APRIL 2021 I-129F K-1 FILERS

[Charlotte070 68]

1 minute ago, MissLadyRea said:

They are on April a lot more than theyre on March, Most days April has a considerable bit more than march, April already has almost 500 approvals. 

 

Like the day before March had 60, april had 80-90 changes.

Well it’s extremely inconsistent so I don’t consider that they moved on to April. If they did 80 on one day and like 2 for the of the week, that’s still only 82 in a full week (just an example). It’s pathetic. I think simply they have deprioritized K1 visas. 

[leviiathan 206]

4 minutes ago, Charlotte070 said:

Well it’s extremely inconsistent so I don’t consider that they moved on to April. If they did 80 on one day and like 2 for the of the week, that’s still only 82 in a full week (just an example). It’s pathetic. I think simply they have deprioritized K1 visas. 

Them doing april more the majority of days is what it makes it look like theyve moved on

 

I said the same back when April only started to be touched, because march still had more every single day

 

Now april has more than March almost every single day, when they do next to no April they also do Next to no march

 

So if April having more on the daily doesnt mean theyve moved on, not sure what would

 

Edited April 13, 2022 by MissLadyRea

[Fil&Em 285]

6 minutes ago, Charlotte070 said:

Well it’s extremely inconsistent so I don’t consider that they moved on to April. If they did 80 on one day and like 2 for the of the week, that’s still only 82 in a full week (just an example). It’s pathetic. I think simply they have deprioritized K1 visas. 

To be fair, the first 6 weeks of "real" March processing, 4 of those weeks were below 100. I'm not expecting, 80 to 100 a day anytime soon. Even for the whole March processing, only about 4 days there was an above 80 files processed.

Edited April 13, 2022 by Fil&Em

[Charlotte070 68]

2 minutes ago, MissLadyRea said:

Them doing april more the majority of days is what it makes it look like theyve moved on

 

I said the same back when April only started to be touched, because march still had more every single day

 

Now april has more than March almost every single day, when they do next to no April they also do Next to no march

 

So if April having more on the daily doesnt mean theyve moved on, not sure what would

 

My main point is they are not really working on K1 cases (maybe just some expedited cases) 

[slavaskii 886]

25 minutes ago, Fil&Em said:

Who knows. My theory is that it is better to report to Senior Management that they are doing April filers with a "few" March leftovers, than report that you are finishing March before getting into April.

Just to quickly add, in mid-January when I got my Congressional Inquiry back, USCIS stated that they were still focused on February filers. This being while 20% (iirc) of March had been completed. I don't know when USCIS considers they have 'moved on' from a month, but according to my response it was definitely not when they had appx. 300 left. The current processing rate is really unexplainable but I don't yet accept they've gone full steam into April, particularly after their day yesterday. 

[DanElst 4]

1 minute ago, slavaskii said:

Just to quickly add, in mid-January when I got my Congressional Inquiry back, USCIS stated that they were still focused on February filers. This being while 20% (iirc) of March had been completed. I don't know when USCIS considers they have 'moved on' from a month, but according to my response it was definitely not when they had appx. 300 left. The current processing rate is really unexplainable but I don't yet accept they've gone full steam into April, particularly after their day yesterday. 

What is the current processing rate per day? And what would be good. (This may be in this thread somewhere and if so I apologise). 

[leviiathan 206]

2 minutes ago, DanElst said:

What is the current processing rate per day? And what would be good. (This may be in this thread somewhere and if so I apologise). 

Its inconsistent. Sometimes like 5, 20, or 60-80 (for April / March, not combined.)

 

it needs to be well beyond 100 imo, not sure how much it used to be which allowed them to do a range of 6-8 months for noa2

[DanElst 4]

1 minute ago, MissLadyRea said:

Its inconsistent. Sometimes like 5, 20, or 60-80 (for April / March, not combined.)

 

it needs to be well beyond 100 imo, not sure how much it used to be which allowed them to do a range of 6-8 months for noa2

5, 20?? Jeeeeeeez, that's shocking.

[Fil&Em 285]

10 minutes ago, DanElst said:

What is the current processing rate per day? And what would be good. (This may be in this thread somewhere and if so I apologise). 

