APRIL 2021 I-129F K-1 FILERS

[rocky95 53]

22 minutes ago, DSBeijing said:

Nobody can crush hope as USCIS can. At this point they will probably take 2-3 months to process April. Crazy if you think, that they will spend entire year 2022 and maybe manage just to finish June 2021 applications... 

 

Utterly insane and inexcusable

I still don't think that's the case. I think they are going to do something similar to March and move on when there's about 500 cases left. I feel like they will start touching  May cases late mayish maybe early June. May, June, and July  already have significantly less cases than what they started at due to withdrawals and approved expedited cases. My prediction is that they may start processing May, June, July toward the end of each of their respective months. July may be a little delayed but I am predicting that they'll start touching July no later than September. All the previous months will still be processing but it looks like the trend is that once they reach around the 500 case mark they move on (that's what they did for January and February as well). 

 

But it's all a guessing game. 

Edited April 13, 2022 by rocky95

[DSBeijing 303]

1 minute ago, rocky95 said:

I still don't think that's the case. I think they are going to do something similar to March and move on when there's about 500 cases left. I feel like they will start touching  May cases late mayish maybe early June. May, June, and July  already have significantly less cases than what they started at due to withdrawals and approved expedited cases. My prediction is that they may start processing May, June, July toward the end of each of their respective months. July may be a little delayed but I am predicting that they'll start touching July no later than September. All the previous months will still be processing but it looks like the trend is that once they reach around the 500 case mark they move on (that's what they did for January and February as well). 

Only May is small. Everything after May is litteral hell. All months are at around 2900-3000 cases(size of March 2021). I have posted overview of cases for last 2 years in May 2021 group together with processing rates for last 12 Months.

 

 

Also they have been processing March since January, so we are slowly at 3 months processing per submition month. If April(small month) takes around 2 months, and May (small month) around 2 months, then they will only managed to do until end of July 2021 by end of year 2022.

 

What also needs to be accounted, that in second half of year there are lots of federal holidays, and USCIS as other government bodies have closed on many days

[slavaskii 886]

16 minutes ago, rocky95 said:

I still don't think that's the case. I think they are going to do something similar to March and move on when there's about 500 cases left. I feel like they will start touching  May cases late mayish maybe early June. May, June, and July  already have significantly less cases than what they started at due to withdrawals and approved expedited cases. My prediction is that they may start processing May, June, July toward the end of each of their respective months. July may be a little delayed but I am predicting that they'll start touching July no later than September. All the previous months will still be processing but it looks like the trend is that once they reach around the 500 case mark they move on (that's what they did for January and February as well). 

 

But it's all a guessing game. 

I think May beginning late May 2022 is a bit hopeful honestly, I envision late June for them solely from experiencing March being processed for five months. A lot is different between our experiences; March went through the Afghan situation and the holiday break, whereas May is going through the Ukraine cases (which are expediting K1s, and not SIVs in a different department) and there's really no break here on out. After Thanksgiving processing nosedived, so I hope the '5 months per month' isn't standard time, but I nonetheless think June 2022 for May filers is accurate. 

 

I do think that the amount of withdrawals and approved expedites will speed up the process somewhat, though. Unfortunately, March 2021 - May 2021 seems like, historically, the slowest time in history to have filed. I still say this: at least improvements are being made on the AOS side of things, so when we finally file for that, it won't be as crazy as it is now. I remind myself (a) there's nothing that could've been foreseen and (b) there are parts of the process that are getting better that we are just in time for. Particularly, embassy backlogs for some countries. 

 

Hope I can inject a little of positivity/optimism/hope. 

Edited April 13, 2022 by slavaskii

[rocky95 53]

1 hour ago, DSBeijing said:

Only May is small. Everything after May is litteral hell. All months are at around 2900-3000 cases(size of March 2021). I have posted overview of cases for last 2 years in May 2021 group together with processing rates for last 12 Months.

