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Posted

I know this probably has been asked multiple times but i'm interested to know if there are any new successful applicants with the same situation.

 

Basically, my sister is currently being petitioned by our mom. Her PD is October 2015, F1 Category in the Philippines. I know the wait for this preference (thankfully and hopefully will continue to speed up) is moving at a good phase as of the last couple of months. At this rate, her PD could become current in about 2-3 years.

 

However, i'm interested to know what are my sister's chances of getting approved for a Tourist Visa to temporarily visit us here in the US. Everyone in my family has traveled to visit us except for her and I really want to make her upcoming birthday extra special by giving her the trip as a gift.

 

She's currently self-employed owning a business in the Philippines. She owns a car which she makes payments on and she also owns a house. She's travelled to and has been granted to a few other countries (Japan, South Korea) which she never over-stayed in.


Has anyone had a similar situation? What was the outcome? Thank you so much!

Posted

Apply and find out. There's really not much else to it.

Good luck.

Timelines:

ROC:

Spoiler

7/27/20: Sent forms to Dallas lockbox, 7/30/20: Received by USCIS, 8/10 NOA1 electronic notification received, 8/1/ NOA1 hard copy received

AOS:

Spoiler

AOS (I-485 + I-131 + I-765):

9/25/17: sent forms to Chicago, 9/27/17: received by USCIS, 10/4/17: NOA1 electronic notification received, 10/10/17: NOA1 hard copy received. Social Security card being issued in married name (3rd attempt!)

10/14/17: Biometrics appointment notice received, 10/25/17: Biometrics

1/2/18: EAD + AP approved (no website update), 1/5/18: EAD + AP mailed, 1/8/18: EAD + AP approval notice hardcopies received, 1/10/18: EAD + AP received

9/5/18: Interview scheduled notice, 10/17/18: Interview

10/24/18: Green card produced notice, 10/25/18: Formal approval, 10/31/18: Green card received

K-1:

Spoiler

I-129F

12/1/16: sent, 12/14/16: NOA1 hard copy received, 3/10/17: RFE (IMB verification), 3/22/17: RFE response received

3/24/17: Approved! , 3/30/17: NOA2 hard copy received

 

NVC

4/6/2017: Received, 4/12/2017: Sent to Riyadh embassy, 4/16/2017: Case received at Riyadh embassy, 4/21/2017: Request case transfer to Manila, approved 4/24/2017

 

K-1

5/1/2017: Case received by Manila (1 week embassy transfer??? Lucky~)

7/13/2017: Interview: APPROVED!!!

7/19/2017: Visa in hand

8/15/2017: POE

 

Posted (edited)
26 minutes ago, geowrian said:

Apply and find out. There's really not much else to it.

Good luck.

I'm not really asking for chance of approval to warrant an "apply and find out" kind of response since I know that is highly variable. I'm more interested to know if anyone has had any recent success with a similar situation or if the outcome isn't favorable what reasons have been cited.

 

But thanks, I guess...

Edited by lord-of-mischief
Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Wales
Timeline
Posted

If you go through this section you will find a variety, approvals and denials. Now what constitutes a similar situation?

“If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.”

Posted
15 minutes ago, Boiler said:

If you go through this section you will find a variety, approvals and denials. Now what constitutes a similar situation?


I did and I have made notes on some of the cases I saw while browsing but i’m curious if there are more who might be able to share their results and experiences (because I thought that’s what a forum does). 
 

Similar situation would be someone with a pending family-based petition that’s projected to become current within the next 5 years. The reason for all of this is because we are trying to be smart with our decisions especially since I mentioned that her PD might become current within the next couple of years. By asking for similar experiences and results, we are hoping to identify some sort of trend that would help us make the right move for her case. I’ve read some outdated articles that says sometimes the PD movement and wait time can be a factor on approvals. This prompted my curiosity to see if this is still current; hence, my asking about recent cases.

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Wales
Timeline
Posted

I sort of assume it is not her pending petition that is likely to be the issue, more the other more normal factors. Intending to immigrate is sort of assumed, here she has a path but not for sometime.

 

 

“If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.”

Posted
3 minutes ago, Boiler said:

I sort of assume it is not her pending petition that is likely to be the issue, more the other more normal factors. Intending to immigrate is sort of assumed, here she has a path but not for sometime.