That depends a lot, but ideally they should process one month of filing in one calendar month. This to avoid backlog. That means, considering 22 business days:

 

If month has 2500 filers:

2500/22=113.64 files a day

 

If month has 3000 filers:

-3000/22=136.36 files a day

 

If a month has 4000 filers:

-4000/22=181.81 files a day.

 

If they want to reduce backlog, they have to process more than this average.

 

Anything less than that will increase the backlog and processing time.

 

Of course this is estimation and average. Total number should discard initial denials due to formal aspects (wrong form, missing info on the form, incorrect fee paid, etc..). Also RFEs increase workload, as the Officers will have to revisit. Almost wonder like this number should not include RFEs, only approvals.

 

 

Edited April 13, 2022 by Fil&Em

[Fil&Em 285]

4 minutes ago, Fil&Em said:

That depends a lot, but ideally they should process one month of filing in one calendar month. This to avoid backlog. That means, considering 22 business days:

 

If month has 2500 filers:

2500/22=113.64 files a day

 

If month has 3000 filers:

-3000/22=136.36 files a day

 

If a month has 4000 filers:

-4000/22=181.81 files a day.

 

If they want to reduce backlog, they have to process more than this average.

 

Anything less than that will increase the backlog and processing time.

 

Of course this is estimation and average. Total number should discard initial denials due to formal aspects (wrong form, missing info on the form, incorrect fee paid, etc..). Also RFEs increase workload, as the Officers will have to revisit. Almost wonder like this number should not include RFEs, only approvals.

 

 

I used the formula based on specific months.

 

But the logic should be:

 

- If on average, each month has 3000 filers, 136.36 files should be approved daily to avoid backlog

[DanElst 4]

4 minutes ago, Fil&Em said:

I used the formula based on specific months.

 

But the logic should be:

 

- If on average, each month has 3000 filers, 136.36 files should be approved daily to avoid backlog

Thank you for that. I'm sure theres at least a few thousand in April and May so I'll be waiting a while then 😅 

[Fil&Em 285]

4 minutes ago, DanElst said:

Thank you for that. I'm sure theres at least a few thousand in April and May so I'll be waiting a while then 😅 

I don't know the monthly average. I used the 3000 as an example.

[slavaskii 886]

43 minutes ago, Fil&Em said:

I used the formula based on specific months.

 

But the logic should be:

 

- If on average, each month has 3000 filers, 136.36 files should be approved daily to avoid backlog

Exactly. And as you said above, anything less will extend the wait further. If we’ve been told they aim to get to 6 months by Q4 2023, we need to *already* be seeing them meeting cases/day, as they’re already over double the 6 month goal. Unfortunately, this trend is highly indicative of times raising to 12-14 months before they have another chance to work their way back down.

 

I think it’s also important to note, however, that nearly all processing at USCIS is very, very delayed. I don’t really know if there’s any more available manpower that can be reallocated. Spousal seems to be going *relatively* quick, so maybe some can be moved over to the I-129F department, but we’ll see. The 200 adjudicators they’re hiring for asylum can’t come soon enough.

[Memorita Esther 0]

We are tired  to wait .how long  will April 2021 files   take  to get approuval ?

Edited April 13, 2022 by Memorita Esther

[Fil&Em 285]

2 minutes ago, slavaskii said:

Exactly. And as you said above, anything less will extend the wait further. If we’ve been told they aim to get to 6 months by Q4 2023, we need to *already* be seeing them meeting cases/day, as they’re already over double the 6 month goal. Unfortunately, this trend is highly indicative of times raising to 12-14 months before they have another chance to work their way back down.

 

I think it’s also important to note, however, that nearly all processing at USCIS is very, very delayed. I don’t really know if there’s any more available manpower that can be reallocated. Spousal seems to be going *relatively* quick, so maybe some can be moved over to the I-129F department, but we’ll see. The 200 adjudicators they’re hiring for asylum can’t come soon enough.

 

Exactly. Unfortunately I have the professional challenge that I'm an analyst so I like to see data.

 

As you said, I haven't seen anything to show a reversal trend, much on the contrary. Processing times will continue to increase at least in the near future.

 

To achieve the goals they have defined (6m by end of 2023), they not only have to increase their manpower to achieve a BAU (Business as Usual) target production, but also to reach a level where they can swiftly address the backlog, that will continue to increase until they reach a full BAU capacity.