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Burnt Reynolds

US may have to endure social distancing until 2022 if no vaccine is quickly found, scientists predict

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This may be the new normal for quite a while.

The US may have to endure social distancing measures -- such as stay-at-home orders and school closures -- until 2022, researchers projected on Tuesday.

That is, unless a vaccine or better therapeutics becomes available, or we increase our critical care capacity. In other words, 2022 is one scenario of many.

That's according to researchers from the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, who published their findings in the journal Science on Tuesday. Those findings directly contradict research being touted by the White House that suggests the pandemic may stop this summer.

 

The team at the Harvard School of Public Health used what's known about Covid-19 and other coronaviruses to create possible scenarios of the current pandemic.

"Intermittent distancing may be required into 2022 unless critical care capacity is increased substantially or a treatment or vaccine becomes available," they wrote in their report. "Even in the event of apparent elimination, SARS-CoV-2 surveillance should be maintained since a resurgence in contagion could be possible as late as 2024."

The Harvard team's projections also indicate that the virus would come roaring back fairly quickly once restrictions were lifted.

 

https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/14/health/social-distancing-research-coronavirus-2022-trnd/index.html

 

Basically, we're not safe until the end of Trump's second term. 🤔

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Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Russia
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Roaring back?  I wonder what are their assumptions?  I suppose they don’t think there are any asymptomatic people out there.

 

Edited by Dashinka

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2019:  Stay away from negative people.

2020:  Stay away from positive people.

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Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Belgium
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On 4/15/2020 at 8:00 PM, Burnt Reynolds said:

Basically, we're not safe until the end of Trump's second term. 

Considering that the election is this year and, if he loses, the inauguration is early 2021, I don't really see the connection.

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3 minutes ago, Burnt Reynolds said:

Who's talking about inaugurations? I can see why you're so confused. Try reading better.

 

 

Then you're still wrong. Trump's second term would end in 2025, with the next elections taking place in 2024. :P

 

They're also wrong about the "we'll be safe in 2024". If people are already getting reinfected, this thing would be far more dangerous than the seasonal flu, if it even gets to the level of just a seasonal illness.

Edited by sl1pstream
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