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JonSeattle

So lockdowns were not needed after all?

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Filed: AOS (pnd) Country: Philippines
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I haven't seen any quotes to suggest that the WHO actually backed down on their statement, apart from what some editors have added to their own coverage. But there is actual data to back up the WHO statement: (https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.10.20097543v2.full.pdf )

 

"Our estimates of the proportion of asymptomatic cases and their transmission rates suggest that asymptomatic spread is unlikely to be a major driver of clusters or community transmission of infection, but the extent for pre-symptomatic and minor symptomatic transmission remains unknown.'

 

See the bottom of page 8 of that study for a summary of the data. So while such transmission can occur, it does not seem to be enough to justify a shutdown, and a shutdown of healthy people distracts us from more important measures such as staying at home when sick instead of relying on useless cloth masks.

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What is this then?

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"The majority of transmission that we know about is that people who have symptoms transmit the virus to other people through infectious droplets -- but there are a subset of people who don't develop symptoms, and to truly understand how many people don't have symptoms, we don't actually have that answered yet," Van Kerkhove said.

"We do know that some people who are asymptomatic, or some people who don't have symptoms, can transmit the virus on," she said. "So what we need to better understand is how many of the people in the population don't have symptoms and separately how many of those individuals go on to transmit to others."

 

https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/09/health/who-coronavirus-asymptomatic-spread-bn/index.html

 

The WHO "walked it back" by saying "hey, we just don't know yet" rather than saying that asymptomatic/presymptomatic people can't pass it on, which is what Dr. Van Kerkhove's quote was taken as saying by many. It was a clarification to dissuade people from throwing caution to the wind.

 

Where does the report say on page 8 that the transmission rates of asymptomatic persons do not justify a shutdown? I genuinely cannot see that. 

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Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Ecuador
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Because of fruitless argument, repetition, incivility, and multiple Terms of Service violations, this thread is now closed to further discussion.  Do not restart this topic or refer to it elsewhere.

 

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