May 2021 I-129F K-1 FILERS

[CJPinEcuador 396]

54 minutes ago, jp1000 said:

Gosh I see today they have changed this page 

 

https://egov.uscis.gov/processing-times/

 

No longer shows what month they're working on.

 

I'm really worried with how long they take that the whole 'have to have met each other in person within the last 2 years' will become out of date (even though we have met again since submitting)

This is where they are at. March 21st can send an inquiry but not March 22nd 

[Etherial 277]

5/5 update

May has 3 approvals:

21900846XX

21900852XX

21900934XX

 

March has 6 updates

April has:

32 Approvals, 13 RFEs, and 1 Withdrawal

 

June has 12 approvals and 2 rfe

[OM&OL 49]

.

Edited May 6, 2022 by OM&OL

[S I A N 98]

1 minute ago, OM&OL said:

Hi everyone, is there a holiday or an off day for USCIS. I'm freaking out, there're no updates for yesterday! And everyone is so silent for the past 24 hours 🥺

There’s literally an update from 12hrs ago from @Etherial right above your post….

[OM&OL 49]

1 minute ago, S I A N said:

There’s literally an update from 12hrs ago from @Etherial right above your post….

I just noticed that I posted this on a different group, that's why I edited my post, hahaha

[DSBeijing 303]

Hi 

Interesting week behind us. After the update of USCIS website, to hide the higher (more realistic) wait time, something happened with processing.

They have started processing June 2021 cases. Something similar happened last year in Q4 when they were doing some random processing of higher months with no explanation for 1-2 weeks, thus more or less faking 

average waiting period and showing it to be lower than reality.

Sadly reality is completely different, if you add red and blue you will get 596 cases processed in first week, so total processing rate is around 119 cases per day across all ranges, which means that the backlog is sadly continuing to grow (we need around 130 cases per day just to stop backlog from growing). 

 

Well wait continues for May 2021 filers. 

 

Edited May 7, 2022 by DSBeijing

[Mary1014 9]

How many cases they need to process weekly to reduce the backlog? 

Edited May 7, 2022 by Mary1014

[DSBeijing 303]

2 minutes ago, Mary1014 said:

How many cases they need to process weekly to reduce the backlog? 

Minimum is 130 cases per day. Average month has around 2900 cases and they work around 22 days per month so average processing rate should be around 130 cases per day just to keep back log from growing. Every day they do less, backlog at the end of que is growing. 

[S I A N 98]

1 minute ago, DSBeijing said:

Minimum is 130 cases per day. Average month has around 2900 cases and they work around 22 days per month so average processing rate should be around 130 cases per day just to keep back log from growing. Every day they do less, backlog at the end of que is growing. 

And you said this about two weeks ago so since they have not been processing 130 cases per day in the past two weeks, it’s more like they need to process 135-140 per day to keep backlog from growing.

[DSBeijing 303]

Just now, S I A N said:

And you said this about two weeks ago so since they have not been processing 130 cases per day in the past two weeks, it’s more like they need to process 135-140 per day to keep backlog from growing.

130 is general number since there are big months as was March 2021 that had over 3500 cases and small months such as February 2021 that had 2500 months. So in average they need to do around 130 cases just to keep current wait times for everyone, by that mean that May 2021 will get their approvals in 13 Months range as it was shown on their website.

Real impact of below 130 processing rate will be felt on people who submitted in Q4 2021 and later, since they wait time will increase exponentially.

135-140 cases per day would mean that they would be catching up for everyone, not only us in May 2021. this catlich up would actually slowly start to reduce backlog for people on back of the cue, but they are not doing this. 

So my minimum for them ist 130+ cases. basicly, not to add actional wait for me, but also doent screw people behind me.

[Optimist19 775]

44 minutes ago, DSBeijing said:

130 is general number since there are big months as was March 2021 that had over 3500 cases and small months such as February 2021 that had 2500 months. So in average they need to do around 130 cases just to keep current wait times for everyone, by that mean that May 2021 will get their approvals in 13 Months range as it was shown on their website.

Real impact of below 130 processing rate will be felt on people who submitted in Q4 2021 and later, since they wait time will increase exponentially.

135-140 cases per day would mean that they would be catching up for everyone, not only us in May 2021. this catlich up would actually slowly start to reduce backlog for people on back of the cue, but they are not doing this. 

