what year? March 1 and May 31 of what year? This isn't a historical trendline, but just single points. What happened in April 2021 is no guarantee of what will happen in April 2022.

 

There are really only two things that this graph tells us:
1) if your documents had been received by NVC around Jan 10 to Jan 17th 2022, that they should have been processed last week. 

2) if your documents were submit sometime between Jan 1 2022 and now (April 11 2022) then we can assume that it will take at least 84 days for them to be reviewed (so, take your date of submittal and add ~12 weeks), or, if you read the curve on the graph, that the processing times could be falling/improving, so it might take less than 12 weeks. So for example, for those people whose document was received Feb 1 2022 can probably expect to be processed in 11-12 weeks, so will get DQ around April 19-26th.

[DanielEya 28]

51 minutes ago, Simplytex said:

I'm still not understanding your comment. Apr 1 to June 30th of what year? March 1 and May 31 of what year? This isn't a historical trendline, but just single points. What happened in April 2021 is no guarantee of what will happen in April 2022.

 

There are really only two things that this graph tells us:
1) if your documents had been received by NVC around Jan 10 to Jan 17th 2022, that they should have been processed last week. 

2) if your documents were submit sometime between Jan 1 2022 and now (April 11 2022) then we can assume that it will take at least 84 days for them to be reviewed (so, take your date of submittal and add ~12 weeks), or, if you read the curve on the graph, that the processing times could be falling/improving, so it might take less than 12 weeks. So for example, for those people whose document was received Feb 1 2022 can probably expect to be processed in 11-12 weeks, so will get DQ around April 19-26th.

Ok let me make it simple:

As of month/day we are reviewing documents submitted on month/day. You can clearly see on the graph that reviewing rate has increased since around late March, meaning since late March to around late June they reviewed more documents than January to late March. It is not about how ling we expect to wait, it is about how many documents nvc can review in a week, and if the my can review less then we will wait longer, if they can review more then good for us.

 

Let me know if it sounds good!

 

[Simplytex 387]

4 minutes ago, DanielEya said:

meaning since late March to around late June they reviewed more documents than January to late March.

of what year? And it doesn't have anything to do with the total # of documents reviewed, it simply means they are reviewing documents sooner/later. If the whole office was out with Covid, then even if there was only 1 document to review, it would show up as taking longer. 

 

 

As simple as I can make it - this is how you should look at the graph. The best case (blue) is that the numbers are low - during the time between May 3 and July 12, 2022, they were processing documents in less than 40 days. During 2021, the time to process documents continued to get worse (the red 'bad' line), and then finally peaked in Jan 2022, and has slowly started to improved (the green 'good' line.) 

 

Maybe we are saying the same things, but without referring to the year, what you say is a little confusing. 

[Edtab 33]

Hello everyone!! Any updates ?
186 days on AR, waiting and waiting!!!!!!!

[Lady Lamb 20]

1 hour ago, Edtab said:

Hello everyone!! Any updates ?
186 days on AR, waiting and waiting!!!!!!!

Myself and a few others 192 days in Vermont  CS, still waiting too! From what I read, due to the recent events, it  might be a bit more of a delay than normal , maybe adding a month or two to the current wait time. 

 

Which wouldn't be so atrocious if we only knew how long the "current wait time", was!  As I always end...one day closer to an approval, inshl!

[amu24 11]

5 hours ago, Edtab said:

Hello everyone!! Any updates ?
186 days on AR, waiting and waiting!!!!!!!

Hi, nope nothing yet here either! AR since March 4th at the Texas Service Center.

[DeniseL 13]

Again a few more days. Any news?

Here AR since 01MAR at Potomac Service Center…. since then no change or Info.

[amu24 11]

10 minutes ago, DeniseL said:

Again a few more days. Any news?

Here AR since 01MAR at Potomac Service Center…. since then no change or Info.

Nope, no news yet. 

[TJ66 5]

16 minutes ago, DeniseL said:

Again a few more days. Any news?

Here AR since 01MAR at Potomac Service Center…. since then no change or Info.

Our I-130 was approved:

 

I-130 PD: 10/25/2021

I-130 NOA1: 10/25/2021

I-129f PD: 12/23/2021

I-130 AR: 3/1/2022

I-130 NOA2: 4/20/2022

I-129f denial: 4/21/2022

Case sent to NVC: 4/23/2022

 

Texas SC transferred immediately to Vermont SC

[amu24 11]

4 minutes ago, TJ66 said:

Our I-130 was approved:

 

I-130 PD: 10/25/2021

I-130 NOA1: 10/25/2021

I-129f PD: 12/23/2021

I-130 AR: 3/1/2022

I-130 NOA2: 4/20/2022

I-129f denial: 4/21/2022

Case sent to NVC: 4/23/2022

 

Texas SC transferred immediately to Vermont SC

Great news!! Thanks for the update. Good luck with NVC

[DeniseL 13]

20 minutes ago, TJ66 said:

Our I-130 was approved:

 

I-130 PD: 10/25/2021

I-130 NOA1: 10/25/2021

I-129f PD: 12/23/2021

I-130 AR: 3/1/2022

I-130 NOA2: 4/20/2022

I-129f denial: 4/21/2022

Case sent to NVC: 4/23/2022

 

Texas SC transferred immediately to Vermont SC

Thata great, happy for you!!!

Good luck on the next step.