 

 

Also they have been processing March since January, so we are slowly at 3 months processing per submition month. If April(small month) takes around 2 months, and May (small month) around 2 months, then they will only managed to do until end of July 2021 by end of year 2022.

 

What also needs to be accounted, that in second half of year there are lots of federal holidays, and USCIS as other government bodies have closed on many days

 

 Just got to wait and find out  

[Newbie27 6]

5 hours ago, slavaskii said:

I think May beginning late May 2022 is a bit hopeful honestly, I envision late June for them solely from experiencing March being processed for five months. A lot is different between our experiences; March went through the Afghan situation and the holiday break, whereas May is going through the Ukraine cases (which are expediting K1s, and not SIVs in a different department) and there's really no break here on out. After Thanksgiving processing nosedived, so I hope the '5 months per month' isn't standard time, but I nonetheless think June 2022 for May filers is accurate. 

 

I do think that the amount of withdrawals and approved expedites will speed up the process somewhat, though. Unfortunately, March 2021 - May 2021 seems like, historically, the slowest time in history to have filed. I still say this: at least improvements are being made on the AOS side of things, so when we finally file for that, it won't be as crazy as it is now. I remind myself (a) there's nothing that could've been foreseen and (b) there are parts of the process that are getting better that we are just in time for. Particularly, embassy backlogs for some countries. 

 

Hope I can inject a little of positivity/optimism/hope. 

Why would they announce internal cycle time goals for the next year and a half and then do nothing? That makes no sense to me 😓

[Optimist19 775]

3 hours ago, Newbie27 said:

Why would they announce internal cycle time goals for the next year and a half and then do nothing? That makes no sense to me 😓

I personally think they will make improvements. I know other people think otherwise, but the entire world went through a huge Covid crisis and then Afghanistan, Ukraine, etc. USCIS also needs more workers, which is the case almost everywhere. Now that they have more funding, maybe they will be able to fill some of their open positions. I don't think it's of any benefit to the US in general to continue slowing processing times. They know they need immigrants to help fill so many open positions, I don't think the US population alone is enough to solve the open jobs problem. From what I'm seeing, there has been movement since the announcement of improving processing times, but I don't think the change will happen quickly. I hope they are really automating some of their processes to reduce the need for human resources in some areas. If they stick to the 10-13months timeline for now, I think the May/June/July filers will be okay. I'm a June filer so I still hope for the best 😅 

[Charlotte070 68]

I haven’t seen any updates on the few ranges I ran today. Did the USCIS just give up? 

Edited April 13, 2022 by Charlotte070

[leviiathan 206]

18 minutes ago, Charlotte070 said:

I haven’t seen any updates on the few ranges I ran today. Did the USCIS just give up? 

Sonic 2 is in theaters, theyre busy with that /j

[Fil&Em 285]

16 hours ago, slavaskii said:

I think May beginning late May 2022 is a bit hopeful honestly, I envision late June for them solely from experiencing March being processed for five months. A lot is different between our experiences; March went through the Afghan situation and the holiday break, whereas May is going through the Ukraine cases (which are expediting K1s, and not SIVs in a different department) and there's really no break here on out. After Thanksgiving processing nosedived, so I hope the '5 months per month' isn't standard time, but I nonetheless think June 2022 for May filers is accurate. 

 

I do think that the amount of withdrawals and approved expedites will speed up the process somewhat, though. Unfortunately, March 2021 - May 2021 seems like, historically, the slowest time in history to have filed. I still say this: at least improvements are being made on the AOS side of things, so when we finally file for that, it won't be as crazy as it is now. I remind myself (a) there's nothing that could've been foreseen and (b) there are parts of the process that are getting better that we are just in time for. Particularly, embassy backlogs for some countries. 

 

Hope I can inject a little of positivity/optimism/hope. 

