The Front-Runner's Big Iowa Rally

[TBoneTX 45,571]

Entertaining to read, with some original thoughts.  Comments?  

Quote

The Front-Runner's Big Iowa Rally

George S. Bardmesser - December 25th, 2019

 

Six months ago, I wrote about the mystery of the Joe Biden campaign—or, perhaps, “campaign” would be a better way to put it. According to polls at the time, Barack Obama’s vice president had roughly 30 percent of the Democratic electorate in his corner. Doing some simple math, and given that the population of the United States is 330 million people, and roughly 32 percent of them are Democrats, that translated to [...]

 

Continues here: https://amgreatness.com/2019/12/25/the-front-runners-big-iowa-rally/  

 

 

 

[Dashinka 24,628]

Great analogy.

 

As someone pointed out by analogy to quantum physics, this has become the Shrödinger’s Impeachment, since Trump is impeached and yet at the same time isn’t actually impeached until the House delivers the Articles to the Senate. Like Shrödinger’s Cat, who is both alive and dead at the same time, Trump is impeached and not impeached simultaneously.

[designguy 1,179]

I think that it’s actually a scarier thing for the republicans, in the long run, than the democrats. In either one year or in five he won’t be in office anymore and the vacuum that he will leave I think will be something that has never been seen before. If you take him out of the equation a regular republican isn’t going to draw a considerably larger crowd than a democrat. The party will be extremely splintered once he is no longer president 

[90DayFinancier 910]

12 hours ago, TBoneTX said:

Entertaining to read, with some original thoughts.  Comments?  

 

 

The author equates campaign strength with rally turnout. 

To compare him to Trump though, consider:

1. Trump Rally turnouts are historic by any measure

2. Trump rallies have been his substitute for get out the vote effort and they are his "retail politics" effort

3. Those rallies are not a direct measure of political strength or results at the poll, there is quite a bit of softness to that correlation

4. Trump is unique in his organizations ability to stage these events AND he is unique in his approach at the podium

 

In comparison to Biden, it is an unconventional approach.

 

The Democrats have laid out their strategy 1. Tell people how you will help them - you are running for president not against Trump 2. Voter registration 3 Turn out every vote 4 Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan are must wins.

 

We have to see who wins the nomination and then the ability to execute in November.

 

[Voice of Reason 10,298]

1 hour ago, 90DayFinancier said:

The Democrats have laid out their strategy 

 

1.  Free healthcare for all, including illegals

2. Free college

3. Overcome the evil GOP

4. Redistribute wealth from everyone except the democratic millionaires

 

Awesome platform.  I'm gonna vote for all of this!!

[TBoneTX 45,571]

11 hours ago, 90DayFinancier said:

campaign strength

Good observation.  The Trump campaign is raking in record numbers (or at least massive numbers) of small donations, under $250 or $200 if I recall.  It's unclear whether these donations are being solicited.  Campaign scholars have said that amount and breadth of donations is arguably the best signal of campaign strength, even more so than are polls.