So my minimum for them ist 130+ cases. basicly, not to add actional wait for me, but also doent screw people behind me.

Thanks for the updates! Do you think May will also be processed in 13 months then? I guess there’s almost another 2 months to try to get through May, but there are still around 2000 left in April so I don’t know. 
 

I’m a June filer so I’m trying to figure out when they would finish June. But definitely If they don’t catch up, the Q4 2021 people will feel it even worse 😔 

 

It’s sad that this has become such a difficult process. The k1 visa should not require so many months of processing. I think it’s even classified as a non immigrant visa (in a weird way). 

[DSBeijing 303]

8 minutes ago, Optimist19 said:

Thanks for the updates! Do you think May will also be processed in 13 months then? I guess there’s almost another 2 months to try to get through May, but there are still around 2000 left in April so I don’t know. 
 

I’m a June filer so I’m trying to figure out when they would finish June. But definitely If they don’t catch up, the Q4 2021 people will feel it even worse 😔 

 

It’s sad that this has become such a difficult process. The k1 visa should not require so many months of processing. I think it’s even classified as a non immigrant visa (in a weird way). 

I expect that majority of people in May will wait for 13.5-14.5 Months. Sadly, there are no signs of processing improvements. June will be probably at 14-15 Months. since there are no signs of improvements, and we are slowly entering in Summer vacation season, so I would not be surprised if we see stagnation of processing rates as we approach summer months.

 

But USCIS ways are misterius ones, so it is possible that they start processing K1s like craze next weeks so all my predictions fall flat  => if would be happy to be wrong 

Edited May 7, 2022 by DSBeijing

[Optimist19 775]

21 minutes ago, DSBeijing said:

I expect that majority of people in May will wait for 13.5-14.5 Months. Sadly, there are no signs of processing improvements. June will be probably at 14-15 Months. since there are no signs of improvements, and we are slowly entering in Summer vacation season, so I would not be surprised if we see stagnation of processing rates as we approach summer months.

 

But USCIS ways are misterius ones, so it is possible that they start processing K1s like craze next weeks so all my predictions fall flat  => if would be happy to be wrong 

Hahaha ok let’s hope you’re wrong and they go crazy on the k1 visas starting next week 😂😂

[Display Name2 221]

On 4/20/2022 at 2:44 PM, CJPinEcuador said:

A free $20k+ for USCIS. I wish they’d use this money to pay some overtime on our seemingly very few adjudicators. I wonder how many withdrawals they get in a year and how much “free” extra money that adds up to for them. 

 I checked from WAC2190069000 to WAC2190099000 and this is the number of cases with different status. Numbers was collected on May 7th 2022.

So far there is 228 Withdrawals. 

 

 

Status	Count
Case Was Received	5354
Case Was Approved	1099
Expedite Request Denied	271
Withdrawal Acknowledgement Notice Was Sent	228
Request for Additional Evidence Was Sent	204
Case Rejected Because I Sent An Incorrect Fee	194
Case Was Rejected Because It Was Improperly Filed	194
Request for Initial Evidence Was Sent	156
Case Was Rejected Because I Did Not Sign My Form	129
Name Was Updated	113
Response To USCIS' Request For Evidence Was Received	77
Date of Birth Was Updated	61
Case Was Denied	55
Document Was Returned To USCIS	47
Petition/Application Was Rejected For Insufficient Funds	38
Request for Initial and Additional Evidence Was Mailed	17
Case Rejected For Incorrect Fee And Form Not Signed	15
Case Was Transferred And A New Office Has Jurisdiction	12
Case Rejected Because The Version Of The Form I Sent Is No Longer Accepted	11
Case Closed Benefit Received By Other Means	8
Notice Explaining USCIS Actions Was Mailed	8
Expedite Request Approved	5
Expedite Request Received	4
Case Was Reopened	3
Document Is Being Held For 180 Days	3
Case Rejected For Form Not Signed And Incorrect Form Version	2
Duplicate Notice Was Mailed	2
Case Rejected For Incorrect Fee And Incorrect Form Version	2
Fee Refund Was Mailed	1
Grand Total	8313

[CJPinEcuador 396]

@Display Name2 Thanks for pulling this! 
 

So for 228 at $535 each that was a free $120,000+ that they definitely don’t seem to be using to pay overtime to clear out our backlog. Brilliant.