All F2B Updates in This Thread (Part 2)

[Waiting4ever2 12]

6 minutes ago, Mundo254 said:

Depressing! 😔😔😔

 

Hard to imagine that this fiscal year F2B will still be stagnant. Sigh! Brace yourselves people. It going to be tough.

 

Wow, really? Even with all the new visas, they're not moving forward? What's up with that?

[xavier2014 21]

It seems like they just copied and pasted the September visa bulletin. I was expecting that there wouldn't be any movement when I realized they didn't publish it in the first 10 days (it's a pattern). In the Aug. Visa Bulletin, they mentioned there would be retrogression. Let's consider the October Visa Bulletin both as a retrogression and, hopefully, as a positive development🥲. You can suggest to your petitioner that they reach out to congresspeople, but aside from that, what else can we do?

 

Does anyone have any idea how many F2B applicants are stuck in IL (as of 22 Sep 2015)?

[Clarke84 19]

1 hour ago, GusHD said:

 

Wow, really? Even with all the new visas, they're not moving forward? What's up with that?

 

Depressing news, but that doesn't mean it won't move in the following months. 

[Mundo254 49]

2 minutes ago, Clarke84 said:

 

Depressing news, but that doesn't mean it won't move in the following months. 

 

As it stands, nobody knows. But by trends from the last 3 years, this doesn't look good. I'd really want to be optimistic. 

[Clarke84 19]

2 minutes ago, Mundo254 said:

 

As it stands, nobody knows. But by trends from the last 3 years, this doesn't look good. I'd really want to be optimistic. 

 

I know, but this has happened before with no movement in October with good movement other months (pre covid era). At some point they have to get through the COVID backlog...whether it's in a few months or in a year - but it will happen. 

[Boiler 45,482]

It is the ever increasing number of petitions and the finite number of visas.

[Waiting4ever2 12]

Yes, but until when does common sense say we should wait for the F2B visa category to move forward? 5 years? 10 years, 30 years? It's already been 3 years, I believe that's more than enough time for the backlog.

[Boiler 45,482]

There is no suggestion that the allocated number of visas have not been used.

[zaback21 29]

34 minutes ago, Boiler said:

There is no suggestion that the allocated number of visas have not been used.

Of course the allocated number of visas has been used with Dominican Republic taking the majority of it. No separate list for DR, no movement at all. 

[Clarke84 19]

I wanted to point out that Dominican Republic has always had a large portion of F2B. I looked up past few years before Covid and these were their F2B totals:

 

2019: 8,195

2018: 10,741

2017: 7,734

2016: 6,832

2015: 8,243

 

So this isn't something new that popped up recently, so theoretically that means DR is not the sole reason for no movement. I wish USCIS published the amount of applicants with PD before the final action date for F2B. That data point would be helpful.

[zaback21 29]

2 hours ago, Clarke84 said:

I wanted to point out that Dominican Republic has always had a large portion of F2B. I looked up past few years before Covid and these were their F2B totals:

 

2019: 8,195

2018: 10,741

2017: 7,734

2016: 6,832

2015: 8,243

 

So this isn't something new that popped up recently, so theoretically that means DR is not the sole reason for no movement. I wish USCIS published the amount of applicants with PD before the final action date for F2B. That data point would be helpful.

The 7-8k numbers are not ideal but worked without backlog. Except 2018, those are acceptable. 

 

Where's DR in 2022-23 without counting August - September has already received 12,153 visas out of 26,266 available. That's almost 50% of the world from 30-33% on average it used to receive it previously. So, it does matter. 

 

More importantly Phillipines has less people waiting for F2B than DR and they have a separate quota and DR not. I don't know how the calculations goes but no country should receive more than 7% of 26,2666 = 1839 unless other countries are not using it. 

Definitely not 12-15x more of that number. 

