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Crtcl Rice Theory

Trump drops below 40% in an NBC poll

By Crtcl Rice Theory in Current Events and Hot Social Topics

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Boiler Grand Master

Boiler   44,857

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“If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.”

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Boiler
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Voice of Reason
Voice of Reason

Naw, my 401k will do all the gloating I need.

laylalex
laylalex

Just to be clear -- it was an NBC/WSJ poll.

Burnt Reynolds Mentor

Burnt Reynolds   5,058

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28 minutes ago, CanAm1980 said:

1 This is not Clinton v Trump redux.

The margins are different

The stability of polls are different 

 

But go ahead and bet the mortgage money on Trump, the las Vegas odds are good. Maybe they will give you points.

 

You're trying to tell me about how the election is going to play out based on polls that incorrectly predicted how the election would play out. Try and spin it as you like, I won't say definitely Trump will win, but I did take issue with the idea that he'll get under 40% of the irrelevant popular vote. It's your thread that you posted... you've defended these polls.. do you believe their accuracy? Is Trump getting under 40%?

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Crtcl Rice Theory Experienced

Crtcl Rice Theory   2,432

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4 minutes ago, Burnt Reynolds said:

You're trying to tell me about how the election is going to play out based on polls that incorrectly predicted how the election would play out. Try and spin it as you like, I won't say definitely Trump will win, but I did take issue with the idea that he'll get under 40% of the irrelevant popular vote. It's your thread that you posted... you've defended these polls.. do you believe their accuracy? Is Trump getting under 40%?

I never stated he would get less than to 40%. I posted an article showing he was polling at a new low, three polls I saw today were in the same trajectory.  If Biden is polling close to 50% and Trump closer to 40%, there is little opportunity for an electoral college win. 

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Burnt Reynolds Mentor

Burnt Reynolds   5,058

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7 minutes ago, CanAm1980 said:

I never stated he would get less than to 40%. I posted an article showing he was polling at a new low, three polls I saw today were in the same trajectory.  If Biden is polling close to 50% and Trump closer to 40%, there is little opportunity for an electoral college win. 

Your thread says he's under 40, see the part in the title where it says "below 40%"? 

 

Do you believe he's getting under 40? Or even within the margin of error of this poll? 

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Crtcl Rice Theory Experienced

Crtcl Rice Theory   2,432

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52 minutes ago, Burnt Reynolds said:

Your thread says he's under 40, see the part in the title where it says "below 40%"? 

 

Do you believe he's getting under 40? Or even within the margin of error of this poll? I 

I didn't expect such triggeredness over one posting. It is one data point. What is interesting is the trend.

 

Define "he's getting"

Today? Well , look at the other polls this week.

 

On election day? Maybe. Could his numbers move? Probably. Could they move enough to win a plurality? Seriously doubt it. Majority? Maybe if Biden gets Coronavirus and dies. Electoral college? I don't see how.

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Burnt Reynolds Mentor

Burnt Reynolds   5,058

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8 minutes ago, CanAm1980 said:

I didn't expect such triggeredness over one posting. It is one data point. What is interesting is the trend.

 

Define "he's getting"

Today? Well , look at the other polls this week.

 

On election day? Maybe. Could his numbers move? Probably. Could they move enough to win a plurality? Seriously doubt it. Majority? Maybe if Biden gets Coronavirus and dies. Electoral college? I don't see how.

What's the trend? You expect Trump to drop further into the 30s as October moves along? 🙂

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TBoneTX Grand Master

TBoneTX   44,672

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Ahem:

https://www.visajourney.com/forums/topic/749373-trump-drops-below-40-in-an-nbc-poll/page/3/?tab=comments#comment-10279824

 

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Nature Boy 2.0 Veteran

Nature Boy 2.0   8,367

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I am a little worried about the election. I think people hated Hillary way more than Biden.

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Dashinka Grand Master

Dashinka   24,110

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50 minutes ago, Nature Boy 2.0 said:

I am a little worried about the election. I think people hated Hillary way more than Biden.

Whatever happens will happen.  It does seem obvious that the Biden campaign is trying to raise Trump to the Hillary hatred levels and it may work considering how much help they have from the activist media.  Trump does kick himself in the rear quite a bit from a communication standpoint, and as we see even though his accomplishments are many, and he is quite moderate as compared to the New Democrats, his message is haphazard at best.

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