 

As a March filer that submitted the petition 4 days after you and is still waiting for my case to be touched, I can't really share the optimism. Some days we try to be realists, others I can't avoid extreme pessimism, but what is happening to the remaining March filers (still more than 400 cases untouched) is just a nightmare. So, all things considering we have gone through the Afghan crisis and are now seeing the Ukrainian ones, while watching our friends in April get approved at a faster rate than us. Don't get me wrong, I'm always happy for every couple approved, always, but for us, it is painful and dreadful.

 

I do hope it gets better, seriously do, but until I can see that in the numbers, it is just hope, not any type of conviction.

[S I A N 98]

52 minutes ago, MissLadyRea said:

Sonic 2 is in theaters, theyre busy with that /j

Lmaoooooo don’t start!

[DanElst 4]

27 minutes ago, Fil&Em said:

 

As a March filer that submitted the petition 4 days after you and is still waiting for my case to be touched, I can't really share the optimism. Some days we try to be realists, others I can't avoid extreme pessimism, but what is happening to the remaining March filers (still more than 400 cases untouched) is just a nightmare. So, all things considering we have gone through the Afghan crisis and are now seeing the Ukrainian ones, while watching our friends in April get approved at a faster rate than us. Don't get me wrong, I'm always happy for every couple approved, always, but for us, it is painful and dreadful.

 

I do hope it gets better, seriously do, but until I can see that in the numbers, it is just hope, not any type of conviction.

They're doing April cases over March?? Why don't they just finish each month and then move on? Late May filer here 😕 

[Charlotte070 68]

6 minutes ago, DanElst said:

They're doing April cases over March?? Why don't they just finish each month and then move on? Late May filer here 😕 

They’re not really working in April either though. Yesterday and today have less than 10 cases for April 😞

[Fil&Em 285]

1 minute ago, DanElst said:

They're doing April cases over March?? Why don't they just finish each month and then move on? Late May filer here 😕 

Who knows. My theory is that it is better to report to Senior Management that they are doing April filers with a "few" March leftovers, than report that you are finishing March before getting into April.

 

I say this because I used to Manage a department that did "case work" for something else completely different, and that is exactly how we were instructed to act. The consequence of this, as it was for my team, is that while the Officers still have to finish what is behind, it becomes less of a priority because the focus completely switched. This was common procedure for other organizations I know of as well, in an attempt to try to make things look better than they are.

 

The issue is that when they moved into April, the last few groups of March, which I'm included, were pretty much ignored, as at that time they had all over 100 files with more than 60% of cases untouched. You can't convince those are all complex cases, and they all just fell into those groups. 68000 still has 82 cases untouched and 68500 still have 92 cases untouched.

[leviiathan 206]

3 minutes ago, Charlotte070 said:

They’re not really working in April either though. Yesterday and today have less than 10 cases for April 😞

They are on April a lot more than theyre on March, Most days April has a considerable bit more than march, April already has almost 500 approvals. (and 288 rfe sent)

 

Like the day before March had 60, april had 80-90 changes.

Edited April 13, 2022 by MissLadyRea

[DanElst 4]

Just now, Fil&Em said:

Who knows. My theory is that it is better to report to Senior Management that they are doing April filers with a "few" March leftovers, than report that you are finishing March before getting into April.

 

I say this because I used to Manage a department that did "case work" for something else completely different, and that is exactly how we were instructed to act. The consequence of this, as it was for my team, is that while the Officers still have to finish what is behind, it becomes less of a priority because the focus completely switched. This was common procedure for other organizations I know of as well, in an attempt to try to make things look better than they are.

 

The issue is that when they moved into April, the last few groups of March, which I'm included, were pretty much ignored, as at that time they had all over 100 files with more than 60% of cases untouched. You can't convince those are all complex cases, and they all just fell into those groups. 68000 still has 82 cases untouched and 68500 still have 92 cases untouched.

Ughhh that just stinks. My NOA1 was May 29th so I keep trying to think hypothetically but realistically when I will get the NOA2. Then of course then steps leading up to the interview. If March/April have a lot of files going through, that's more going to the NVC. I'm sorry to hear about your case, hoping for the best!! 🤞