[Mundo254 49]

2 hours ago, Clarke84 said:

I wanted to point out that Dominican Republic has always had a large portion of F2B. I looked up past few years before Covid and these were their F2B totals:

 

2019: 8,195

2018: 10,741

2017: 7,734

2016: 6,832

2015: 8,243

 

So this isn't something new that popped up recently, so theoretically that means DR is not the sole reason for no movement. I wish USCIS published the amount of applicants with PD before the final action date for F2B. That data point would be helpful.

Indeed this would be very helpful and a good indicator on where they are at in trying to clear the backlog. Last time I checked (and the best Info I have)  a person from (rest of world) with a 2015 July PD had their Interview scheduled...and that was last year in November. I wonder if anyone here knows anyone else whose had there visa issued with a PD close to the Sept 2015 cur off that has refused to move? That might also be a. good indicator if they are close to moving the dates. 

 

We'll also have to wait for October Issuance numbers to see if they are ramping up visa issuance for Family Visas. Otherwise, we might have to go wait for them to bring the down the immigrant visa backlog numbers down to 60k pre covid down from the current backlog of 275K (Which is somewhat some good news because a few months ago the backlog was at 420K). I'm starting to think the VB will not move until this happens.

Edited September 16, 2023 by Mundo254

[NEO2023 5]

2 hours ago, Mundo254 said:

Indeed this would be very helpful and a good indicator on where they are at in trying to clear the backlog. Last time I checked (and the best Info I have)  a person from (rest of world) with a 2015 July PD had their Interview scheduled...and that was last year in November. I wonder if anyone here knows anyone else whose had there visa issued with a PD close to the Sept 2015 cur off that has refused to move? That might also be a. good indicator if they are close to moving the dates. 

 

We'll also have to wait for October Issuance numbers to see if they are ramping up visa issuance for Family Visas. Otherwise, we might have to go wait for them to bring the down the immigrant visa backlog numbers down to 60k pre covid down from the current backlog of 275K (Which is somewhat some good news because a few months ago the backlog was at 420K). I'm starting to think the VB will not move until this happens.

 

Whoever wrote this  backlog report in the department of state completely messed up. 275K does not reflect the truth. 

 

According to https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/iv-backlog-report/IV Report - August 2023.pdf

Number of eligible IV applicants still pending the scheduling of an interview after August 2023 appointment scheduling was completed was 339,081.

 

In the best case scenario, assume that no new applicant was documentarily qualified after August 2023.

 

39347 applicants scheduled for September (https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/us-visas/visa-information-resources/visas-backlog.html)

 

That left us with 299734 applicants (339081-39347 = 299734), not 275506.   That is the best case without any new documentarily qualified applicants.

 

Assuming that there is on average at least 20000 new DQ applicants per month, this number should be around 325000.

 

[appleblossom 2,483]

5 hours ago, NEO2023 said:

 

Whoever wrote this  backlog report in the department of state completely messed up. 275K does not reflect the truth. 

 

According to https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/iv-backlog-report/IV Report - August 2023.pdf

Number of eligible IV applicants still pending the scheduling of an interview after August 2023 appointment scheduling was completed was 339,081.

 

In the best case scenario, assume that no new applicant was documentarily qualified after August 2023.

 

39347 applicants scheduled for September (https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/us-visas/visa-information-resources/visas-backlog.html)

 

That left us with 299734 applicants (339081-39347 = 299734), not 275506.   That is the best case without any new documentarily qualified applicants.

 

Assuming that there is on average at least 20000 new DQ applicants per month, this number should be around 325000.

 

You’re looking at last months report, not the current one. The 275k figure mentioned is from this months. https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/us-visas/visa-information-resources/visas-backlog.html

 

The backlog is clearing, albeit slowly. The problem is that it’s clearing immediate relatives, employment based IV’s etc. The other family categories just don’t have enough available visas compared to the number of applicants to make any meaningful progress with the backlog for their categories. 

Edited September 16, 2023 by appleblossom

[xavier2014 21]

The backlog is decreasing, but there's no reflection of that in the Visa Bulletin. I know F2B will move this fiscal year, but it appears those movements won't be promising. I think that right now, most of the documentarily qualified applicants are from F2A, they are the only category with Chart B being close to current, regularly going to IL pull.