 

 

Yes, that was my original thought too that’s why I mentioned the info about her current ties to the Philippines (business owner, properties). But some people close to us have been saying that sometimes there are instances when the consul would be more lenient especially if the PD is becoming current very soon. The immigration intent is there and known and it’s inevitable. So there’s a good chance of getting a tourist visa. 

 

However, I currently don’t have the numbers that would support this theory. That’s why I was hoping to gather some insights about it in this forum through other’s experiences.

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Wales
Timeline
Posted

There are no numbers, anything you see on line is likely to be subjective and inherently biased.

 

You say she is a Business Owner, so compare her with other Business Owners. But it would be reasonable to assume there would be a big difference between somebody who employs 5 to somebody who employs 1,000.

 

We sort of go back to the first point, 

“If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.”

Posted

Which I disagree with. My whole point is that i’m trying to build data regarding the recent trend. I know and I acknowledge that everything is highly variable but at least with the facts, we’ll be more smart in making our decisions.


Forgive me for trying to be scientific about this. I didn’t know this sort of approach isn’t welcome here.

Posted

I'm not sure what exactly you are looking for nor how a CO will interpret it. All we know is she is a business owner who has traveled to southeast Asia with US family. The house and car are not really compelling factors here (see below).

 

The pending petition is unlikely to be a significant factor. Even if it were considered, it would only be a negative. Presumably she is able & willing to close the business, or have somebody else run it when she immigrates. She has no use for the car or house when she immigrates either. So they're not exactly a compelling reason to come back, not to mention it's not really that difficult to sell or store them in PH while living abroad.

 

Nothing you've mentioned is something that jumps out as "she would have a hard time leaving those behind".

At the same time, I've certainly seen people with even fewer ties get approved.

It's not chance-based process. The individual CO that weighs her circumstances certainly matters, but how exactly that particular CO will weigh her specific circumstances is impossible to know.

 

I've seen people in similar situations gets approved. I've seen people in similar situations get refused. I use "similar" loosely here, as we only have a very small glimpse of her - and the vast majority of others who have applied - circumstances.

 

You could, for example, find maybe 20 people who are FB-1 beneficiaries that are business owners from PH. The point is If 15 of them got the visa, it says virtually nothing about whether or not she will let the visa.

 

Hence the suggestion to just apply and find out. Anything else is just going to obfuscate the situation.

 

9 minutes ago, lord-of-mischief said:

The immigration intent is there and known and it’s inevitable. So there’s a good chance of getting a tourist visa. 

That seems very counter-intuitive. She is presumed to have immigrant intent by law. The petition here is unlikely to be a significant factor IMO, but it can only show even stronger intent.

A tourist visa can only be issued if they can overcome the presumption of immigrant intent. See INA 214(b). Just because she will eventually immigrate does not mean she is more likely to get a tourist visa.

The CO must believe not just that she won't overstay or otherwise violate status, but that she won't use the tourist visa to come to the US and adjust status there (instead of going through consular processing) once her PD is current.

 

1 minute ago, lord-of-mischief said:

Which I disagree with. My whole point is that i’m trying to build data regarding the recent trend. I know and I acknowledge that everything is highly variable but at least with the facts, we’ll be more smart in making our decisions.


Forgive me for trying to be scientific about this. I didn’t know this sort of approach isn’t welcome here.

What decision is there to make exactly? She applies and possibly gets the visa or she doesn't and she doesn't get the visa.

If the concern is the $160 application fee being lost, then a tourist visa probably isn't the best idea anyway.

 

Data is welcome. Well, "good" data anyway, IMHO. Variability isn't the issue here.

Timelines:

ROC:

Spoiler

7/27/20: Sent forms to Dallas lockbox, 7/30/20: Received by USCIS, 8/10 NOA1 electronic notification received, 8/1/ NOA1 hard copy received

AOS:

Spoiler

AOS (I-485 + I-131 + I-765):

9/25/17: sent forms to Chicago, 9/27/17: received by USCIS, 10/4/17: NOA1 electronic notification received, 10/10/17: NOA1 hard copy received. Social Security card being issued in married name (3rd attempt!)

