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DSOTM1973

USCIS Q3 Statistics For I-751

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Despite COVID, USCIS adjust more/same cases in the last Q (Feb - June) than the last 2 Qs. 

Q3, USCIS Approved 43,362 and Denied  1,747 ~ 4%, also the amount of pending applications are down ~7K from Q2 and ~38K from Q1

So far YTD (Oct 2019  - June 2020) USCIS Approved 128,106 and Denied ~6,000 Cases ~ 5%

 

https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/document/reports/Quarterly_All_Forms_FY2020Q3.pdf

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4 minutes ago, Lucky Cat said:

If you consider that most of these denied petitions will be appealed and won, that pushes the denial rate well below 5%.......In my opinion, that is good reason to just eliminate conditional Green cards all together.  Just issue 10 year cards.

We don’t know why those applications were denied but I am sure good portion are clerical sucks as missed interview and/or missed response. Also a part gotta be withdrawn application. Another part gotta be hardship.

 

all that being said, I agree with you; however, there is no appeal. If you get denied by something other than clerical mistake, you go to court and courts are more likely side with USCIS.

so it is a mixed bag; however, they are pretty much spending hours and hours to find that 0.0001% fraud cases, which is dumb and inefficient 

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Filed: Lift. Cond. (apr) Country: Cuba
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Another thing to consider, doesn't the number of denials include I-751s that were sent too early or missing key documents so automatically denied? (And then re-filed shortly after.) 

CR-1 Visa

Service Center: Texas

Consulate: Cuba  Colombia. Thanks, Trump!

Marriage: 12/31/2016

I-130 Sent: 3/2/2017

I-130 NOA1: 3/8/2017

USCIS Approval Date: 8/29/17

NOA2 hardcopy received: 9/5/2017

NOA2 issued date: 8/26/2017

Notice from USCIS Sent to NVC: 9/11/2017

NVC Received: 9/21/2017

Case Number and Invoice Number Available: 9/22/2017

Welcome Letter: 9/27/17

Received Invoices for AOS and IV and Paid Both (No DS-261 as I have a lawyer): 9/27/2017 

DS-260 Unlocked: 9/29/2017

DS-260 Submitted: 10/5/17

IV & AOS Packages Mailed: 10/5/17

Packages Physically Arrived at NVC10/10/17

Scan Date: 10/11/17

Case Complete: 11/20/17

Case Complete Email: 11/28/17

Interview Date Received: 1/31/18

Interview: 3/27/18- Approved!

POE: 4/5/18, LAX

SSN Card Received: 4/16/18

2-Year Green Card Received: 4/21/18

 

ROC

Package Sent: 1/13/20

NOA1 (MSC): 1/16/20

Biometrics Notice: 1/31/20

Biometrics Appt: 2/12/20 (walked in early 2/6)

Interview Ready to Be Scheduled: 10/21/20

Interview Scheduled: 5/12/21

Interview Date: 6/17/21 - Approved!

New Card is Being Produced: 6/17/21

Card Was Mailed to You: 6/21/21

Case Was Approved: 6/22/21

Card Was Picked Up by USPS: 6/23/21

Card in Hand: 6/24/21

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Just now, DiamondEyes490 said:

Another thing to consider, doesn't the number of denials include I-751s that were sent too early or missing key documents so automatically denied? (And then re-filed shortly after.) 

Doubt it. Those applications don’t enter the system in the first place because of the date issue, same with wrong check, or wrong form

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Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Taiwan
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3 minutes ago, DSOTM1973 said:

ll that being said, I agree with you; however, there is no appeal. If you get denied by something other than clerical mistake, you go to court and courts are more likely side with USCIS.

 I have seen that about 75% of cases which go to the judge are won by the petitioner.

Edited by Lucky Cat

"The US immigration process requires a great deal of knowledge, planning, time, patience, and a significant amount of money.  It is quite a journey!"

- Some old child of the 50's & 60's on his laptop 

 

Senior Master Sergeant, US Air Force- Retired (after 20+ years)- Missile Systems Maintenance & Titan 2 ICBM Launch Crew Duty (200+ Alert tours)

Registered Nurse- Retired- I practiced in the areas of Labor & Delivery, Home Health, Adolescent Psych, & Adult Psych.

IT Professional- Retired- Web Site Design, Hardware Maintenance, Compound Pharmacy Software Trainer, On-site go live support, Database Manager, App Designer.

______________________________________

In summary, it took 13 months for approval of the CR-1.  It took 44 months for approval of the I-751.  It took 4 months for approval of the N-400.   It took 172 days from N-400 application to Oath Ceremony.   It took 6 weeks for Passport, then 7 additional weeks for return of wife's Naturalization Certificate.. 
 

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6 hours ago, DSOTM1973 said:

We don’t know why those applications were denied but I am sure good portion are clerical sucks as missed interview and/or missed response. Also a part gotta be withdrawn application. Another part gotta be hardship.

 

all that being said, I agree with you; however, there is no appeal. If you get denied by something other than clerical mistake, you go to court and courts are more likely side with USCIS.

so it is a mixed bag; however, they are pretty much spending hours and hours to find that 0.0001% fraud cases, which is dumb and inefficient 

Plus some rejected for wrong fee or wrong form or some other technicality

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Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Taiwan
Timeline

Just think of the positive effects that eliminating 2 year Green Cards would have on USCIS staffing.......

"The US immigration process requires a great deal of knowledge, planning, time, patience, and a significant amount of money.  It is quite a journey!"

- Some old child of the 50's & 60's on his laptop 

 

Senior Master Sergeant, US Air Force- Retired (after 20+ years)- Missile Systems Maintenance & Titan 2 ICBM Launch Crew Duty (200+ Alert tours)

Registered Nurse- Retired- I practiced in the areas of Labor & Delivery, Home Health, Adolescent Psych, & Adult Psych.

IT Professional- Retired- Web Site Design, Hardware Maintenance, Compound Pharmacy Software Trainer, On-site go live support, Database Manager, App Designer.

______________________________________

In summary, it took 13 months for approval of the CR-1.  It took 44 months for approval of the I-751.  It took 4 months for approval of the N-400.   It took 172 days from N-400 application to Oath Ceremony.   It took 6 weeks for Passport, then 7 additional weeks for return of wife's Naturalization Certificate.. 
 

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22 hours ago, Lucky Cat said:

If you consider that most of these denied petitions will be appealed and won, that pushes the denial rate well below 5%.......In my opinion, that is good reason to just eliminate conditional Green cards all together.  Just issue 10 year cards.

This would never happen. Just imagine each conditional resident has to pay 680$ just to remove conditions. That’s a whole lot of money to say bye bye to. Unfortunately I am 99.9% certain we will never see that requirement go away. 

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8 minutes ago, killadocg23 said:

This would never happen. Just imagine each conditional resident has to pay 680$ just to remove conditions. That’s a whole lot of money to say bye bye to. Unfortunately I am 99.9% certain we will never see that requirement go away. 

However, you are saving on average 250K hours spent on clerical work and officers reviews, and at least 30K hours on Interviews. So, you can basically, hire less people and save money too. If not, you can make something like every 2 or 3 Yrs you pay $500 to renew it, or increase the i-485/i-130 by by $300-$500, and then every 3 years, you must renew the card for $300 or so. 

 

 

There are many ways to become more efficient, It is just they don't need to.

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