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Posted
5 hours ago, Boring Life said:

My brother will get married outside U.S and after coming back would apply for i-130, after NVC then consulate. Based on current coronavirus situation how many months or year will it take?

Actually at the moment (as long as presidential proclamations are in force) I-130 CR1/IR1 should be adjudicated fairly quickly. 5 months (or less) for I-130 should not be any surprise. NVC also seems to be quick, around 2 months or less at the moment.

 

If he files online fairly soon then he might be done in less than a year or so. Don't expect presidential proclamations to be lifted by the end of the year at the earliest.

 

Of course it assumes all his paperwork is in order. On that note though, filing I-130 right away after the marriage is not always the best or most productive, you need some time to get everything in order and make your case "solid". Just some food for thought.

Posted
7 hours ago, trusttheprocess said:

Hi,

 

Nobody will be able to answer you with 100% certainty, but I would say at this rate it will be a minimum of 24 months. People that applied in Dec 2018 are still waiting for their interviews...

 

Hope this helps

November 2018 here! Still waiting ,. . . 

 

OP, I'd advise your brother to get the application in as soon as he can.

Posted
2 hours ago, carpfan said:

November 2018 here! Still waiting ,. . . 

 

OP, I'd advise your brother to get the application in as soon as he can.

what kind of category are you applying for? CR1/IR1?

 

OP might have special circumstances, perhaps he doesn't need it to be "as soon as possible".

Posted (edited)
10 hours ago, Boring Life said:

My brother will get married outside U.S and after coming back would apply for i-130, after NVC then consulate. Based on current coronavirus situation how many months or year will it take?

Assuming he is marrying a USC and there is no RFE and the NVC docs are readily available.

 

There are two large areas of variability.  1) which service center processes the petition and 2) what the backlog is at the consulate.

 

Pre COVID19 a few recent ones took 6 months with others from 4 years ago are at the consulate in AP.

Edited by Paul & Mary

March 2, 2018  Married In Hong Kong

April 30, 2018  Mary moves from the Philippines to Mexico, Husband has MX Permanent Residency

June 13, 2018 Mary receives Mexican Residency Card

June 15, 2018  I-130 DCF Appointment in Juarez  -  June 18, 2018  Approval E-Mail

August 2, 2018 Case Complete At Consulate

September 25, 2018 Interview in CDJ and Approved!

October 7, 2018 In the USA

October 27, 2018 Green Card received 

October 29, 2018 Applied for Social Security Card - November 5, 2018 Social Security Card received

November 6th, 2018 State ID Card Received, Applied for Global Entry - Feb 8,2019 Approved.

July 14, 2020 Removal of Conditions submitted by mail  July 12, 2021 Biometrics Completed

August 6, 2021 N-400 submitted by mail

September 7, 2021 I-751 Interview, Sept 8 Approved and Card Being Produced

October 21, 2021 N-400 Biometrics Completed  

November 30,2021  Interview, Approval and Oath

December 10, 2021 US Passport Issued

August 12, 2022 PHL Dual Nationality Re-established & Passport Approved 

April 6,2023 Legally Separated - Oh well

Posted
41 minutes ago, Stein said:

Heck, I just saw one that sent I130 in February, got to NVC in May and DQ in June so anything can happen.

We sent I130 in January, approved in May. I thought it must have been mistake until I saw bunch of other people getting approved quickly as well. 

 

I have seen NVC DQs in as low as 5 days now.

Posted
1 hour ago, Punisher said:

what kind of category are you applying for? CR1/IR1?

 

OP might have special circumstances, perhaps he doesn't need it to be "as soon as possible".

Yes IR1. Point being if it could take two years or more, it's hard for anyone to predict their circumstances that far into the future so better to get things rolling. If I-130 approval comes faster than expected, you can always drag things out at the NVC stage if you need more time.

Posted
2 minutes ago, carpfan said:

Yes IR1. Point being if it could take two years or more, it's hard for anyone to predict their circumstances that far into the future so better to get things rolling. If I-130 approval comes faster than expected, you can always drag things out at the NVC stage if you need more time.

Are you pre or past I-130 approval?

Posted
Just now, carpfan said:

Past. I-130 approval in Dec 2019, DQ at NVC in May this year. Waiting for Tokyo embassy to start scheduling interviews.

Then you missed the point I was making. You can't apply your "own" situation when you applied Dec 2018. 

 

Since March 2020 the timeline for CR1/IR1 filer has changed considerably. I -130 takes most time in the timeline and currently these would take just a few months to be done (as opposed to 1-1,5 years). Also embassies are reopening now and by the time OP files and gets I-130 approved all backlog at embassies would be a history. 

 

As such, for the OP asking about applying in very near future, 1 year (maybe less) is a good starting point for any discussion. Of course barring any special circumstances (RFE, RE, AP etc)

Posted
6 minutes ago, Punisher said:

Then you missed the point I was making. You can't apply your "own" situation when you applied Dec 2018. 

 

Since March 2020 the timeline for CR1/IR1 filer has changed considerably. I -130 takes most time in the timeline and currently these would take just a few months to be done (as opposed to 1-1,5 years). Also embassies are reopening now and by the time OP files and gets I-130 approved all backlog at embassies would be a history. 

 

As such, for the OP asking about applying in very near future, 1 year (maybe less) is a good starting point for any discussion. Of course barring any special circumstances (RFE, RE, AP etc)

I didn't miss your point -- whether some people have received faster processing in recent months doesn't change the fact that the process for applying for a green card comes with a substantial degree of uncertainty regarding timing and someone applying today or in a few months from now cannot reasonably rely on the unusual experience of people who applied earlier this year carrying on, particularly with the pandemic and political uncertainty persisting. If I-130's continue to be processed faster than in recent history it is only a pleasant surprise. Once the filer gets to the NVC stage they are largely in control of how fast things go, the case won't be closed unless they don't contact NVC within a year, thus my advice still stands, get the process started as soon as possible. 

Posted
1 minute ago, carpfan said:

I didn't miss your point -- whether some people have received faster processing in recent months doesn't change the fact that the process for applying for a green card comes with a substantial degree of uncertainty regarding timing and someone applying today or in a few months from now cannot reasonably rely on the unusual experience of people who applied earlier this year carrying on, particularly with the pandemic and political uncertainty persisting. If I-130's continue to be processed faster than in recent history it is only a pleasant surprise. Once the filer gets to the NVC stage they are largely in control of how fast things go, the case won't be closed unless they don't contact NVC within a year, thus my advice still stands, get the process started as soon as possible. 

It always comes with a substantial degree of uncertainty regarding timing. However CURRENTLY the situation is much different for CR1/IR1, especially at I-130 stage which is usually the MOST time consuming part of the process. Presidential proclamations are here to stay at least till end of the year.

 

NVC usually takes 2-3 months (lacking REs) and embassy is further 2 months down the road.

 

If we were talking about other categories then yes, we could talk in broad terms like 1-2 years.

 

OP started thread with very specific question:

Quote

Based on current coronavirus situation how many months or year will it take?

Current means current. So IMO around 1 year for the case barring any other things slowing him down.

 
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