10/14/17: Biometrics appointment notice received, 10/25/17: Biometrics

1/2/18: EAD + AP approved (no website update), 1/5/18: EAD + AP mailed, 1/8/18: EAD + AP approval notice hardcopies received, 1/10/18: EAD + AP received

9/5/18: Interview scheduled notice, 10/17/18: Interview

10/24/18: Green card produced notice, 10/25/18: Formal approval, 10/31/18: Green card received

K-1:

Spoiler

I-129F

12/1/16: sent, 12/14/16: NOA1 hard copy received, 3/10/17: RFE (IMB verification), 3/22/17: RFE response received

3/24/17: Approved! , 3/30/17: NOA2 hard copy received

 

NVC

4/6/2017: Received, 4/12/2017: Sent to Riyadh embassy, 4/16/2017: Case received at Riyadh embassy, 4/21/2017: Request case transfer to Manila, approved 4/24/2017

 

K-1

5/1/2017: Case received by Manila (1 week embassy transfer??? Lucky~)

7/13/2017: Interview: APPROVED!!!

7/19/2017: Visa in hand

8/15/2017: POE

 

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Wales
Timeline
Posted

Not a question of not welcome, it is just not possible. To be scientific you need data and it simply is not available.

 

There is only one decision to make, she can apply or not. And it is only $160 to find out.

“If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.”

Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, lord-of-mischief said:

I'm not really asking for chance of approval to warrant an "apply and find out" kind of response since I know that is highly variable. I'm more interested to know if anyone has had any recent success with a similar situation or if the outcome isn't favorable what reasons have been cited.

 

But thanks, I guess...

You want someone with a soon-ish to be current petition, from a country with high refusals for young singles, who owns (but not outright) a car, and a house, and is self employed, who recently applied, to tell you their experience? And lots of these , so the data can be considered good?

Edited by SusieQQQ
Posted
12 hours ago, lord-of-mischief said:

Which I disagree with. My whole point is that i’m trying to build data regarding the recent trend. I know and I acknowledge that everything is highly variable but at least with the facts, we’ll be more smart in making our decisions.


Forgive me for trying to be scientific about this. I didn’t know this sort of approach isn’t welcome here.

One doesn’t “build data” by seeking anecdotal evidence on an online forum.

Filed: F-2A Visa Country: Nepal
Timeline
Posted (edited)
12 hours ago, lord-of-mischief said:

Which I disagree with. My whole point is that i’m trying to build data regarding the recent trend. I know and I acknowledge that everything is highly variable but at least with the facts, we’ll be more smart in making our decisions.


Forgive me for trying to be scientific about this. I didn’t know this sort of approach isn’t welcome here.

People here are simply suggesting that there is no point in doing regression analysis or data computing whichever you are trying to do. There is no smart decisions in visitor visa applications unlike other immigrant visas. One just applies for it. No documents can be attached during the application. The result could be decided on the spot by the CO without asking any questions.

 

There are cases where a spouse with pending i130 with already current PD has been approved for visitor visa while a brother or son with no i130 petition has been denied. A same person could get denied by one CO but be approved by the other. For visitor visas, it’s all random and some luck. No analysis can predict the outcome,

Edited by arken

Spouse:

2015-06-16: I-130 Sent

2015-08-17: I-130 approved

2015-09-23: NVC received file

2015-10-05: NVC assigned Case number, Invoice ID & Beneficiary ID

2016-06-30: DS-261 completed, AOS Fee Paid, WL received

2016-07-05: Received IV invoice, IV Fee Paid

2016-07-06: DS-260 Submitted

2016-07-07: AOS and IV Package mailed

2016-07-08: NVC Scan

2016-08-08: Case Complete

2017-06-30: Interview, approved

2017-07-04: Visa in hand

2017-08-01: Entry to US

.

.

.

.

Myself:

2016-05-10: N-400 Sent

2016-05-16: N-400 NOA1

2016-05-26: Biometrics

2017-01-30: Interview

2017-03-02: Oath Ceremony

Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Brazil
Timeline
Posted
13 hours ago, lord-of-mischief said:

Which I disagree with. My whole point is that i’m trying to build data regarding the recent trend. I know and I acknowledge that everything is highly variable but at least with the facts, we’ll be more smart in making our decisions.


Forgive me for trying to be scientific about this. I didn’t know this sort of approach isn’t welcome here.

Can she afford $160? Yes - apply. No - don't apply.

 
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