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Posted
8 hours ago, Steeleballz said:

 

  Only 8% higher and he would tie Jimmy Carter at the same point of their presidential terms. FWIW. 

And that would be the only similarity.  I lived thru the Carter years. Worse President ever one of the worst economies ever. Trump ine of the best President ever one of the best economy ever 

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Posted
40 minutes ago, Burnt Reynolds said:

Is Trump impeached yet?

 

Oh wait.. can't make that joke anymore.

 

Is it over to the Senate yet?

Nancy is playing Queen, so who knows.

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Posted
4 hours ago, Nature Boy 2.0 said:

And that would be the only similarity.  I lived thru the Carter years. Worse President ever one of the worst economies ever. Trump ine of the best President ever one of the best economy ever 

 

  So you are saying it's not worth bringing up approval ratings as proof of anything? Because we would agree, if that's what you are saying. That was my point really.

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Steeleballz said:

 

  So you are saying it's not worth bringing up approval ratings as proof of anything? Because we would agree, if that's what you are saying. That was my point really.

Approval ratings don't mean squat right now. Even Hillary led Trump in every approval rating and promptly lost.

Posted
53 minutes ago, luckytxn said:

Approval ratings don't mean squat right now. Even Hillary led Trump in every approval rating and promptly lost.

Approval ratings are like lie detectors, they only mean as much as people believe they do. In reality, lie detectors' only useful function is eliciting confessions, and "approval ratings" premise is not to dictate how good/bad the President is or their chances of re-election but specifically to shape public opinion. In project management, they're called "fudge factors", and resemble project crashing where we take precedence networks and screw with them to produce a viable (preferably shorter) critical path. In this situation with PR, the idea is to bring people into a box, make them believe approval ratings are meaningful, because it makes it easier to herd them into making predictable choices.

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Posted

I can quite imagine a situation, well I have been there, that come election time you look at the ballot and would not have taken any of those choices.

 

So you vote for someone or not at all.

 

That is a very different scenario to what these polls are supposedly measuring.

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Posted

Pelosi needs to be impeached for Abuse of Power and Obstruction of the Senate.

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Posted (edited)

Has everyone seen Alexandria Occasional-Cortex's trashing of Tulsi Gabbard for the latter's votes of "present" and the thorough rationales therefor?

 

https://townhall.com/tipsheet/bethbaumann/2019/12/19/oh-brother-ocasiocortez-chides-gabbard-for-voting-present-on-articles-of-impeachment-n2558322

 

Edited by TBoneTX

06-04-2007 = TSC stamps postal return-receipt for I-129f.

06-11-2007 = NOA1 date (unknown to me).

07-20-2007 = Phoned Immigration Officer; got WAC#; where's NOA1?

09-25-2007 = Touch (first-ever).

09-28-2007 = NOA1, 23 days after their 45-day promise to send it (grrrr).

10-20 & 11-14-2007 = Phoned ImmOffs; "still pending."

12-11-2007 = 180 days; file is "between workstations, may be early Jan."; touches 12/11 & 12/12.

12-18-2007 = Call; file is with Division 9 ofcr. (bckgrnd check); e-prompt to shake it; touch.

12-19-2007 = NOA2 by e-mail & web, dated 12-18-07 (187 days; 201 per VJ); in mail 12/24/07.

01-09-2008 = File from USCIS to NVC, 1-4-08; NVC creates file, 1/15/08; to consulate 1/16/08.

01-23-2008 = Consulate gets file; outdated Packet 4 mailed to fiancee 1/27/08; rec'd 3/3/08.

04-29-2008 = Fiancee's 4-min. consular interview, 8:30 a.m.; much evidence brought but not allowed to be presented (consul: "More proof! Second interview! Bring your fiance!").

05-05-2008 = Infuriating $12 call to non-English-speaking consulate appointment-setter.

05-06-2008 = Better $12 call to English-speaker; "joint" interview date 6/30/08 (my selection).

06-30-2008 = Stokes Interrogations w/Ecuadorian (not USC); "wait 2 weeks; we'll mail her."

07-2008 = Daily calls to DOS: "currently processing"; 8/05 = Phoned consulate, got Section Chief; wrote him.

08-07-08 = E-mail from consulate, promising to issue visa "as soon as we get her passport" (on 8/12, per DHL).

08-27-08 = Phoned consulate (they "couldn't find" our file); visa DHL'd 8/28; in hand 9/1; through POE on 10/9 with NO hassles(!).

Posted
37 minutes ago, Burnt Reynolds said:

Approval ratings are like lie detectors, they only mean as much as people believe they do. In reality, lie detectors' only useful function is eliciting confessions, and "approval ratings" premise is not to dictate how good/bad the President is or their chances of re-election but specifically to shape public opinion. In project management, they're called "fudge factors", and resemble project crashing where we take precedence networks and screw with them to produce a viable (preferably shorter) critical path. In this situation with PR, the idea is to bring people into a box, make them believe approval ratings are meaningful, because it makes it easier to herd them into making predictable choices.

there is a 90% chance hillary will be your next President. Opps my bad that was 2016

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Posted
8 minutes ago, Nature Boy 2.0 said:

there is a 90% chance hillary will be your next President. Opps my bad that was 2016

If it was good enough for then, it's good enough for now.

Stumbles McMyturn 2020!

06-04-2007 = TSC stamps postal return-receipt for I-129f.

06-11-2007 = NOA1 date (unknown to me).

07-20-2007 = Phoned Immigration Officer; got WAC#; where's NOA1?

09-25-2007 = Touch (first-ever).

09-28-2007 = NOA1, 23 days after their 45-day promise to send it (grrrr).

10-20 & 11-14-2007 = Phoned ImmOffs; "still pending."

12-11-2007 = 180 days; file is "between workstations, may be early Jan."; touches 12/11 & 12/12.

12-18-2007 = Call; file is with Division 9 ofcr. (bckgrnd check); e-prompt to shake it; touch.

12-19-2007 = NOA2 by e-mail & web, dated 12-18-07 (187 days; 201 per VJ); in mail 12/24/07.

01-09-2008 = File from USCIS to NVC, 1-4-08; NVC creates file, 1/15/08; to consulate 1/16/08.

01-23-2008 = Consulate gets file; outdated Packet 4 mailed to fiancee 1/27/08; rec'd 3/3/08.

04-29-2008 = Fiancee's 4-min. consular interview, 8:30 a.m.; much evidence brought but not allowed to be presented (consul: "More proof! Second interview! Bring your fiance!").

05-05-2008 = Infuriating $12 call to non-English-speaking consulate appointment-setter.

05-06-2008 = Better $12 call to English-speaker; "joint" interview date 6/30/08 (my selection).

06-30-2008 = Stokes Interrogations w/Ecuadorian (not USC); "wait 2 weeks; we'll mail her."

07-2008 = Daily calls to DOS: "currently processing"; 8/05 = Phoned consulate, got Section Chief; wrote him.

08-07-08 = E-mail from consulate, promising to issue visa "as soon as we get her passport" (on 8/12, per DHL).

08-27-08 = Phoned consulate (they "couldn't find" our file); visa DHL'd 8/28; in hand 9/1; through POE on 10/9 with NO hassles(!).

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Posted

Just thinking out loud here.  If Trump is removed from office, and Pence were to suddenly become incapacitated, that would make Califonia's sweetheart President.  How cool would that be?

 

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