Flights going back to normal

[LeoUSA 57]

10 minutes ago, Mr and Mrs S said:

It also, depends on where you are flying to\flying from. Some places will recover faster than others and will try to limit covid influx from places lagging behind.

The long story short is that I have my IR1 visa that expires in mid of July. I just hate that I can only watch it getting expired and not be able to use since everything is shutdown in my country for now

[Boiler 45,486]

I thought you are in Spain?

[Mr & Mrs T 778]

34 minutes ago, LeoUSA said:

The long story short is that I have my IR1 visa that expires in mid of July. I just hate that I can only watch it getting expired and not be able to use since everything is shutdown in my country for now

Same here my visa expires in august and I am afraid to not be able to make it from France to US at that time 

[payxibka 10,045]

If expired, Immigrant visas are a lot less problematic to be reissued after a new medical is done

[LeoUSA 57]

57 minutes ago, Boiler said:

I thought you are in Spain?

No i left it about 2 months ago

[LeoUSA 57]

16 minutes ago, payxibka said:

If expired, Immigrant visas are a lot less problematic to be reissued after a new medical is done

I hope so.. thank you

[TheKingmaker 153]

@payxibka  @Tesco - Nice to meet fellow travel industry workers, although I wish it was under better circumstances. I work at Expedia / Booking Holdings type company and have been furloughed for 4 months. Although I suspect that 4 months is a very very optimistic view. 

 

I am not going to speculate on when things open up, but @Mr and Mrs S made a very important point. Even if some travel is opened up, there will be hotspots from where travel will be restricted.

 

Given Sweden's utter lack of seriousness about this problem and total refusal to enforce a quarantine, I really hope the US government bans any travel from Sweden for the next 12 months. 

[apellica 80]

My fiancee's K1 Visa expires around August 20th.  I am hoping I can get her here to the US before it expires.  Can't afford for her to go thru the whole medical procedure again in Manila.  This pandemic has hurt the economy tremendously, I doubt many countries can withstand the have lockdowns for too long.

[JFH 12,190]

4 hours ago, LeoUSA said:

The long story short is that I have my IR1 visa that expires in mid of July. I just hate that I can only watch it getting expired and not be able to use since everything is shutdown in my country for now

You need to heed the advice you gave someone else:
 

 

[rubanitka 15]

8 hours ago, LeoUSA said:

 

Totally agree.

I don’t think the US will ever shut down the airports. But the pandemic will go on and on unless people stay at home which I can’t see happening anytime soon

I have already seen petitions circulated on social media among aviation community to cancel all non-essential flights within the country. So it might very well happen. Plus more and more states issue stay-at-home orders. The last thing I've heard is that 13 states are still resisting the idea but imo they'd have to give in eventually. With no vaccine on the horizon, there's no batter way than to shut everyone down.

[LeoUSA 57]

1 hour ago, JFH said:

You need to heed the advice you gave someone else:
 

 

I try to make people relax but can’t make myself 😂😂😂

[Tesco 70]

I'm between NOA2 and the Welcome Letter, so providing I do something within a year, I can kick the can down the road in the meantime. I sympathize with those with an urgent need; where time restraints provide for only a list of bad or non possible options.

 

Ultimately you can only do what is in your power to control.  Regardless of where in this journey we are as individuals... We're all very much in this together.

[Giovanna024 442]

13 hours ago, payxibka said:

June or July at earliest 

Hope you are right, beeing apart from my husband in Canada is really hard😔💔

[ch3john 308]

Based on American Airlines projections, they have cut 60% of the their domestic flights in April in 80% in May anticipating people won't be flying until at least June. They also cut 65% - 80% international flights for the summer. 65% to Europe and 80% to Asia. Depending on destination, they will slowly start increasing service July thru October. 

 

So depending on what you mean by "back to normal", it could take at least a year to get back to where airline traffic was two months ago. It will be at least June or July before you start to see more people flying. Another problem that could be in the future, the virus can come back in the fall and there still won't be a vaccine so people we will be scared to fly so the air traffic will drop again this winter. This is just an opinion with no inside information. 

[payxibka 10,045]

7 minutes ago, ch3john said:

Based on American Airlines projections, they have cut 60% of the their domestic flights in April in 80% in May anticipating people won't be flying until at least June. They also cut 65% - 80% international flights for the summer. 65% to Europe and 80% to Asia. Depending on destination, they will slowly start increasing service July thru October. 

 

So depending on what you mean by "back to normal", it could take at least a year to get back to where airline traffic was two months ago. It will be at least June or July before you start to see more people flying. Another problem that could be in the future, the virus can come back in the fall and there still won't be a vaccine so people we will be scared to fly so the air traffic will drop again this winter. This is just an opinion with no inside information. 

I think you are touching on some good points.  Based on what is happening, we will come out of this with a "new" normal that unfortunately wont include a few existing players because they won't have the resources to make it back.